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Bayesian parameter inference for complex stochastic simulators is challenging due to intractable likelihood functions. Existing simulation-based inference methods often require large number of simulations and become costly to use in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Vasilis Gkolemis , Christos Diou , Michael U. Gutmann

The work concerns deviation estimates for multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. First of all, we prove the large deviation principle for them by the weak convergence approach. Then the central limit theorem for them…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Kun Fang , Huijie Qiao

Stochastic PDE eigenvalue problems are useful models for quantifying the uncertainty in several applications from the physical sciences and engineering, e.g., structural vibration analysis, the criticality of a nuclear reactor or photonic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Alexander D. Gilbert , Robert Scheichl

The problem of optimising functions with intractable gradients frequently arise in machine learning and statistics, ranging from maximum marginal likelihood estimation procedures to fine-tuning of generative models. Stochastic approximation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , Yanbo Tang , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We study stochastic optimization of nonconvex loss functions, which are typical objectives for training neural networks. We propose stochastic approximation algorithms which optimize a series of regularized, nonlinearized losses on large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Weiran Wang , Nathan Srebro

We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo (AMLMC) algorithm for approximating deterministic, real-valued, bounded linear functionals that depend on the solution of a linear elliptic PDE with a lognormal diffusivity coefficient and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Joakim Beck , Yang Liu , Erik von Schwerin , Raúl Tempone

This manuscript is dedicated to the numerical approximation of super-linear slow-fast stochastic differential equations (SFSDEs). Borrowing the heterogeneous multiscale idea, we propose an explicit multiscale Euler-Maruyama scheme suitable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Yuanping Cui , Xiaoyue Li , Xuerong Mao

Bayesian methods have shown success in deep learning applications. For example, in predictive tasks, Bayesian neural networks leverage Bayesian reasoning of model uncertainty to improve the reliability and uncertainty awareness of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wenlong Chen , Bolian Li , Ruqi Zhang , Yingzhen Li

In this paper, we propose a new kind of numerical scheme for high-dimensional backward stochastic differential equations based on modified multi-level Picard iteration. The proposed scheme is very similar to the original multi-level Picard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Chol-Kyu Pak , Mun-Chol Kim , Hun O

By formulating the inverse problem of partial differential equations (PDEs) as a statistical inference problem, the Bayesian approach provides a general framework for quantifying uncertainties. In the inverse problem of PDEs, parameters are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Haoyu Lu , Junxiong Jia , Deyu Meng

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

Monte-Carlo valuation engines can generate pathwise sensitivities of a derivative value with respect to a high-dimensional vector of model primitives. Hedge ratios with respect to market instruments are then linked to these primitive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Christian P Fries

In this paper, based on the combination of finite element mesh and neural network, a novel type of neural network element space and corresponding machine learning method are designed for solving partial differential equations. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Yifan Wang , Zhongshuo Lin , Hehu Xie

Due to the importance of uncertainty quantification (UQ), Bayesian approach to inverse problems has recently gained popularity in applied mathematics, physics, and engineering. However, traditional Bayesian inference methods based on Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Babak Shahbaba

We propose a generic framework to calibrate accuracy and confidence of a prediction in deep neural networks through stochastic inferences. We interpret stochastic regularization using a Bayesian model, and analyze the relation between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Seonguk Seo , Paul Hongsuck Seo , Bohyung Han

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

We propose a numerical method for the computation of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDE) appearing in the Feynman-Kac representation of the value function in stochastic optimal control problems. By the use of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Kelsey P. Hawkins , Ali Pakniyat , Evangelos Theodorou , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We develop and analyse numerical schemes for uncertainty quantification in neural field equations subject to random parametric data in the synaptic kernel, firing rate, external stimulus, and initial conditions. The schemes combine a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Daniele Avitabile , Francesca Cavallini , Svetlana Dubinkina , Gabriel J. Lord

We establish epigraphical and uniform laws of large numbers for sample-based approximations of law invariant risk functionals. These sample-based approximation schemes include Monte Carlo (MC) and certain randomized quasi-Monte Carlo…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz
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