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We advocate for a new paradigm of cosmological likelihood-based inference, leveraging recent developments in machine learning and its underlying technology, to accelerate Bayesian inference in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-06 Davide Piras , Alicja Polanska , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen

Neural network emulators are widely used in astrophysics and cosmology to approximate complex simulations inside Bayesian inference loops. Ad hoc rules of thumb are often used to justify the emulator accuracy required for reliable posterior…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-25 H. T. J. Bevins , T. Gessey-Jones , W. J. Handley

Modern machine learning will allow for simulation-based inference from reionization-era 21cm observations at the Square Kilometre Array. Our framework combines a convolutional summary network and a conditional invertible network through a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-16 Benedikt Schosser , Caroline Heneka , Tilman Plehn

Observations of the EoR with the 21-cm hyperfine emission of neutral hydrogen (HI) promise to open an entirely new window onto the formation of the first stars, galaxies and accreting black holes. In order to characterize the weak 21-cm…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 Abhik Ghosh , L. V. E. Koopmans , Emma Chapman , Vibor Jelic

Considerable observational efforts are being dedicated to measuring the sky-averaged (global) 21-cm signal of neutral hydrogen from Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization. Deriving observational constraints on the astrophysics of this…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-18 Christian H. Bye , Stephen K. N. Portillo , Anastasia Fialkov

Upcoming experiments such as Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) and Square Kilometre Array (SKA) are intended to measure the 21cm signal over a wide range of redshifts, representing an incredible opportunity in advancing our…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-05-06 Héctor J. Hortúa , Riccardo Volpi , Luigi Malagò

We present a study of internal reflection and cross coupling systematics in Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). In a companion paper, we outlined the mathematical formalism for such systematics and presented…

Measurement of the global 21-cm signal during Cosmic Dawn (CD) and the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) is made difficult by bright foreground emission which is 2-5 orders of magnitude larger than the expected signal. Fitting for a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-20 Michael Pagano , Peter Sims , Adrian Liu , Dominic Anstey , Will Handley , Eloy De Lera Acedo

The information regarding how the intergalactic medium is reionized by astrophysical sources is contained in the tomographic three-dimensional 21 cm images from the epoch of reionization. In Zhao et al. (2022a) ("Paper I"), we demonstrated…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-12 Xiaosheng Zhao , Yi Mao , Shifan Zuo , Benjamin D. Wandelt

We explore the possibility of retrieving cosmological information from 21-cm tomographic data at intermediate redshift. The first step in our approach consists of training an encoder, composed of several three dimensional convolutional…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-30 Sambatra Andrianomena

BayesEoR is a GPU-accelerated, MPI-compatible Python package for estimating the power spectrum of redshifted 21-cm emission from interferometric observations of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). Utilizing a Bayesian framework, BayesEoR…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-23 Peter H. Sims , Jacob Burba , Jonathan C. Pober

We present a differentiable, end-to-end Bayesian forward modeling framework for line intensity mapping cosmology experiments, with a specific focus on low-frequency radio telescopes targeting the redshifted 21 cm line from neutral hydrogen…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-15 Nicholas Kern

Neutral hydrogen (HI) serves as a crucial probe for the Cosmic Dawn and the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). Actual observations of the 21-cm signal often encounter challenges such as thermal noise and various systematic effects. To overcome…

The redshifted 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization carries invaluable information about the cosmology and astrophysics of the early Universe. Analyzing data from a sky-averaged 21-cm signal experiment requires…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-16 Anchal Saxena , P. Daniel Meerburg , Christoph Weniger , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Will Handley

We developed a method to infer the calibration parameters of multichannel measurement systems, such as channel variations of sensitivity and noise amplitude, from experimental data. We regard such uncertainties of the calibration parameters…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-08 Keisuke Fujii , Ichihiro Yamada , Masahiro Hasuo

We explore likelihood-free (aka simulation-based) Bayesian model selection to quantify model comparison analyses of reionisation scenarios. We iteratively train the 3D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) on four toy EoR models based on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-13 T. Binnie , Xiaosheng Zhao , J. R. Pritchard , Yi Mao

We apply Bayesian statistics to perform model selection on different reionisation scenarios via the Multinest algorithm. Initially, we recover the results shown by 21CMMC for the parameter estimation of 21cmFAST models. We proceed to test…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-15 T. Binnie , J. R. Pritchard

The 21cm global signal is an important probe to reveal the properties of the first astrophysical objects and the processes of the structure formation from which one can constrain astrophysical and cosmological parameters. To extract the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-22 Shintaro Yoshiura , Teppei Minoda , Tomo Takahashi

We describe the validation of the HERA Phase I software pipeline by a series of modular tests, building up to an end-to-end simulation. The philosophy of this approach is to validate the software and algorithms used in the Phase I upper…

We report upper-limits on the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21 cm power spectrum at redshifts 7.9 and 10.4 with 18 nights of data ($\sim36$ hours of integration) from Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). The Phase I…