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We introduce our method, conformal highest conditional density sets (CHCDS), that forms conformal prediction sets using existing estimated conditional highest density predictive regions. We prove the validity of the method, and that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Max Sampson , Kung-Sik Chan

Model trees provide an appealing way to perform interpretable machine learning for both classification and regression problems. In contrast to ``classic'' decision trees with constant values in their leaves, model trees can use linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Sabino Francesco Roselli , Eibe Frank

Connected acyclic graphs (trees) are data objects that hierarchically organize categories. Collections of trees arise in a diverse variety of fields, including evolutionary biology, public health, machine learning, social sciences and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Maria Alejandra Valdez Cabrera , Amy D Willis , Armeen Taeb

We consider the problem of conditional density estimation, which is a major topic of interest in the fields of statistical and machine learning. Our method, called Marginal Contrastive Discrimination, MCD, reformulates the conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-05 Katia Meziani , Aminata Ndiaye , Benjamin Riu

Many unsupervised representation learning methods belong to the class of similarity learning models. While various modality-specific approaches exist for different types of data, a core property of many methods is that representations of…

Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many applications, however, we are faced with conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jean-Francois Ton , Lucian Chan , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric method for estimating high-dimensional dynamic covariance matrices with multiple conditioning covariates, leveraging random forests and supported by robust theoretical guarantees. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Shuguang Yu , Fan Zhou , Yingjie Zhang , Ziqi Chen , Hongtu Zhu

Conditional Variance Estimation (CVE) is a novel sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method for additive error regressions with continuous predictors and link function. It operates under the assumption that the predictors can be replaced…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 Lukas Fertl , Efstathia Bura

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is integral to a range of generative and discriminative tasks in machine learning. Drawing upon tools from the multidimensional calculus of variations, we derive an optimal weight function that reduces bias…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Sangwoong Yoon , Frank C. Park , Gunsu S Yun , Iljung Kim , Yung-Kyun Noh

Causal inference and model interpretability are gaining increasing attention, particularly in the biomedical domain. Despite recent advance, decorrelating features in nonlinear environments with human-interpretable representations remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Junda Wang , Weijian Li , Han Wang , Hanjia Lyu , Caroline P. Thirukumaran , Addisu Mesfin , Hong Yu , Jiebo Luo

Reliable large-scale data on the state of forests is crucial for monitoring ecosystem health, carbon stock, and the impact of climate change. Current knowledge of tree species distribution relies heavily on manual data collection in the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-09 Hongjin Lin , Matthew Nazari , Derek Zheng

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), via their induced flow maps, provide a powerful framework to parameterize invertible transformations for the purpose of representing complex probability distributions. While such models have achieved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Youssef Marzouk , Zhi Ren , Sven Wang , Jakob Zech

Tree-based machine learning models such as random forests, decision trees, and gradient boosted trees are the most popular non-linear predictive models used in practice today, yet comparatively little attention has been paid to explaining…

Given a set of empirical observations, conditional density estimation aims to capture the statistical relationship between a conditional variable $\mathbf{x}$ and a dependent variable $\mathbf{y}$ by modeling their conditional probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-16 Jonas Rothfuss , Fabio Ferreira , Simon Walther , Maxim Ulrich

Motivated by applications, we consider here new operator theoretic approaches to Conditional mean embeddings (CME). Our present results combine a spectral analysis-based optimization scheme with the use of kernels, stochastic processes, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , Myung-Sin Song , James Tian

One-class Classification (OCC) is an area of machine learning which addresses prediction based on unbalanced datasets. Basically, OCC algorithms achieve training by means of a single class sample, with potentially some additional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Sarah Itani , Fabian Lecron , Philippe Fortemps

Conditional generative models map input variables to complex, high-dimensional distributions, enabling realistic sample generation in a diverse set of domains. A critical challenge with these models is the absence of calibrated uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qidong Yang , Qianyu Julie Zhu , Jonathan Giezendanner , Youssef Marzouk , Stephen Bates , Sherrie Wang

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

This paper presents an intuitive application of multivariate kernel density estimation (KDE) for data correction. The method utilizes the expected value of the conditional probability density function (PDF) and a credible interval to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-19 Hai Bui , Mostafa Bakhoday-Paskyabi

We propose a method for nonparametric density estimation that exhibits robustness to contamination of the training sample. This method achieves robustness by combining a traditional kernel density estimator (KDE) with ideas from classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-09-07 JooSeuk Kim , Clayton D. Scott
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