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One strategy for winning a coevolutionary struggle is to evolve rapidly. Most of the literature on host-pathogen coevolution focuses on this phenomenon, and looks for consequent evidence of coevolutionary arms races. An alternative…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-14 Erick Chastain , Rustom Antia , Carl T. Bergstrom

In a wide variety of natural systems, closely-related microbial strains coexist stably, resulting in high levels of fine-scale biodiversity. However, the mechanisms that stabilize this coexistence are not fully understood. Spatial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-29 Casey Barkan , Shenshen Wang

Chronic infections of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) create a very complex co-evolutionary process, where the virus tries to escape the continuously adapting host immune system. Quantitative details of this process are largely…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-27 Andrea Mazzolini , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M Walczak

We investigate the role of migration patterns on the spread of epidemics in complex networks. We enhance the SIS-diffusion model on metapopulations to a nonlinear diffusion. Specifically, individuals move randomly over the network but at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-16 Jordi Ripoll , Albert Avinyó , Marta Pellicer , Joan Saldaña

Asymptomatic infection has gained notoriety as an important feature of infectious disease dynamics. Despite increasing attention, there have been few rigorous examinations of how asymptomatic transmission influences pathogen evolution. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-06 C. Brandon Ogbunugafor , Sudam Surasinghe

We study the population dynamics of lytic viruses which replicate slowly in dividing host cells within an organism or cell culture, and find a range of viral replication rates that allows viruses to persist, avoiding extinction of host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Jingshan Zhang , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

There is a pressing need to better understand how microbial populations respond to antimicrobial drugs, and to find mechanisms to possibly eradicate antimicrobial-resistant cells. The inactivation of antimicrobials by resistant microbes can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-16 Lluís Hernández-Navarro , Matthew Asker , Alastair M. Rucklidge , Mauro Mobilia

We study how the interplay between the memory immune response and pathogen mutation affects epidemic dynamics in two related models. The first explicitly models pathogen mutation and individual memory immune responses, with contacted…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-07 Michelle Girvan , Duncan S. Callaway , M. E. J. Newman , Steven H. Strogatz

Humans, domestic animals, orchard crops, and ornamental plants are commonly treated with antibiotics in response to bacterial infection. By curing infectious individuals, antibiotic therapy might limit the spread of contagious disease among…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-22 Thomas Caraco

In this letter we study the full semi-conservative treatment of a model for the co-evolution of a virus and an adaptive immune system. Regions of viability are calculated for both conservatively and semi-conservatively replicating viruses…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Yisroel Brumer , Eugene I. Shakhnovich

Spatial patterning can be crucially important for understanding the behavior of interacting populations. Here we investigate a simple model of parasite and host populations in which parasites are random walkers that must come into contact…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-07 J. J. Dong , B. Skinner , N. Breecher , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

Risk-driven behavior provides a feedback mechanism through which individuals both shape and are collectively affected by an epidemic. We introduce a general and flexible compartmental model to study the effect of heterogeneity in the…

We consider the dynamics of a virus spreading through a population that produces a mutant strain with the ability to infect individuals that were infected with the established strain. Temporary cross-immunity is included using a time delay,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-16 Bruce Pell , Samantha Brozak , Tin Phan , Fuqing Wu , Yang Kuang

Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a co-infection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a co-evolutionary model where the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-23 Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Kai Seegers , Alessio Cardillo , Philipp Hövel

This paper analyzes a simplified model of viral infection and evolution using the 'grand canonical ensemble' and formalisms from statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to enumerate all possible viruses and to derive thermodynamic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-08 Barbara A. Jones , Justin Lessler , Simone Bianco , James H. Kaufman

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global threat and combating its spread is of paramount importance. AMR often results from a cooperative behaviour with shared drug protection. Microbial communities generally evolve in volatile, spatially…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-25 Lluís Hernández-Navarro , Kenneth Distefano , Uwe C. Täuber , Mauro Mobilia

Migration is a fundamental trait in humans and animals. Recent studies investigated the effect of migration on the evolution of cooperation, showing that contingent migration favors cooperation in spatial structures. In those studies, only…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-05 Genki Ichinose , Masaya Saito , Hiroki Sayama , David Sloan Wilson

The cellular adaptive immune response plays a key role in resolving influenza infection. Experiments where individuals are successively infected with different strains within a short timeframe provide insight into the underlying viral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-24 Ada W. C. Yan , Pengxing Cao , Jane M. Heffernan , Jodie McVernon , Kylie M. Quinn , Nicole L. La Gruta , Karen L. Laurie , James M. McCaw

Emergent antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections are an increasingly significant source of morbidity and mortality. Antibiotic-resistant organisms have a natural reservoir in hospitals, and recent estimates suggest that almost 2 million…

We study the spreading of cooperative infections in an empirical temporal network of contacts between people, including health care workers and patients, in a hospital. The system exhibits a phase transition leading to one or several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-08 Jorge P. Rodríguez , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Víctor M. Eguíluz
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