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The increasing amount of available data, computing power, and the constant pursuit for higher performance results in the growing complexity of predictive models. Their black-box nature leads to opaqueness debt phenomenon inflicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hubert Baniecki , Wojciech Kretowicz , Piotr Piatyszek , Jakub Wisniewski , Przemyslaw Biecek

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

Bayesian neural networks provide a direct and natural way to extend standard deep neural networks to support probabilistic deep learning through the use of probabilistic layers that, traditionally, encode weight (and bias) uncertainty. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Daniel T. Chang

Bayesian Knowledge Tracing, a model used for cognitive mastery estimation, has been a hallmark of adaptive learning research and an integral component of deployed intelligent tutoring systems (ITS). In this paper, we provide a brief history…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Anirudhan Badrinath , Frederic Wang , Zachary Pardos

Biological neural networks face a formidable task: performing reliable computations in the face of intrinsic stochasticity in individual neurons, imprecisely specified synaptic connectivity, and nonnegligible delays in synaptic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-26 Jonathan Kadmon , Jonathan Timcheck , Surya Ganguli

jinns is an open-source Python library for physics-informed neural networks, built to tackle both forward and inverse problems, as well as meta-model learning. Rooted in the JAX ecosystem, it provides a versatile framework for efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-19 Hugo Gangloff , Nicolas Jouvin

Probabilistic neural networks are typically modeled with independent weight priors, which do not capture weight correlations in the prior and do not provide a parsimonious interface to express properties in function space. A desirable class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui

In recent years, research unveiled more and more evidence for the so-called Bayesian Brain Paradigm, i.e. the human brain is interpreted as a probabilistic inference machine and Bayesian modelling approaches are hence used successfully. One…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Experiments in research on memory, language, and in other areas of cognitive science are increasingly being analyzed using Bayesian methods. This has been facilitated by the development of probabilistic programming languages such as Stan,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-02 Daniel J. Schad , Michael Betancourt , Shravan Vasishth

This paper introduces Paraconsistent-Lib, an open-source, easy-to-use Python library for building PAL2v algorithms in reasoning and decision-making systems. Paraconsistent-Lib is designed as a general-purpose library of PAL2v standard…

Predictive coding networks are neuroscience-inspired models with roots in both Bayesian statistics and neuroscience. Training such models, however, is quite inefficient and unstable. In this work, we show how by simply changing the temporal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Tommaso Salvatori , Yuhang Song , Yordan Yordanov , Beren Millidge , Zhenghua Xu , Lei Sha , Cornelius Emde , Rafal Bogacz , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Although neural networks can achieve very high predictive performance on various different tasks such as image recognition or natural language processing, they are often considered as opaque "black boxes". The difficulty of interpreting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-22 Enguerrand Horel , Virgile Mison , Tao Xiong , Kay Giesecke , Lidia Mangu

Probabilistic programming is a rapidly developing programming paradigm which enables the formulation of Bayesian models as programs and the automation of posterior inference. It facilitates the development of models and conducting Bayesian…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Nathanael Nussbaumer , Markus Böck , Jürgen Cito

Predictive coding (PC) is an influential theory in computational neuroscience, which argues that the cortex forms unsupervised world models by implementing a hierarchical process of prediction error minimization. PC networks (PCNs) are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Tommaso Salvatori , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Rafal Bogacz

bayesian_pyhf is a Python package that allows for the parallel Bayesian and frequentist evaluation of multi-channel binned statistical models. The Python library pyhf is used to build such models according to the HistFactory framework and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-13 Matthew Feickert , Lukas Heinrich , Malin Horstmann

Pykg2vec is an open-source Python library for learning the representations of the entities and relations in knowledge graphs. Pykg2vec's flexible and modular software architecture currently implements 16 state-of-the-art knowledge graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Shih Yuan Yu , Sujit Rokka Chhetri , Arquimedes Canedo , Palash Goyal , Mohammad Abdullah Al Faruque

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Averaging predictions from multiple competing inferential models frequently outperforms predictions from any single model, providing that models are optimally weighted to maximize predictive performance. This is particularly the case in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Nathaniel Haines , Conor Goold

We introduce JPC, a JAX library for training neural networks with Predictive Coding. JPC provides a simple, fast and flexible interface to train a variety of PC networks (PCNs) including discriminative, generative and hybrid models. Unlike…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Francesco Innocenti , Paul Kinghorn , Will Yun-Farmbrough , Miguel De Llanza Varona , Ryan Singh , Christopher L. Buckley

Context. Inferring spectral parameters from X-ray data is one of the cornerstones of high-energy astrophysics, and is achieved using software stacks that have been developed over the last twenty years and more. However, as models get more…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-23 Simon Dupourqué , Didier Barret , Camille M. Diez , Sébastien Guillot , Erwan Quintin