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Condorcet's jury theorem states that the correct outcome is reached in direct majority voting systems with sufficiently large electorates as long as each voter's independent probability of voting for that outcome is greater than 0.5. Yet,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Lucas Böttcher , Georgia Kernell

We prove that every Condorcet-consistent voting rule can be manipulated by a voter who completely reverses their preference ranking, assuming that there are at least 4 alternatives. This corrects an error and improves a result of [Sanver,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Dominik Peters

Consider an election between two candidates in which the voters' choices are random and independent and the probability of a voter choosing the first candidate is $p>1/2$. Condorcet's Jury Theorem which he derived from the weak law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Olle Haggstrom , Gil Kalai , Elchanan Mossel

When each voter rates or ranks several candidates for a single office, a strong Condorcet winner (SCW) is one who beats all others in two-way races. Among 21 electoral systems examined, 18 will sometimes make candidate X the winner even if…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-22 Richard B. Darlington

The Condorcet Jury Theorem or the Miracle of Aggregation are frequently invoked to ensure the competence of some aggregate decision-making processes. In this article we explore an estimation of the prior probability of the thesis predicted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-22 Álvaro Romaniega

We initiate the work towards a comprehensive picture of the smoothed satisfaction of voting axioms, to provide a finer and more realistic foundation for comparing voting rules. We adopt the smoothed social choice framework, where an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-04 Lirong Xia

Condorcet winning sets are a set-valued generalization of the well-known concept of a Condorcet winner. As supersets of Condorcet winning sets are always Condorcet winning sets themselves, an interesting property of preference profiles is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-03-03 Christian Geist

Proponents of Condorcet voting face the question of what to do in the rare case when no Condorcet winner exists. Recent work provides compelling arguments for the rule that should be applied in three-candidate elections, but already with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-16 Wesley H. Holliday

By relaxing the dominating set in three ways (e.g., from "each member beats every non-member" to "each member beats or ties every non-member, with an additional requirement that at least one member beat every non-member"), we propose a new…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-26 Fujun Hou

We study the probability that a given candidate is an alpha-winner, i.e. a candidate preferred to each other candidate j by a fraction alpha_j of the voters. This extends the classical notion of Condorcet winner, which corresponds to the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Emma Caizergues , François Durand , Marc Noy , Élie de Panafieu , Vlady Ravelomanana

We consider voting on multiple independent binary issues. In addition, a weighting vector for each voter defines how important they consider each issue. The most natural way to aggregate the votes into a single unified proposal is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Carmel Baharav , Andrei Constantinescu , Roger Wattenhofer

There is a striking relationship between a three hundred years old Political Science theorem named "Condorcet's jury theorem" (1785), which states that majorities are more likely to choose correctly when individual votes are often correct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Hanan Shteingart , Eran Marom , Igor Itkin , Gil Shabat , Michael Kolomenkin , Moshe Salhov , Liran Katzir

The Condorcet criterion (CC) is a classical and well-accepted criterion for voting. Unfortunately, it is incompatible with many other desiderata including participation (Par), half-way monotonicity (HM), Maskin monotonicity (MM), and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-22 Lirong Xia

A large amount of literature in social choice theory deals with quantifying the probability of certain election outcomes. One way of computing the probability of a specific voting situation under the Impartial Anonymous Culture assumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-23 Achill Schürmann

A tournament organizer must select one of $n$ possible teams as the winner of a competition after observing all $\binom{n}{2}$ matches between them. The organizer would like to find a tournament rule that simultaneously satisfies the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-26 David Mikšaník , Ariel Schvartzman , Jan Soukup

One of the central economic paradigms in multi-agent systems is that agents should not be better off by acting dishonestly. In the context of collective decision-making, this axiom is known as strategyproofness and turns out to be rather…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Felix Brand , Patrick Lederer , Sascha Tausch

In social choice theory with ordinal preferences, a voting method satisfies the axiom of positive involvement if adding to a preference profile a voter who ranks an alternative uniquely first cannot cause that alternative to go from winning…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Wesley H. Holliday

In this paper, we study fairness in committee selection problems. We consider a general notion of fairness via stability: A committee is stable if no coalition of voters can deviate and choose a committee of proportional size, so that all…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Yu Cheng , Zhihao Jiang , Kamesh Munagala , Kangning Wang

We consider the manipulability of tournament rules, in which $n$ teams play a round robin tournament and a winner is (possibly randomly) selected based on the outcome of all $\binom{n}{2}$ matches. Prior work defines a tournament rule to be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Ariel Schvartzman , S. Matthew Weinberg , Eitan Zlatin , Albert Zuo

Actual individual preferences are neither complete (=total) nor antisymmetric in general, so that at least every quasi-order must be an admissible input to a satisfactory choice rule. It is argued that the traditional notion of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jobst Heitzig