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We derive Wasserstein distance bounds between the probability distributions of a stochastic integral (It\^o) process with jumps $(X_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ and a jump-diffusion process $(X^\ast_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$. Our bounds are expressed using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Jean-Christophe Breton , Nicolas Privault

We will develop some elements in stochastic analysis in the Wasserstein space $\mathbb{P}_2(M)$ over a compact Riemannian manifold $M$, such as intrinsic It$\^o$ formulae, stochastic regular curves and parallel translations along them. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Hao Ding , Shizan Fang , Xiang-dong Li

Using i.i.d. data to estimate a high-dimensional distribution in Wasserstein distance is a fundamental instance of the curse of dimensionality. We explore how structural knowledge about the data-generating process which gives rise to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Daniel Bartl , Stephan Eckstein

We consider a system consisting of a planar random walk on a square lattice, submitted to stochastic elementary local deformations. Depending on the deformation transition rates, and specifically on a parameter $\eta$ which breaks the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

We provide attainable analytical tools to estimate the error of flow-based generative models under the Wasserstein metric and to establish the optimal sampling iteration complexity bound with respect to dimension as $O(\sqrt{d})$. We show…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Xiangjun Meng , Zhongjian Wang

We introduce Statistical Flow Matching (SFM), a novel and mathematically rigorous flow-matching framework on the manifold of parameterized probability measures inspired by the results from information geometry. We demonstrate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Chaoran Cheng , Jiahan Li , Jian Peng , Ge Liu

Minimising upper bounds on the population risk or the generalisation gap has been widely used in structural risk minimisation (SRM) -- this is in particular at the core of PAC-Bayesian learning. Despite its successes and unfailing surge of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Paul Viallard , Maxime Haddouche , Umut Şimşekli , Benjamin Guedj

Einmahl, de Haan and Zhou (2016, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 78(1), 31-51) recently introduced a stochastic model that allows for heteroscedasticity of extremes. The model is extended to the situation where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

Learning conditional densities and identifying factors that influence the entire distribution are vital tasks in data-driven applications. Conventional approaches work mostly with summary statistics, and are hence inadequate for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Chengliang Tang , Nathan Lenssen , Ying Wei , Tian Zheng

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

Computing the infinity Wasserstein distance and retrieving projections of a probability measure onto a closed subset of probability measures are critical sub-problems in various applied fields. However, the practical applicability of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Gennaro Auricchio , Gabriele Loli , Marco Veneroni

We consider the stochastic ranking process with space-time dependent jump rates for the particles. The process is a simplified model of the time evolution of the rankings such as sales ranks at online bookstores. We prove that the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Tetsuya Hattori , Seiichiro Kusuoka

The probabilistic method is a technique for proving combinatorial existence results by means of showing that a randomly chosen object has the desired properties with positive probability. A particularly powerful probabilistic tool is the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Anton Bernshteyn

We propose a new method for smoothly interpolating probability measures using the geometry of optimal transport. To that end, we reduce this problem to the classical Euclidean setting, allowing us to directly leverage the extensive toolbox…

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of probability, random variables and stochastic processes. The probability theory is baed on existing approaches using valuations and lower integrals. Various approaches to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Pieter Collins

Stable laws can be tempered by modifying the L\'evy measure to cool the probability of large jumps. Tempered stable laws retain their signature power law behavior at infinity, and infinite divisibility. This paper develops random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-26 Arijit Chakrabarty , Mark M. Meerschaert

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

We present a stochastic algorithm to compute the barycenter of a set of probability distributions under the Wasserstein metric from optimal transport. Unlike previous approaches, our method extends to continuous input distributions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Sebastian Claici , Edward Chien , Justin Solomon

Le Cam's third/contiguity lemma is a fundamental probabilistic tool to compute the limiting distribution of a given statistic $T_n$ under a non-null sequence of probability measures $\{Q_n\}$, provided its limiting distribution under a null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Qiyang Han , Tiefeng Jiang , Yandi Shen