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Related papers: Simultaneous Graphical Dynamic Modeling

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The continuous expansion of the urban construction scale has recently contributed to the demand for the dynamics of traffic intersections that are managed, making adaptive modellings become a hot topic. Existing deep learning methods are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Yingming Pu

Time-series datasets are central in machine learning with applications in numerous fields of science and engineering, such as biomedicine, Earth observation, and network analysis. Extensive research exists on state-space models (SSMs),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Emilie Chouzenoux , Victor Elvira

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Dynamic linear models (DLM) offer a very generic framework to analyse time series data. Many classical time series models can be formulated as DLMs, including ARMA models and standard multiple linear regression models. The models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Marko Laine

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

A valuable step in the modeling of multiscale dynamical systems in fields such as computational chemistry, biology, materials science and more, is the representative sampling of the phase space over long timescales of interest; this task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Ellis R. Crabtree , Juan M. Bello-Rivas , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

We introduce efficient MCMC algorithms for Bayesian inference for single-factor models with correlated residuals where the residuals' distribution is a Gaussian graphical model. We call this family of models single-factor graphical models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 David Marcano , Adrian Dobra

We propose NonStGM, a general nonparametric graphical modeling framework for studying dynamic associations among the components of a nonstationary multivariate time series. It builds on the framework of Gaussian Graphical Models (GGM) and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Sumanta Basu , Suhasini Subba Rao

Complex systems with intricate causal dependencies challenge accurate prediction. Effective modeling requires precise physical process representation, integration of interdependent factors, and incorporation of multi-resolution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Susu Xu

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Spatio-temporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Xiaobei Zou , Luolin Xiong , Yang Tang , Jürgen Kurths

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Modeling the time-varying covariance structures of high-dimensional variables is critical across diverse scientific and industrial applications; however, existing approaches exhibit notable limitations in either modeling flexibility or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

We introduce graph gamma process (GGP) linear dynamical systems to model real-valued multivariate time series. For temporal pattern discovery, the latent representation under the model is used to decompose the time series into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Rahi Kalantari , Mingyuan Zhou

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Federated Graph Learning (FGL) has emerged as a powerful paradigm for decentralized training of graph neural networks while preserving data privacy. However, existing FGL methods are predominantly designed for static graphs and rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Yuxuan Liu , Wenchao Xu , Haozhao Wang , Zhiming He , Zhaofeng Shi , Chongyang Xu , Peichao Wang , Boyuan Zhang

We build upon time-series classification by leveraging the capabilities of Vision Language Models (VLMs). We find that VLMs produce competitive results after two or less epochs of fine-tuning. We develop a novel approach that incorporates…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Vinay Prithyani , Mohsin Mohammed , Richa Gadgil , Ricardo Buitrago , Vinija Jain , Aman Chadha

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian approach for graphical model determination in observational studies that can accommodate binary, ordinal or continuous variables simultaneously. Our new models are called copula Gaussian graphical models…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Adrian Dobra , Alex Lenkoski