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Deterministic mathematical models, such as those specified via differential equations, are a powerful tool to communicate scientific insight. However, such models are necessarily simplified descriptions of the real world. Generalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Zheyang Shen , Jeremias Knoblauch , Sam Power , Chris. J. Oates

Large Language Models (LLMs) often exhibit misalignment between the quality of their generated responses and the confidence estimates they assign to them. Bayesian treatments, such as marginalizing over a reliable weight posterior or over…

Cognitive Diagnosis Models (CDMs) provide a powerful statistical and psychometric tool for researchers and practitioners to learn fine-grained diagnostic information about respondents' latent attributes. There has been a growing interest in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-01 Mengqi Lin , Gongjun Xu

We study variance estimation and associated confidence intervals for parameters characterizing genetic effects from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) misspecified mixed model analysis. Previous studies have shown that, in spite of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Cecilia Dao , Jiming Jiang , Debashis Paul , Hongyu Zhao

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

We study the distributional properties of the linear discriminant function under the assumption of normality by comparing two groups with the same covariance matrix but different mean vectors. A stochastic representation for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Taras Bodnar , Stepan Mazur , Edward Ngailo , Nestor Parolya

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are popular for data-analysis in almost all quantitative sciences, but the choice of likelihood family and link function is often difficult. This motivates the search for likelihoods and links that minimize…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Maximilian Scholz , Paul-Christian Bürkner

This paper presents a general framework for obtaining interpretable multivariate discriminative models that allow efficient statistical inference for neuroimage analysis. The framework, termed generative discriminative machine (GDM),…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-04 Erdem Varol , Aristeidis Sotiras , Ke Zeng , Christos Davatzikos

We introduce Compartmentalized Diffusion Models (CDM), a method to train different diffusion models (or prompts) on distinct data sources and arbitrarily compose them at inference time. The individual models can be trained in isolation, at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Aditya Golatkar , Alessandro Achille , Ashwin Swaminathan , Stefano Soatto

We consider inference in models defined by approximate moment conditions. We show that near-optimal confidence intervals (CIs) can be formed by taking a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, and adding and subtracting the standard…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-15 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Brian Sifringer , Virginie Lurkin , Alexandre Alahi

This paper develops efficient GMM estimation when the moment conditions are misspecified. We observe that the influence function of the standard GMM estimator under misspecification depends on both the original moment conditions and their…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Byunghoon Kang

We consider the problem of detecting (testing) Gaussian stochastic sequences (signals) with imprecisely known means and covariance matrices. The alternative is independent identically distributed zero-mean Gaussian random variables with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Marat V. Burnashev

Many datasets are underspecified: there exist multiple equally viable solutions to a given task. Underspecification can be problematic for methods that learn a single hypothesis because different functions that achieve low training loss can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Yoonho Lee , Huaxiu Yao , Chelsea Finn

Model-X approaches to testing conditional independence between a predictor and an outcome variable given a vector of covariates usually assume exact knowledge of the conditional distribution of the predictor given the covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Ziang Niu , Abhinav Chakraborty , Oliver Dukes , Eugene Katsevich

Cognitive diagnosis models (CDMs) are restricted latent class models widely used to measure attributes of interest in diagnostic assessments across education, psychology, biomedical sciences, and related fields. Partial-mastery CDMs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Camilo Cárdenas-Hurtado , Sze Ming Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

We study two practically important cases of model based clustering using Gaussian Mixture Models: (1) when there is misspecification and (2) on high dimensional data, in the light of recent advances in Gradient Descent (GD) based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 Siva Rajesh Kasa , Vaibhav Rajan

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Class distribution mismatch (CDM) refers to the discrepancy between class distributions in training data and target tasks. Previous methods address this by designing classifiers to categorize classes known during training, while grouping…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Pan Du , Wangbo Zhao , Xinai Lu , Nian Liu , Zhikai Li , Chaoyu Gong , Suyun Zhao , Hong Chen , Cuiping Li , Kai Wang , Yang You

We provide a comprehensive set of new results on the impact of mis-specifying the short run dynamics in fractionally integrated processes. We show that four alternative parametric estimators - frequency domain maximum likelihood, Whittle,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Gael M. Martin , Kanchana Nadarajah , D. S. Poskitt