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Global warming made the Arctic available for marine operations and created demand for reliable operational sea ice forecasts to make them safe. While ocean-ice numerical models are highly computationally intensive, relatively lightweight…

Arctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate. Sea ice models governed by physical equations have been used to simulate the state of the ice including characteristics such as ice thickness, concentration, and motion. More…

The diminishing extent of Arctic sea ice is a key indicator of climate change as well as an accelerant for future global warming. Since 1978, Arctic sea ice has been measured using satellite-based microwave sensing; however, different…

Sea ice plays a critical role in the global climate system and maritime operations, making timely and accurate classification essential. However, traditional manual methods are time-consuming, costly, and have inherent biases. Automating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Samira Alkaee Taleghan , Andrew P. Barrett , Walter N. Meier , Farnoush Banaei-Kashani

For accurate forecast of climate change, sea ice mass balance, ocean circulation and sea- atmosphere interactions is required to have long term records of Sea Ice Thickness (SIT). Different approaches have been applied to retrieve SIT and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-09-12 Vera Djepa

Predicting Arctic sea ice extent is a notoriously difficult forecasting problem, even for lead times as short as one month. Motivated by Arctic intraannual variability phenomena such as reemergence of sea surface temperature and sea ice…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Darin Comeau , Dimitrios Giannakis , Zhizhen Zhao , Andrew J. Majda

The warming of the Arctic, also known as Arctic amplification, is led by several atmospheric and oceanic drivers. However, the details of its underlying thermodynamic causes are still unknown. Inferring the causal effects of atmospheric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Sahara Ali , Omar Faruque , Yiyi Huang , Md. Osman Gani , Aneesh Subramanian , Nicole-Jienne Shchlegel , Jianwu Wang

Sea ice, or frozen ocean water, freezes and melts every year in the Arctic. Forecasts of where sea ice will be located weeks to months in advance have become more important as the amount of sea ice declines due to climate change, for…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-11 Hannah M. Director , Adrian E. Raftery , Cecilia M. Bitz

Sea ice at the North Pole is vital to global climate dynamics. However, accurately forecasting sea ice poses a significant challenge due to the intricate interaction among multiple variables. Leveraging the capability to integrate multiple…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Jaesung Park , Sungchul Hong , Yoonseo Cho , Jong-June Jeon

A mechanism connecting ice algal ecodynamics with the buildup of organic macromolecules in brine channels is tested offline in a reduced model of pack geochemistry. Driver physical quantities are extracted from the global sea ice dynamics…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-27 S. Elliott , N. Jeffery , E. Hunke , C. Deal , M. Jin , S. Wang , E. Elliott Smith , S. Oestreicher

The Arctic sea ice cover has significantly declined over the recent decades. The debate on whether this decline is caused by anthropogenic activity or internal cycles is still ongoing. However, despite this uncertainty, some physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Arya Kimiaghalam

Predicting changes in sea ice cover is critical for shipping, ecosystem monitoring, and climate modeling. Current sea ice models, however, predict more ice than is observed in the Arctic, and less in the Antarctic. Improving the fit of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Kelly Kochanski , Ivana Cvijanovic , Donald Lucas

Rapid changes in Earth's cryosphere caused by human activity can lead to significant environmental impacts. Computer models provide a useful tool for understanding the behavior and projecting the future of Arctic and Antarctic ice sheets.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-01 Won Chang , Bledar A. Konomi , Georgios Karagiannis , Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…

Clouds containing ice particles play a crucial role in the climate system. Yet they remain a source of great uncertainty in climate models and future climate projections. In this work, we create a new observational constraint of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-14 Kai Jeggle , Mikolaj Czerkawski , Federico Serva , Bertrand Le Saux , David Neubauer , Ulrike Lohmann

Weather foundation models (WFMs) have recently set new benchmarks in global forecast skill, yet their concrete value for the weather-sensitive infrastructure that powers modern society remains largely unexplored. In this study, we fine-tune…

Identifying causal relationships in climate systems remains challenging due to nonlinear, coupled dynamics that limit the effectiveness of linear and stochastic causal discovery approaches. This study benchmarks Convergence Cross Mapping…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-23 Francis Nji , Seraj Al Mahmud Mostafa , Jianwu Wang

Sea ice, crucial to the Arctic and Earth's climate, requires consistent monitoring and high-resolution mapping. Manual sea ice mapping, however, is time-consuming and subjective, prompting the need for automated deep learning-based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Behzad Vahedi , Benjamin Lucas , Farnoush Banaei-Kashani , Andrew P. Barrett , Walter N. Meier , Siri Jodha Khalsa , Morteza Karimzadeh

The mass loss of the polar ice sheets contributes considerably to ongoing sea-level rise and changing ocean circulation, leading to coastal flooding and risking the homes and livelihoods of tens of millions of people globally. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Zesheng Liu , YoungHyun Koo , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Accurate estimation of sea ice drift is critical for Arctic navigation, climate research, and operational forecasting. While optical flow, a computer vision technique for estimating pixel wise motion between consecutive images, has advanced…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Daniela Martin , Joseph Gallego