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Ecological systems are governed by complex interactions which are mainly nonlinear. In order to capture this complexity and nonlinearity, statistical models recently gained popularity. However, although these models are commonly applied in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-29 Can Ozan Tan , Uygar Ozesmi , Meryem Beklioglu , Esra Per , Bahtiyar Kurt

Statistical analysis of microbiome data is challenging. Bayesian multinomial logistic-normal (MLN) models have gained popularity due to their ability to account for the count compositional nature of these data, but existing approaches are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Tinghua Chen , Michelle Pistner Nixon , Justin D. Silverman

This paper develops a Bayesian graphical model for fusing disparate types of count data. The motivating application is the study of bacterial communities from diverse high dimensional features, in this case transcripts, collected from…

Dynamic Graph Neural Networks (DGNNs) have emerged as the predominant approach for processing dynamic graph-structured data. However, the influence of temporal information on model performance and robustness remains insufficiently explored,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Xiangjian Jiang , Yanyi Pu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as a promising paradigm for time series analytics, leveraging their massive parameters and the shared sequential nature of textual and time series data. However, a cross-modality gap exists between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Chenxi Liu , Hao Miao , Cheng Long , Yan Zhao , Ziyue Li , Panos Kalnis

The problem of Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear models with additive noise is an active area of research. Classical Taylor series as well as more recent sigma-point based methods are two well-known strategies to deal with these…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Fatemeh Yaghoobi , Adrien Corenflos , Sakira Hassan , Simo Särkkä

We propose novel Bayesian Dynamic Clustering Factor Models (BDCFM) for the analysis of multivariate longitudinal data. BDCFM combines factor models with hidden Markov models to concomitantly perform dimension reduction, clustering, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 Tsering Dolkar , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Hwasoo Shin , Allison N. Tegge

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently been explored as surrogate models for numerical simulations. While their applications in computational fluid dynamics have been investigated, little attention has been given to structural problems,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Alessandro Lucchetti , Francesco Cadini , Marco Giglio , Luca Lomazzi

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the recently introduced foundational framework of BPS to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Kenichiro McAlinn , Knut Are Aastveit , Jouchi Nakajima , Mike West

In this paper, the relationship between probabilistic graphical models, in particular Bayesian networks, and causal diagrams, also called structural causal models, is studied. Structural causal models are deterministic models, based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Peter J. F. Lucas , Eleonora Zullo , Fabio Stella

We develop a framework for derivative Gaussian process latent variable models (DGP-LVMs) that can handle multi-dimensional output data using modified derivative covariance functions. The modifications account for complexities in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Fitting statistical models to spatiotemporal data requires finding the right balance between imposing smoothness and following the data. In the context of p-splines, we propose a Bayesian framework for choosing the smoothing parameter which…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-30 A. W. Bowman , L. Evers , D. Molinari , W. R. Jones , M. J. Spence

The problem of model selection in the context of a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has not been touched upon in the literature. Indeed, properties of Bayes factors have not been studied even in single SDE based model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Through recognizing causal subgraphs, causal graph learning (CGL) has risen to be a promising approach for improving the generalizability of graph neural networks under out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. However, the empirical successes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Yujia Yin , Tianyi Qu , Zihao Wang , Yifan Chen

This paper proposes a general formulation for temporal parallelisation of dynamic programming for optimal control problems. We derive the elements and associative operators to be able to use parallel scans to solve these problems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Simo Särkkä , Ángel F. García-Fernández

Irregular Medical Time Series play a critical role in the clinical domain to better understand the patient's condition. However, inherent irregularity arising from heterogeneous sampling rates, asynchronous observations, and variable gaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Jian Chen , Yuzhu Hu , Xiaoyan Yuan , Yuxuan Hu , Jinfeng Xu , Yipeng Du , Wenhao Yuan , Wei Wang , Edith C. H. Ngai

Covariate-dependent graph learning has gained increasing interest in the graphical modeling literature for the analysis of heterogeneous data. This task, however, poses challenges to modeling, computational efficiency, and interpretability.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-04 Zijian Zeng , Meng Li , Marina Vannucci

Motivated by genome-wide association studies, we consider a standard linear model with one additional random effect in situations where many predictors have been collected on the same subjects and each predictor is analyzed separately.…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-24 Matti Pirinen , Peter Donnelly , Chris C. A. Spencer

Deep feedforward neural networks (DFNNs) are a powerful tool for functional approximation. We describe flexible versions of generalized linear and generalized linear mixed models incorporating basis functions formed by a DFNN. The…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-28 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nghia Nguyen , David Nott , Robert Kohn
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