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This paper addresses the identification of insurance models with multidimensional screening where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes a random damage and the possibility of several…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-18 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong

The paper proposes an original methodology for constructing quantitative statistical models based on multidimensional distribution functions constructed on the basis of the insurance companies' data on inshurance policies (including…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Valery Baskakov , Nikolay Sheparnev , Evgeny Yanenko

We consider two nonparametric estimators for the risk measure of the sum of $n$ i.i.d. individual insurance risks where the number of historical single claims that are used for the statistical estimation is of order $n$. This framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-17 Alexandra Lauer , Henryk Zähle

The prediction of future insurance claims based on observed risk factors, or covariates, help the actuary set insurance premiums. Typically, actuaries use parametric regression models to predict claims based on the covariate information.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mostafa Shams Esfand Abadi , Kaushik Ghosh

The non-identifiability of the competing risks model requires researchers to work with restrictions on the model to obtain informative results. We present a new identifiability solution based on an exclusion restriction. Many areas of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Munir Hiabu , Simon M. S. LU , Ralf A. Wilke

This paper is concerned with learning decision makers' preferences using data on observed choices from a finite set of risky alternatives. We propose a discrete choice model with unobserved heterogeneity in consideration sets and in…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-07 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari , Matthew Thirkettle

Parametric insurance has emerged as a practical way to cover risks that may be difficult to assess. By introducing a parameter that triggers compensation and allows the insurer to determine a payment without estimating the actual loss,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-20 Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas

Accidental damage is a typical component of motor insurance claim. Modeling of this nature generally involves analysis of past claim history and different characteristics of the insured objects and the policyholders. Generalized linear…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-11 Sen Hu , Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy

This project works with the risk model developed by Li et al. (2015) and quests modelling, estimating and pricing insurance for risks brought in by innovative technologies, or other emerging or latent risks. The model considers two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-20 Weihong Ni , Corina Constantinescu , Alfredo Egídio dos Reis , Véronique Maume-Deschamps

This paper studies optimal insurance design under asymmetric information in a Stackelberg framework, where a monopolistic insurer faces uncertainty about both the insured's risk attitude, captured by a risk-aversion parameter, and the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-20 Xia Han , Bin Li

With insurers benefiting from ever-larger amounts of data of increasing complexity, we explore a data-driven method to model dependence within multilevel claims in this paper. More specifically, we start from a non-parametric estimator for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

We provide sufficient conditions for semi-nonparametric point identification of a mixture model of decision making under risk, when agents make choices in multiple lines of insurance coverage (contexts) by purchasing a bundle. As a first…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-19 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari

In high-risk environments, traditional indemnity insurance is often unaffordable or ineffective, despite its well-known optimality under expected utility. We compare excess-of-loss indemnity insurance with parametric insurance within a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Benjamin Avanzi , Debbie Kusch Falden , Mogens Steffensen

In general insurance, risks from different categories are often modeled independently and their sum is regarded as the total risk the insurer takes on in exchange for a premium. The dependence from multiple risks is generally neglected even…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-10 Sen Hu , T Brendan Murphy , Adrian O'Hagan

Claim reserving in insurance has been studied through two primary frameworks: the macro-level approach, which estimates reserves at an aggregate level (e.g., Chain-Ladder), and the micro-level approach, which estimates reserves at the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Sebastian Calcetero Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin

Accurate forecasting of an insurer's outstanding liabilities is vital for the solvency of insurance companies and the financial stability of the insurance sector. For health and disability insurance, the liabilities are intimately linked…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 K. Buchardt , C. Furrer , O. L. Sandqvist

Nowadays insurers have to account for potentially complex dependence between risks. In the field of loss reserving, there are many parametric and non-parametric models attempting to capture dependence between business lines. One common…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Andrew Fleck , Edward Furman , Yang Shen

We study the identification and estimation of a multidimensional screening model, where a monopolist sells a multi-attribute product to consumers with private information about their multidimensional preferences. Under optimal screening,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-18 Gaurab Aryal , Federico Zincenko

This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Tim J. Boonen , Xia Han , Peng Liu , Jiacong Wang
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