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We analyze multiline pricing and capital allocation in equilibrium no-arbitrage markets. Existing theories often assume a perfect complete market, but when pricing is linear, there is no diversification benefit from risk pooling and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 John A. Major , Stephen J. Mildenhall

This paper examines nonparametric regression with an exogenous threshold variable, allowing for an unknown number of thresholds. Given the number of thresholds and corresponding threshold values, we first establish the asymptotic properties…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-26 Yan-Yu Chiou , Mei-Yuan Chen , Jau-er Chen

We estimate the global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio in the high-dimensional case using results from random matrix theory. This approach leads to a shrinkage-type estimator which is distribution-free and it is optimal in the sense of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Nestor Parolya , Wolfgang Schmid

We consider the problem of an agent who faces losses in continuous time over a finite time horizon and may choose to share some of these losses with a counterparty. The agent is uncertain about the true loss distribution and has multiple…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Emma Kroell , Sebastian Jaimungal , Silvana M. Pesenti

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

Vehicle insurance claims size prediction needs methods to efficiently handle these claims. Machine learning (ML) is one of the methods that solve this problem. Tree-based ensemble learning algorithms are highly effective and widely used ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Edossa Merga Terefe

We provide efficient estimation methods for first- and second-price auctions under independent (asymmetric) private values and partial observability. Given a finite set of observations, each comprising the identity of the winner and the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Constantinos Daskalakis , Andrew Ilyas , Manolis Zampetakis

Claim frequency data in insurance records the number of claims on insurance policies during a finite period of time. Given that insurance companies operate with multiple lines of insurance business where the claim frequencies on different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-05 Pengcheng Zhang , David Pitt , Xueyuan Wu

Insurance products frequently cover significant claims arising from a variety of sources. To model losses from these products accurately, actuarial models must account for high-severity claims. A widely used strategy is to apply a mixture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 Sébastien Jessup , Mélina Mailhot , Mathieu Pigeon

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonparametric models. The proposed algorithms are based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-01 Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

We develop a model for contagion in reinsurance networks by which primary insurers' losses are spread through the network. Our model handles general reinsurance contracts, such as typical excess of loss contracts. We show that simpler…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

We develop a novel method of constructing confidence bands for nonparametric regression functions under shape constraints. This method can be implemented via a linear programming, and it is thus computationally appealing. We illustrate a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-15 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

Latent variable models represent a useful tool for the analysis of complex data when the constructs of interest are not observable. A problem related to these models is that the integrals involved in the likelihood function cannot be solved…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-05 Silvia Bianconcini , Silvia Cagnone , Dimitris Rizopoulos

In contrast to the popular Cox model which presents a multiplicative covariate effect specification on the time to event hazards, the semiparametric additive risks model (ARM) offers an attractive additive specification, allowing for direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Tong Wang , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Samiran Sinha

This paper investigates a robust optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences operating under model uncertainty. The insurer's surplus follows the diffusion approximation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Elizabeth Dadzie , Wilfried Kuissi-Kamdem , Marcel Ndengo

This paper considers (partial) identification of a variety of counterfactual parameters in binary response models with possibly endogenous regressors. Our framework allows for nonseparable index functions with multi-dimensional latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-26 Jiaying Gu , Thomas M. Russell

Nonparametric regression models offer a way to understand and quantify relationships between variables without having to identify an appropriate family of possible regression functions. Although many estimation methods for these models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Matias Salibian-Barrera

In this paper, we propose a novel axiomatic approach to evaluating the joint risk of multiple insurance risks under dependence uncertainty. Motivated by both the theory of expected utility and the Cobb-Dauglas utility function, we establish…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

The task of modeling claim severities is addressed when data is not consistent with the classical regression assumptions. This framework is common in several lines of business within insurance and reinsurance, where catastrophic losses or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas