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Related papers: Galton-Watson processes in dynamical environments

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Consider any supercritical Galton-Watson process which may become extinct with positive probability. It is a well-understood and intuitively obvious phenomenon that, on the survival set, the process may be pathwise decomposed into a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 A. E. Kyprianou , J-L. Perez , Y-X. Ren

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Serik Sagitov

We consider a class of multitype Galton-Watson branching processes with a countably infinite type set $\mathcal{X}_d$ whose mean progeny matrices have a block lower Hessenberg form. For these processes, the probability $\boldsymbol{q}(A)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam

We consider a random walk with death in $[-N,N]$ moving in a time dependent environment. The environment is a system of particles which describes a current flux from $N$ to $-N$. Its evolution is influenced by the presence of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Anna De Masi , Errico Presutti , Dimitrios Tsagkarogiannis , Maria Eulalia Vares

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

The classical Galton--Watson process works with a fixed probability of fission at each time step. One of the generalizations is that the probabilities depend on time. We consider one of the most complex and interesting cases when we do not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Anton A. Kutsenko

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

We investigate Galton--Watson processes in varying environment, for which $\bar f_n \uparrow 1$ and $\sum_{n=1}^\infty (1-\bar f_n) = \infty$, where $\bar f_n$ stands for the offspring mean in generation $n$. Since the process dies out…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Péter Kevei , Kata Kubatovics

In this paper, the extinction problem for a class of distylous plant populations is considered within the framework of certain nonhomogeneous nearest-neighbor random walks in the positive quadrant. For the latter, extinction means…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-07 Gerold Alsmeyer , Kilian Raschel

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

We study the stochastic evolution of four species in cyclic competition in a well mixed environment. In systems composed of a finite number $N$ of particles these simple interaction rules result in a rich variety of extinction scenarios,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-09 C. H. Durney , S. O. Case , M. Pleimling , R. K. P. Zia

In this paper we study the large deviation behavior of sums of i.i.d. random variables X_i defined on a supercritical Galton-Watson process Z. We assume the finiteness of the moments EX_1^2 and EZ_1log Z_1. The underlying interplay of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Klaus Fleischmann , Vitali Wachtel

We study the evolution of the population size distribution of a critical Galton-Watson process with infinite variance of the offspring size of particles assuming that the population size is unusually small at the distant moment $n$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

The Galton-Watson process belongs to standard teaching in probability. The basic theorem says that survival is only possible when the fecondity exceeds 1. The classical proof is essentially analytic, using generating functions and convexity…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Olivier Garet

We prove a scaling limit theorem for discrete Galton-Watson processes in varying environments. A simple sufficient condition for the weak convergence in the Skorokhod space is given in terms of probability generating functions. The limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Fang Rongjuan , Li Zenghu , Liu Jiawei

Given a super-critical Galton-Watson process $\{Z_n\}$ and a positive sequence $\{\epsilon_n\}$, we study the limiting behaviors of $P(S_{Z_n}/Z_n\geq\epsilon_n)$ and $P(S_{Z_n}/m^n\geq\epsilon_n) $ with sums $S_{n}$ of i.i.d. random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Hui He

In a complex community, species continuously adapt to each other. On rare occasions, the adaptation of a species can lead to the extinction of others, and even its own. "Adaptive dynamics" is the standard mathematical framework to describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-13 Vu AT Nguyen , Dervis C Vural

It is well known that a simple, supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process turns into a subcritical such process, if conditioned to die out. We prove that the corresponding holds true for general, multi-type branching, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-13 Peter Jagers , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås