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The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction models are integral to a myriad of industrial settings, such as personalized search advertising. Current methods typically involve feature extraction from users' historical behavior sequences combined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Lingwei Kong , Lu Wang , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Ching Law , Jingping Shao

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

A robust power scheduling algorithm is proposed to schedule power flow between the main electricity grid and a microgird with solar energy generation and battery energy storage subject to uncertainty in solar energy production. To avoid…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Amir Valibeygi , Abdulelah H. Habib , Raymond A. de Callafon

Tree ensembles are very popular machine learning models, known for their effectiveness in supervised classification and regression tasks. Their performance derives from aggregating predictions of multiple decision trees, which are renowned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Lorenzo Bonasera , Emilio Carrizosa

Graph clustering groups entities -- the vertices of a graph -- based on their similarity, typically using a complex distance function over a large number of features. Successful integration of clustering approaches in automated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-03 Sandhya Saisubramanian , Sainyam Galhotra , Shlomo Zilberstein

This paper introduces an innovative interval prediction methodology aimed at addressing the limitations of current evaluation indicators while enhancing prediction accuracy and reliability. To achieve this, new evaluation metrics are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Lu Xin

The growing renewable energy sources have posed significant challenges to traditional power scheduling. It is difficult for operators to obtain accurate day-ahead forecasts of renewable generation, thereby requiring the future scheduling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Shaohuai Liu , Jinbo Liu , Weirui Ye , Nan Yang , Guanglun Zhang , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang , Qirong Jiang , Xuri Song , Fangchun Di , Yang Gao

Forecasting building energy consumption has become a promising solution in Building Energy Management Systems for energy saving and optimization. Furthermore, it can play an important role in the efficient management of the operation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Mohamad Khalil , A. Stephen McGough , Hussain Kazmi , Sara Walker

Meeting the ever-growing needs of the power grid requires constant infrastructure enhancement. There are two important aspects for a grid ability to ensure continuous and reliable electricity delivery to consumers: capacity, the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Rene Carmona , Xinshuo Yang , Claire Zeng

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

This paper studies the estimation of ranked-list discrete choice models with single and multiple purchases. In this setting, each consumer type is characterized by a ranking over a subset of products and a desired number of purchases, and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Luciano Costa , Gerardo Berbeglia , Claudio Contardo , Jean-François Cordeau

While deep learning has achieved impressive performance in time series forecasting, it becomes increasingly crucial to understand its decision-making process for building trust in high-stakes scenarios. Existing interpretable models often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Ziheng Peng , Shijie Ren , Xinyue Gu , Linxiao Yang , Xiting Wang , Liang Sun

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Forecasting load at the feeder level has become increasingly challenging with the penetration of behind-the-meter solar, as this self-generation (also called total generation) is only visible to the utility as aggregated net-load. This work…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-11 Allison M. Campbell , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Orestis Vasios , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

Forecasting power consumptions of integrated electrical, heat or gas network systems is essential in order to operate more efficiently the whole energy network. Multi-energy systems are increasingly seen as a key component of future energy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Corneliu Arsene , Alessandra Parisio

Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

This paper presents an analysis of the stability and quality of the distributed generation planning problem's investment solution. The entry of distributed generators power based on non-conventional energy sources has been extensively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-31 Luis Lopez , Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , David Pozo

This paper proposes a control strategy for a Reverse Fuel Cell used to manage a Renewable Energy Community. A two-stage scenario-based Model Predictive Control algorithm is designed to define the best economic strategy to be followed during…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Francesco Conte , Gabriele Mosaico , Gianluca Natrella , Matteo Saviozzi , Fiammetta Rita Bianchi

This paper proposes a method for generating typical scenarios based on system-level macroscopic characteristics of power system and considering its stability properties. First, considering uncertainties such as renewable energy generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Tao Li , Chen Shen
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