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This paper explores the versatility and depth of Bayesian modeling by presenting a comprehensive range of applications and methods, combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and variational approximations. Covering topics such as…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez

A method is developed for fitting theoretically predicted astronomical spectra to an observed spectrum. Using a hierarchical Bayesian principle, the method takes both systematic and statistical measurement errors into account, which has not…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Z. Shkedy , L. Decin , G. Molenberghs , C. Aerts

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

A Bayesian Network (BN) is a probabilistic model that represents a set of variables using a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Current algorithms for learning BN structures from data focus on estimating the edges of a specific DAG, and often…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-10-17 Luke Duttweiler , Sally W. Thurston , Anthony Almudevar

Bayesian statistics and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have found their place in the field of Cosmology. They have become important mathematical and numerical tools, especially in parameter estimation and model comparison. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-02 Luis E. Padilla , Luis O. Tellez , Luis A. Escamilla , J. Alberto Vazquez

We review the use of Bayesian Model Averaging in astrophysics. We first introduce the statistical basis of Bayesian Model Selection and Model Averaging. We discuss methods to calculate the model-averaged posteriors, including Markov Chain…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-02-08 David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

We present a unified framework to derive fundamental stellar parameters by combining all available observational and theoretical information for a star. The algorithm relies on the method of Bayesian inference, which for the first time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Ralph Schönrich , Maria Bergemann

Fitting the multi-wavelength spectral energy distributions (SEDs) of galaxies is a widely used technique to extract information about the physical properties of galaxies. However, a major difficulty lies in the numerous uncertainties…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-06-17 Yunkun Han , Zhanwen Han , Lulu Fan

Determining the physical characteristics of a star is an inverse problem consisting in estimating the parameters of models for the stellar structure and evolution, knowing certain observable quantities. We use a Bayesian approach to solve…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Bazot , S. Bourguignon , J. Christensen-Dalsgaard

Scientific machine learning increasingly uses spectral methods to understand physical systems. Current spectral learning approaches provide only point estimates without uncertainty quantification, limiting their use in safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Mohammad Nooraiepour

Model selection aims to determine which theoretical models are most plausible given some data, without necessarily asking about the preferred values of the model parameters. A common model selection question is to ask when new data require…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Andrew R. Liddle , Pia Mukherjee , David Parkinson

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

The application of Bayesian methods in cosmology and astrophysics has flourished over the past decade, spurred by data sets of increasing size and complexity. In many respects, Bayesian methods have proven to be vastly superior to more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Roberto Trotta

The goal of this thesis is twofold; introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference and computation focusing on astronomical and cosmological applications, and present recent advances in probabilistic computational methods developed by the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-31 Minas Karamanis

For future surveys, spectroscopic follow-up for all supernovae will be extremely difficult. However, one can use light curve fitters, to obtain the probability that an object is a Type Ia. One may consider applying a probability cut to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-24 Michelle Lochner , Bruce A. Bassett , Melvin Varughese , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mat Smith , James Newling

Resolved kinematical information, such as from molecular gas in star forming regions, is obtained from spectral line observations. However, these observations often contain multiple line-of-sight components, making estimates harder to…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-04-15 Vlas Sokolov , Jaime E. Pineda , Johannes Buchner , Paola Caselli

Closed-form, interpretable mathematical models have been instrumental for advancing our understanding of the world; with the data revolution, we may now be in a position to uncover new such models for many systems from physics to the social…

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Bayesian inference involves the specification of a statistical model by a statistician or practitioner, with careful thought about what each parameter represents. This results in particularly interpretable models which can be used to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Jonathan Law , Darren Wilkinson

A central problem in analyzing networks is partitioning them into modules or communities. One of the best tools for this is the stochastic block model, which clusters vertices into blocks with statistically homogeneous pattern of links.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-24 Xiaoran Yan
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