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This paper develops a dynamic factor model in which common level and volatility factors evolve jointly, allowing conditional means and variances to interact endogenously within a large-information setting. The joint evolution of these…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Haroon Mumtaz , Sofia Velasco

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

This study presents an analytical approach to sector rotation, leveraging both factor models and fundamental metrics. We initiate with a systematic classification of sectors, followed by an empirical investigation into their returns.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Runjia Yang , Beining Shi

The operating status of power systems is influenced by growing varieties of factors, resulting from the developing sizes and complexity of power systems; in this situation, the modelbased methods need be revisited. A data-driven method, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-07 Xinyi Xu , Xing He , Qian Ai , Robert C. Qiu

In this paper, we focus on exploiting the group structure for large-dimensional factor models, which captures the homogeneous effects of common factors on individuals within the same group. In view of the fact that datasets in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Yong He , Xiaoyang Ma , Xingheng Wang , Yalin Wang

There has been significant attention given to developing data-driven methods for tailoring patient care based on individual patient characteristics. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize this through a sequence of decision rules that map…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Eric J. Rose , Erica E. M. Moodie , Susan Shortreed

We propose a confirmatory dynamic factor model for a large number of stocks whose returns are observed daily across multiple time zones. The model has a global factor and a continental factor that both drive the individual stock return…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Jianbin Wu

We propose and study a simple model of dynamical redistribution of capital in a diversified portfolio. We consider a hypothetical situation of a portfolio composed of N uncorrelated stocks. Each stock price follows a multiplicative random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Matteo Marsili , Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

This paper considers an approximate dynamic matrix factor model that accounts for the time series nature of the data by explicitly modelling the time evolution of the factors. We study estimation of the model parameters based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Matteo Barigozzi , Luca Trapin

We consider a threshold factor model for high-dimensional time series in which the dynamics of the time series is assumed to switch between different regimes according to the value of a threshold variable. This is an extension of threshold…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-06 Xialu Liu , Rong Chen

In this article, we analyse optimal statistical arbitrage strategies from stochastic control and optimisation problems for multiple co-integrated stocks with eigenportfolios being factors. Optimal portfolio weights are found by solving a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 T. N. Li , A. Papanicolaou

Regime-switching poses both problems and opportunities for portfolio managers. If a switch in the behaviour of the markets is not quickly detected it can be a source of loss, since previous trading positions may be inappropriate in the new…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

The purpose of this article is to develop the dimension reduction techniques in panel data analysis when the number of individuals and indicators is large. We use Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method to represent large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-10 Guobin Fang , Kani Chen , Bo Zhang

This paper studies the time-varying structure of the equity market with respect to market capitalization. First, we analyze the distribution of the 100 largest companies' market capitalizations over time, in terms of inequality,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-21 Nick James , Max Menzies

Volatilities, in high-dimensional panels of economic time series with a dynamic factor structure on the levels or returns, typically also admit a dynamic factor decomposition. We consider a two-stage dynamic factor model method recovering…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

Active portfolio management tries to incorporate any source of meaningful information into the asset selection process. In this contribution we consider qualitative views specified as total orders of the expected asset returns and discuss…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 Eranda Çela , Stephan Hafner , Roland Mestel , Ulrich Pferschy

The rapid growth of crypto markets has opened new opportunities for investors, but at the same time exposed them to high volatility. To address the challenge of managing dynamic portfolios in such an environment, this paper presents a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-29 Antonino Castelli , Paolo Giudici , Alessandro Piergallini

Financial markets are inherently non-stationary, with shifting volatility regimes that alter asset co-movements and return distributions. Standard portfolio optimization methods, typically built on stationarity or regime-agnostic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-20 Yiyao Zhang , Diksha Goel , Hussain Ahmad , Claudia Szabo