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Related papers: Galton-Watson processes in dynamical environments

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We study the Lyapunov exponents of models that are close to skew product systems over a C__ uniformly expanding transformation of the circle. For a continuous fibre map $\phi$, analytic, increasing, and convex in the fibre variable, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Thomas Morand

We establish a general sufficient condition for a sequence of Galton Watson branching processes in varying environment to converge weakly. This condition extends previous results by allowing offspring distributions to have infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Vincent Bansaye , Florian Simatos

We consider a special class of Galton-Watson theta-processes in a varying environment fully defined by four parameters, with two of them $(\theta,r)$ being fixed over time $n$, and the other two $(a_n,c_n)$ characterizing the altering…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Serik Sagitov , Yerakhmet Zhumayev

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

This paper deals with branching processes in varying environment, namely, whose offspring distributions depend on the generations. We provide sufficient conditions for survival or extinction which rely only on the first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-29 Daniela Bertacchi , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Fabio Zucca

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

We examine the population growth system called Q-processes. This is defined by the Galton-Watson Branching system conditioned on non-extinction of its trajectory in the remote future. In this paper we observe the total progeny up to time…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-19 Azam A. Imomov , Zuhriddin A. Nazarov

In this paper, we study the Galton-Watson process in the random environment for the particular case when the number of the offsprings in each generation has the fractional linear generation function with random parameters. In this case, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Yanjmaa Jutmaan

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

We consider the extinction events of Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. In particular, we construct truncated and augmented Galton-Watson processes with finite but increasing sets of types. A pathwise approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Peter Braunsteins , Geoffrey Decrouez , Sophie Hautphenne

Conditioning a multitype Galton-Watson process to stay alive into the indefinite future leads to what is known as its associated $Q$-process. We show that the same holds true if the process is conditioned to reach a positive threshold or a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Sophie Pénisson

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

A Galton-Watson process in varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. Based on a two-spine decomposition technique, we provide a probabilistic argument of a Yaglom-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Sandra Palau

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

We establish a sufficient condition for the tightness of a sequence of stochastic processes. Our condition makes it possible to study processes with accumulations of fixed times of discontinuity. Our motivation comes from the study of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Vincent Bansaye , Tom Kurtz , Florian Simatos

Consider N particles moving independently, each one according to a subcritical continuous-time Galton-Watson process unless it hits 0, at which time it jumps instantaneously to the position of one of the other particles chosen uniformly at…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-28 Amine Asselah , Pablo A. Ferrari , Pablo Groisman , Matthieu Jonckheere

We consider continuous state branching processes that are perturbed by a Brownian motion. These processes are constructed as the unique strong solution of a stochastic differential equation. The long-term extinction and explosion behaviours…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Sandra Palau , Juan Carlos Pardo

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting
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