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Earthquakes induced during hydraulic fracturing operations have occurred in a number of locales. However, in-situ studies aimed to discern the triggering mechanism remains exclusively statistical in their nature. Here, we calculate the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-23 Luyi W. Shen , Douglas R. Schmitt , Ryan Schultz

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

It is natural to call the trinity of foreshocks, main shock and aftershocks a classical triad. The magnitude of the main shock is always greater than the maximum magnitudes of foreshocks and aftershocks. In the classical triad, the number…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-13 O. D. Zotov , A. V. Guglielmi

Decades of seismological observations have highlighted the variability of foreshock occurrence prior to natural earthquakes, making thus difficult to track how earthquakes start. Here, we report on three stick-slip experiments performed on…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-27 S. Marty , H. S. Bhat , J. Aubry , E. Fukuyama , S. Latour , S. Nielsen , R. Madariaga , A. Schubnel

The surface of asteroid (25143) Itokawa shows both fresh and mature terrains, despite its short space weathering timescale of approximately 1000 years, as inferred from recent studies. Seismic shaking triggered by the impact that formed the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-19 Sunho Jin , Masateru Ishiguro

A small number of young stellar objects show signs of a halo-like structure of optically thin dust. This halo or torus is located within a few AU of the star, but its origin has not yet been understood. A dynamically excited cloud of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Sebastiaan Krijt , Carsten Dominik

The vast majority of landslide susceptibility studies assumes the slope instability process to be time-invariant under the definition that "the past and present are keys to the future". This assumption may generally be valid. However, the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-02 Luguang Luo , Luigi Lombardo , Cees van Westen , Xiangjun Pei , Runqiu Huang

Large earthquakes occurring worldwide have long been recognised to be non Poisson distributed, so involving some large scale correlation mechanism, which could be internal or external to the Earth. Till now, no statistically significant…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-04-07 Vito Marchitelli , Paolo Harabaglia , Claudia Troise , Giuseppe De Natale

No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake risk. These are primarily based on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 James R. Holliday , Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo , Kristy F. Tiampo , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte

The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is widely used to model seismic sequences and underpins Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). However, it remains challenging to assess the reliability of inverted ETAS parameters for a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-16 Mark Naylor , Francesco Serafini , Finn Lindgren , Ian Main

An efficient method for inferring Manning's $n$ coefficients using water surface elevation data was presented in Sraj et al. (2014) focusing on a test case based on data collected during the $T\=ohoku$ earthquake and tsunami. Polynomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-06 Ihab Sraj , Kyle T. Mandli , Omar M. Knio , Clint N. Dawson , Ibrahim Hoteit

There is a small number of case studies of automatic land cover classification on the coastal area. Here, I test extraction of seagrass beds, sandy area, oyster farming rafts at Mangoku-ura Lagoon, Miyagi, Japan by comparing manual tracing,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Takehisa Yamakita

Recent research on the non-stationary nature of the dynamics of complex systems is reviewed through three specific models. The long time dynamics consists of a slow, decelerating but spasmodic release of generalized intrinsic strain. These…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We show that the distribution of waiting times between earthquakes occurring in California obeys a simple unified scaling law valid from tens of seconds to tens of years, see Eq. (1) and Fig. 4. The short time clustering, commonly referred…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Per Bak , Kim Christensen , Leon Danon , Tim Scanlon

Glitches are commonly observed for pulsars, which are explained by various mechanisms. One hypothesis attributes the glitch effect to the instantaneous moment of inertia change of the whole star caused by a starquake, which is similar to…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-01 Ruipeng Lu , Han Yue , Xiaoyu Lai , Weihua Wang , Shenjian Zhang , Renxin Xu

Interplate megathrust earthquakes have inflicted catastrophic damage on human society. An extremely hazardous megathrust earthquake is predicted to occur along the Nankai Trough off southwestern Japan, an economically active and densely…

In this study, we propose an analysis of the earthquake clusters that occurred in North-Eastern Italy and western Slovenia from 1977 to today. Given a mainshock generating alarm in the population, we are interested in forecasting if a…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-05-27 S. Gentili , R. Di Giovambattista

We study the spatial distribution of clusters associated to the aftershocks of the megathrust Maule earthquake MW 8.8 of 27 February 2010. We used a recent clustering method which hinges on a nonparametric estimation of the underlying…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Adelchi Azzalini

We report an empirical determination of the probability density functions P(r) of the number r of earthquakes in finite space-time windows for the California catalog, over fixed spatial boxes 5 x 5 km^2 and time intervals dt =1, 10, 100 and…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

In this work, we introduce a new methodology to construct a network of epicenters that avoids problems found in well-established methodologies when they are applied to global catalogs of earthquakes located in shallow zones. The new…

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