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As consumer flexibility becomes expected, it is important that the market mechanisms which attain that flexibility are perceived as fair. We set out fairness issues in energy markets today, and propose a market design to address them.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Shaun Sweeney , Chris King , Mark O'Malley , Robert Shorten

We develop an arbitrage-free random field LIBOR market model to price cross-currency derivatives. The uncertainty of the forward LIBOR rates of our cross-currency model is driven by a two time parameter random field instead of a finite…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-02 Rajinda Wickrama

This paper develops a rigorous mathematical framework for analyzing Concentrated Liquidity Market Makers (CLMMs) in Decentralized Finance (DeFi) within a continuous-time setting. We model the evolution of liquidity profiles as…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-25 Shen-Ning Tung , Tai-Ho Wang

For a market impact model, price manipulation and related notions play a role that is similar to the role of arbitrage in a derivatives pricing model. Here, we give a systematic investigation into such regularity issues when orders can be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-08 Florian Klöck , Alexander Schied , Yuemeng Sun

Interest rate market models, like the LIBOR market model, have the advantage that the basic model quantities are directly observable in financial markets. Inflation market models extend this approach to inflation markets, where zero-coupon…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Stefan Waldenberger

We address the modelling of commodities that are supposed to have positive price but, on account of a possible failure in the physical delivery mechanism, may turn out not to. This is done by explicitly incorporating a `delivery liability'…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Richard J. Martin , Aldous Birchall

The coordinated operation of interconnected but locally controlled electricity markets is generally referred to as a "coupling". In this paper we propose a new mechanism design for efficient coupling of independent electricity markets. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Alfredo Garcia , Roohallah Khatami , Ceyhun Eksin , Furkan Sezer

Traditional electric energy markets do not explicitly model generator contingencies. To improve the representation of resources and to enhance the modeling of uncertainty, existing markets are moving in the direction of including generator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 N. G. Singhal , J. Kwon , K. W. Hedman

We consider an exchange who wishes to set suitable make-take fees to attract liquidity on its platform. Using a principal-agent approach, we are able to describe in quasi-explicit form the optimal contract to propose to a market maker. This…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-27 Omar El Euch , Thibaut Mastrolia , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Nizar Touzi

This work applies Matrix Completion (MC) -- a class of machine-learning methods commonly used in the context of recommendation systems -- to analyse economic complexity. MC is applied to reconstruct the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA)…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-10 Gnecco Giorgio , Nutarelli Federico , Riccaboni Massimo

Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

We consider a market where a finite number of players trade an asset whose supply is a stochastic process. The price formation problem consists of finding a price process that ensures that when agents act optimally to minimize their trading…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez , Ricardo Ribeiro

We empirically analyze the price and liquidity responses to trade signs, traded volumes and signed traded volumes. Utilizing the singular value decomposition, we explore the interconnections of price responses and of liquidity responses…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Shanshan Wang , Sebastian Neusüß , Thomas Guhr

This article analytically characterizes the impermanent loss for automatic market makers in decentralized exchanges such as Uniswap or Balancer (CPMM). We present a theoretical static replication formula for the pool value using a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-16 Agustín Muñoz González , Juan I. Sequeira y Ariel Dembling

Existing electricity market designs assume risk neutrality and lack risk-hedging instruments, which leads to suboptimal market outcomes and reduces the overall market efficiency. This paper enables risk-trading in the chance-constrained…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-06 Robert Mieth , Matt Roveto , Yury Dvorkin

We give a detailed characterization of optimal trades under budget constraints in a prediction market with a cost-function-based automated market maker. We study how the budget constraints of individual traders affect their ability to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-08 Nikhil Devanur , Miroslav Dudík , Zhiyi Huang , David M. Pennock

Building on ideas from online convex optimization, we propose a general framework for the design of efficient securities markets over very large outcome spaces. The challenge here is computational. In a complete market, in which one…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-10 Jacob Abernethy , Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

This paper focuses on the operation of an electricity market that accounts for participants that bid at a sub-minute timescale. To that end, we model the market-clearing process as a dynamical system, called market dynamics, which is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Pengcheng You , Yan Jiang , Enoch Yeung , Dennice F. Gayme , Enrique Mallada

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

The rise of the machine learning (ML) model economy has intertwined markets for training datasets and pre-trained models. However, most pricing approaches still separate data and model transactions or rely on broker-centric pipelines that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hongrun Ren , Yun Xiong , Lei You , Yingying Wang , Haixu Xiong , Yangyong Zhu