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Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for effectively mining and learning from graph-structured data, with applications spanning numerous domains. However, most research focuses on static graphs, neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yanping Zheng , Lu Yi , Zhewei Wei

Generalized additive models (GAMs) provide a way to blend parametric and non-parametric (function approximation) techniques together, making them flexible tools suitable for many modeling problems. For instance, GAMs can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Antti Solonen , Stratos Staboulis

Graph neural networks (GNNs), especially dynamic GNNs, have become a research hotspot in spatio-temporal forecasting problems. While many dynamic graph construction methods have been developed, relatively few of them explore the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Guojun Liang , Prayag Tiwari , Sławomir Nowaczyk , Stefan Byttner , Fernando Alonso-Fernandez

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) provide flexible function approximations for a wide variety of applications when the input variables are in the form of images or spatial data. Although CNNs often outperform traditional statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Yeseul Jeon , Won Chang , Seonghyun Jeong , Sanghoon Han , Jaewoo Park

Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are powerful tools for representing statistical dependencies through graphs in high-dimensional systems. However, they are limited to pairwise interactions. In this work, we propose the simplicial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-16 Lorenzo Marinucci , Gabriele D'Acunto , Paolo Di Lorenzo , Sergio Barbarossa

Bayesian Generalized Nonlinear Models (BGNLM) offer a flexible nonlinear alternative to GLM while still providing better interpretability than machine learning techniques such as neural networks. In BGNLM, the methods of Bayesian Variable…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jon Lachmann , Aliaksandr Hubin

The overview-driven visual analysis of large-scale dynamic graphs poses a major challenge. We propose Multiscale Snapshots, a visual analytics approach to analyze temporal summaries of dynamic graphs at multiple temporal scales. First, we…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Eren Cakmak , Udo Schlegel , Dominik Jäckle , Daniel Keim , Tobias Schreck

We consider the problems of hypothesis testing and model comparison under a flexible Bayesian linear regression model whose formulation is closely connected with the linear mixed effect model and the parametric models for SNP set analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-24 Xiaoquan Wen

We introduce a novel class of graphical models, termed profile graphical models, that represent, within a single graph, how an external factor influences the dependence structure of a multivariate set of variables. This class is quite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Monia Lupparelli , Francesco C. Stingo

The field of hypothesis generation promises to reduce costs in neuroscience by narrowing the range of interventional studies needed to study various phenomena. Existing machine learning methods can generate scientific hypotheses from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Zachary C. Brown , David Carlson

Anomaly detection in high-dimensional time series data is pivotal for numerous industrial applications. Recent advances in multivariate time series anomaly detection (TSAD) have increasingly leveraged graph structures to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Jiazhen Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Recent advancements in graph representation learning have shifted attention towards dynamic graphs, which exhibit evolving topologies and features over time. The increased use of such graphs creates a paramount need for generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Ryien Hosseini , Filippo Simini , Venkatram Vishwanath , Henry Hoffmann

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

Dynamic graphs (DGs), which capture time-evolving relationships between graph entities, have widespread real-world applications. To efficiently encode DGs for downstream tasks, most dynamic graph neural networks follow the traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xiang Wu , Xunkai Li , Rong-Hua Li , Kangfei Zhao , Guoren Wang

In many applications concerning statistical graphical models the data originate from several subpopulations that share similarities but have also significant differences. This raises the question of how to estimate several graphical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 Ilias Moysidis , Bing Li

Biological systems commonly exhibit complex spatiotemporal patterns whose underlying generative mechanisms pose a significant analytical challenge. Traditional approaches to spatiodynamic inference rely on dimensionality reduction through…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-01 Jun Won Park , Kangyu Zhao , Sanket Rane

The dual normal factor graph and the factor graph duality theorem have been considered for discrete graphical models. In this paper, we show an application of the factor graph duality theorem to continuous graphical models. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-04 Mehdi Molkaraie

We introduce the spike-and-slab group lasso (SSGL) for Bayesian estimation and variable selection in linear regression with grouped variables. We further extend the SSGL to sparse generalized additive models (GAMs), thereby introducing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-29 Ray Bai , Gemma E. Moran , Joseph Antonelli , Yong Chen , Mary R. Boland

This paper introduces a new probabilistic architecture called Sum-Product Graphical Model (SPGM). SPGMs combine traits from Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) and Graphical Models (GMs): Like SPNs, SPGMs always enable tractable inference using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-23 Mattia Desana , Christoph Schnörr
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