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This article addresses the problem of testing the conditional independence of two generic random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given a third random vector $Z$, which plays an important role in statistical and machine learning applications. We propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Yi Zhang , Linjun Huang , Yun Yang , Xiaofeng Shao

This paper explores certain kinds of empirical process with respect to the components of multivariate Gaussian. We put forward some finite sample bounds which hold for multivariate Gaussian under general dependence. We give necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Jikai Hou

We study the problem of independence and conditional independence tests between categorical covariates and a continuous response variable, which has an immediate application in genetics. Instead of estimating the conditional distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Bo Jiang , Chao Ye , Jun S. Liu

In this letter, we consider multiple statistical classification problem where a sequence of n independent and identically distributed observations, that are generated by one of M discrete sources, need to be classified. The source…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Hüseyin Afşer

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

The topic of multiple hypotheses testing now has a potpourri of novel theories and ubiquitous applications in diverse scientific fields. However, the universal utility of this field often hinders the possibility of having a generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Monitirtha Dey , Subir Kumar Bhandari

We consider a nonparametric autoregression model under conditional heteroscedasticity with the aim to test whether the innovation distribution changes in time. To this end we develop an asymptotic expansion for the sequential empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Leonie Selk , Natalie Neumeyer

Frequently econometricians are interested in verifying a relationship between two or more time series. Such analysis is typically carried out by causality and/or independence tests which have been well studied when the data is univariate or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Lajos Horvath , Greg Rice

Mutual independence is a key concept in statistics that characterizes the structural relationships between variables. Existing methods to investigate mutual independence rely on the definition of two competing models, one being nested into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-09 Guillaume Marrelec , Alain Giron

Determining conditional independence (CI) relationships between random variables is a fundamental yet challenging task in machine learning and statistics, especially in high-dimensional settings. Existing generative model-based CI testing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Yixin Ren , Chenghou Jin , Yewei Xia , Li Ke , Longtao Huang , Hui Xue , Hao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

This study focuses on the problem of testing for normality of innovations in stationary time series models.To achieve this, we introduce an information matrix (IM) based test. While the IM test was originally developed to test for model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Zixuan Liu , Junmo Song

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Knowing the error distribution is important in many multivariate time series applications. To alleviate the risk of error distribution mis-specification, testing methodologies are needed to detect whether the chosen error distribution is…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-04 Donghang Luo , Ke Zhu , Huan Gong , Dong Li

Information theory provides ideas for conceptualising information and measuring relationships between objects. It has found wide application in the sciences, but economics and finance have made surprisingly little use of it. We show that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-02 Galen Sher , Pedro Vitoria

The balance held by Brownian motion between temporal regularity and randomness is embodied in a remarkable way by Levy's forgery of continuous functions. Here we describe how this property can be extended to forge arbitrary dependences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-11 Vincent Wens

Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers