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Increasingly, homeowners opt for photovoltaic (PV) systems and/or battery storage to minimize their energy bills and maximize renewable energy usage. This has spurred the development of advanced control algorithms that maximally achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Gargya Gokhale , Jonas Van Gompel , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

Energy systems modeling frequently relies on time series data, whether observed or forecast. This is particularly the case, for example, in capacity planning models that use hourly production and load data forecast to occur over the coming…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Kelly Wang , Steven O. Kimbrough

In order to develop reliable services using machine learning, it is important to understand the uncertainty of the model outputs. Often the probability distribution that the prediction target follows has a complex shape, and a mixture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Ryuichi Kanoh , Tomu Yanabe

Aggregating distributed energy resources in power systems significantly increases uncertainties, in particular caused by the fluctuation of renewable energy generation. This issue has driven the necessity of widely exploiting advanced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Wei Jiang , Zhongkai Yi , Li Wang , Hanwei Zhang , Jihai Zhang , Fangquan Lin , Cheng Yang

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Ensembles of decision trees perform well on many problems, but are not interpretable. In contrast to existing approaches in interpretability that focus on explaining relationships between features and predictions, we propose an alternative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-26 Sarah Tan , Matvey Soloviev , Giles Hooker , Martin T. Wells

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

This paper presents interval prediction methodology to address limitations in existing evaluation indicators and improve prediction accuracy and reliability. First, new evaluation indicators are proposed to comprehensively assess interval…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-16 Lu Xin

Constrained clustering is a semi-supervised task that employs a limited amount of labelled data, formulated as constraints, to incorporate domain-specific knowledge and to significantly improve clustering accuracy. Previous work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Pouya Shati , Eldan Cohen , Sheila McIlraith

We propose a hybrid algorithmic strategy for complex stochastic optimization problems, which combines the use of scenario trees from multistage stochastic programming with machine learning techniques for learning a policy in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-25 Boris Defourny , Damien Ernst , Louis Wehenkel

Time domain simulation, i.e., modeling the system's evolution over time, is a crucial tool for studying and enhancing power system stability and dynamic performance. However, these simulations become computationally intractable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Matthew Schlegel , Matthew E. Taylor , Mostafa Farrokhabadi

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

Interpretability in machine learning is critical for the safe deployment of learned policies across legally-regulated and safety-critical domains. While gradient-based approaches in reinforcement learning have achieved tremendous success in…

Prompt tuning has achieved great success in transferring the knowledge from large pretrained vision-language models into downstream tasks, and has dominated the performance on visual grounding (VG). However, almost all existing prompt…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Chenchi Zhang , Jun Xiao , Lei Chen , Jian Shao , Long Chen

We seek to extract a small number of representative scenarios from large panel data that are consistent with sample moments. Among two novel algorithms, the first identifies scenarios that have not been observed before, and comes with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-06 Michael Multerer , Paul Schneider , Rohan Sen

Forecasting natural gas consumption, considering seasonality and trends, is crucial in planning its supply and consumption and optimizing the cost of obtaining it, mainly by industrial entities. However, in times of threats to its supply,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Radek Svoboda , Sebastian Basterrech , Jedrzej Kozal , Jan Platos , Michal Wozniak

The field of health informatics has been profoundly influenced by the development of random forest models, which have led to significant advances in the interpretability of feature interactions. These models are characterized by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Akshat Dubey , Aleksandar Anžel , Georges Hattab

Interpretable time series prediction is crucial for safety-critical areas such as healthcare and autonomous driving. Most existing methods focus on interpreting predictions by assigning important scores to segments of time series. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Jingquan Yan , Hao Wang

The optimization-based design of renewable energy systems is a computationally demanding task because of the high temporal fluctuation of supply and demand time series. In order to reduce these time series, the aggregation of typical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

Deep clustering uncovers hidden patterns and groups in complex time series data, yet its opaque decision-making limits use in safety-critical settings. This survey offers a structured overview of explainable deep clustering for time series,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Udo Schlegel , Gabriel Marques Tavares , Thomas Seidl