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Inspired by the universal approximation theorem and widespread adoption of artificial neural network techniques in a diversity of fields, we propose feed-forward neural networks as a general purpose trial wave function for quantum Monte…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-01-26 Jan Kessler , Francesco Calcavecchia , Thomas D. Kühne

New classes of stochastic differential equations can now be studied using rough path theory (e.g. Lyons et al. [LCL07] or Friz--Hairer [FH14]). In this paper we investigate, from a numerical analysis point of view, stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Sebastian Riedel , John Schoenmakers

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

We establish a notion of random entropy solution for degenerate fractional conservation laws incorporating randomness in the initial data, convective flux and diffusive flux. In order to quantify the solution uncertainty, we design a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Ujjwal Koley , Deep Ray , Tanmay Sarkar

Diffusion Monte Carlo (DMC) based on fixed-node approximation has enjoyed significant developments in the past decades and become one of the go-to methods when accurate ground state energy of molecules and materials is needed. The remaining…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-08-07 Weiluo Ren , Weizhong Fu , Xiaojie Wu , Ji Chen

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for inference of complicated probabilistic models with intractable likelihoods using model simulations. The Markov chain Monte Carlo implementation of approximate Bayesian computation is often…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-17 Matti Vihola , Jordan Franks

The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical systems necessitates reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ). A practical and widespread strategy for UQ is repurposing stochastic regularizers as scalable approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Adam T. Müller , Tobias Rögelein , Nicolaj C. Stache

Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

We report results of a Monte Carlo simulation of the $\phi^4$ quantum chain. In order to enhance the efficiency of the simulation we combine multigrid simulation techniques with a refined discretization scheme. The resulting accuracy of our…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Wolfhard Janke , Tilman Sauer

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is the de facto method for approximating the predictive distribution of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). But, even with many MC samples, Gaussian-based BNNs could still yield bad predictive performance due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Agustinus Kristiadi , Runa Eschenhagen , Philipp Hennig

We perform scalable approximate inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks. In this model class, uncertainty about separate weights in each layer gives hidden units that follow a stochastic differential equation. We demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-01 Winnie Xu , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Xuechen Li , David Duvenaud

This manuscript presents a framework for using multilevel quadrature formulae to compute the solution of optimal control problems constrained by random partial differential equations. Our approach consists in solving a sequence of optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Fabio Nobile , Tommaso Vanzan

Scientific computing has long relied on double precision (64-bit floating point) arithmetic to guarantee accuracy in simulations of real-world phenomena. However, the growing availability of hardware accelerators such as Graphics Processing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Massimo Solinas , Agnes Valenti , Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Roeland Wiersema

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) hinges on the efficient training of modern deep neural networks (DNNs) for non-convex optimization and uncertainty quantification, which boils down to a non-convex Bayesian learning problem. A…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-01 Wei Deng

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

Traditional neural networks provide deterministic predictions without inherent uncertainty estimates. While Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled approach to uncertainty quantification, their computational complexity limits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 Rouaa Hoblos , Noura Dridi , Noureddine Zerhouni , Zeina Al Masry

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

A multilevel adaptive refinement strategy for solving linear elliptic partial differential equations with random data is recalled in this work. The strategy extends the a posteriori error estimation framework introduced by Guignard and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Alex Bespalov , David J. Silvester