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The spreading of infectious diseases with and without immunization of individuals can be modeled by stochastic processes that exhibit a transition between an active phase of epidemic spreading and an absorbing phase, where the disease dies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Stephan M. Dammer , Haye Hinrichsen

During the recent pandemic, a rise in COVID-19 cases was followed by a decline in influenza. In the absence of cross-immunity, a potential explanation for the observed pattern is behavioral: non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) designed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Leah LeJeune , Omar Saucedo , Lauren M. Childs , Navid Ghaffarzadegan

We study the role of unbiased migration in cooperation in the framework of spatial evolutionary game on a variety of spatial structures, involving regular lattice, continuous plane and complex networks. A striking finding is that migration…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-06-01 Han-Xin Yang , Wen-Xu Wang , Bing-Hong Wang

Stochastic phenotype switching has been suggested to play a beneficial role in microbial populations by leading to the division of labour among cells, or ensuring that at least some of the population survives an unexpected change in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-02 Andrew C. Tadrowski , Martin R. Evans , Bartlomiej Waclaw

Mathematical modelling of epidemiological and coevolutionary dynamics is widely being used to improve disease management strategies of infectious diseases. Many diseases present some form of intra-host quiescent stage, also known as covert…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Usman Sanusi , Sona John , Johannes Mueller , Aurélien Tellier

Evolution occurs in populations of reproducing individuals. It is well known that population structure can affect evolutionary dynamics. Traditionally, natural selection is studied between mutants that differ in reproductive rate, but are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-23 Josef Tkadlec , Kamran Kaveh , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

We investigate how key epidemiological parameters shape both seasonal epidemics and the persistence of dengue transmission. Our findings confirm known mechanistic drivers of epidemic variability and introduce a ranking of parameter…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-22 Cesar Alberto Rosales-Alcantar , Marcos A. Capistrán

RNA viruses exist in large intra-host populations which display great genotypic and phenotypic diversity. We analyze a model of viral competition between two different viral strains infecting a constantly replenished cell pool, in which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-18 Edgar Delgado-Eckert , Samuel Ojosnegros , Niko Beerenwinkel

We present a thorough inspection of the dynamical behavior of epidemic phenomena in populations with complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns. We show that the growth of the epidemic prevalence is virtually instantaneous in all…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Individual migration has been regarded as an important factor for the evolution of cooperation in mobile populations. Motivations of migration, however, can be largely divergent: one is highly frustrated by the vicinity of an exploiter or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-20 Zhilong Xiao , Xiaojie Chen , Attila Szolnoki

The long-term evolution of epidemic processes depends crucially on the structure of contact networks. As empirical evidence indicates that human populations exhibit strong community organization, we investigate here how such mesoscopic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-09 T. Jesan , Chandrashekar Kuyyamudi , Sitabhra Sinha

During infectious disease epidemics, pathogen transmission occurs in host populations made up of interacting subpopulations. Using stochastic simulation and analytical approximations, we examine how outbreak sizes in networked populations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Makoto Ueki , Robin N. Thompson , Murad Banaji

In numerous contexts, individuals may decide whether they take actions to mitigate the spread of disease, or not. Mitigating the spread of disease requires an individual to change their routine behaviours to benefit others, resulting in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-11 Julie Rowlett , Carl-Joar Karlsson

Deployment of anti-virus software is a common strategy for preventing and controlling the propagation of computer viruses and worms over a computer network. As the deployment of such programs is often limited due to monetary or operational…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Jhonatan Tavori , Hanoch Levy

An interesting inference drawn by some Covid-19 epidemiological models is that there exists a proportion of the population who are not susceptible to infection -- even at the start of the current pandemic. This paper introduces a model of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-18 Thomas Parr , Anjali Bhat , Peter Zeidman , Aimee Goel , Alexander J. Billig , Rosalyn Moran , Karl J. Friston

The evolution of antimicrobial resistance can be strongly affected by variations of antimicrobial concentration. Here, we study the impact of periodic alternations of absence and presence of antimicrobial on resistance evolution in a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Loïc Marrec , Anne-Florence Bitbol

Disgust is a basic emotion that serves to avoid contaminants, and is central to the behavioural immune system. While disgust-motivated avoidance occurs in bonobos and chimpanzees, humans show uniquely high levels of contamination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Edwin S. Dalmaijer , Thomas Armstrong

We investigate a model of a parasite population invading spatially distributed immobile hosts on a graph, which is a modification of the frog model. Each host has an unbreakable immunity against infection with a certain probability $1-p$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Sascha Franck

RNA virus populations will undergo processes of mutation and selection resulting in a mixed population of viral particles. High throughput sequencing of a viral population subsequently contains a mixed signal of the underlying clones. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-31 Donatien Fotso-Chedom , Pablo R. Murcia , Chris D. Greenman
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