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Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

Any periodic variations of earthquake occurrence rates in response to small, known, periodic stress variations provide important opportunities to learn about the earthquake nucleation process. Yet, reliable detection of earthquake…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-01-28 Timothy Park , Franz J. Kiraly , Stephen J. Bourne

Sequences of aftershocks following Omori's empirical law are observed after most major earthquakes, as well as in laboratory-scale fault-mimicking experiments. Nevertheless, the origin of this memory effect is still unclear. In this letter,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-28 A. Mathey , J. Crassous , D. Marsan , J. Weiss , A. Amon

According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks after a mainshock decays as a power law with an exponent close to 1. This well-established law was intensively used in the past to study and model the statistical properties of…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-28 Eitan E. Asher , Shlomo Havlin , Shay Moshel , Yosef Ashkenazy

Declustering aims to divide earthquake catalogs into independent events (mainshocks), and dependent (clustered) events, and is an integral component of many seismicity studies, including seismic hazard assessment. We assess the effect of…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-02-17 Leila Mizrahi , Shyam Nandan , Stefan Wiemer

Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time. While aftershocks typically occur in the vicinity of the mainshock,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Yongwen Zhang , Maor Elbaz , Shlomo Havlin , Yosef Ashkenazy

After the main shock of an earthquake, a stream of aftershocks that does not subside for a long time is usually observed. Fusakichi Omori found that the frequency of aftershocks decreases hyperbolically with time. It has recently been…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-05-31 Anatol Guglielmi , Alexey Zavyalov , Oleg Zotov , Boris Klain

The paper is devoted to comparing two approaches to the study of aftershocks. The methodological foundations of the traditional approach were laid many years ago. A new approach has emerged relatively recently. The two approaches differ…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-09-26 A. V. Guglielmi

The elementary theory of relaxation of the source cooling down after the main shock of an earthquake is presented axiomatically. The names of the objects under study are given and the relationships between them are determined. A new basic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-18 A. V. Guglielmi

Earthquake catalog declustering is the procedure of separating event clusters from background seismicity, which is an important task in statistical seismology, earthquake forecasting, and probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. Several…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-04-14 Robert Shcherbakov , Sidhanth Kothari

Following Hergarten and Neugebauer [2002] who discovered aftershock and foreshock sequences in the Olami-Feder-Christensen (OFC) discrete block-spring earthquake model, we investigate to what degree the simple toppling mechanism of this…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Helmstetter , S. Hergarten , D. Sornette

Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) models are point processes that have found prominence in seismological modeling. Its success has led to the development of a number of different versions of the ETAS model. Among these extensions is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-06 Tom Stindl , Feng Chen

The Omori-Utsu law shows the temporal power-law-like decrease of the frequency of earthquake aftershocks and, interestingly, is found in a variety of complex systems/phenomena exhibiting catastrophes. Now, it may be interpreted as a…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki , Dmitrii A. Tayurskii

Many time series in natural and social sciences can be seen as resulting from an interplay between exogenous influences and an endogenous organization. We use a simple (ETAS) model of events occurring sequentially, in which future events…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin

The decay rate of aftershocks has been modeled as a power law since the pioneering work of Omori in the late nineteenth century. Considered the second most fundamental empirical law after the Gutenberg-Richter relationship, the power law…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-01-07 Arnaud Mignan

We propose a new physically-based ``multifractal stress activation'' model of earthquake interaction and triggering based on two simple ingredients: (i) a seismic rupture results from activated processes giving an exponential dependence on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Ouillon , D. Sornette

The analysis of the classical and mirror triads of the sequence of earthquakes has been carried out in order to find the equations of evolution of foreshocks and aftershocks. The differential equation with cubic (quadratic) nonlinearity has…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

The frictional instability associated with earthquake initiation and earthquake dynamics is believed to be mainly controlled by the dynamics of fragmented rocks within the fault gauge. Principal features of the emerging seismicity (e.g.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-26 Nauman Hafeez Sultan , Kamran Karimi , Jorn Davidsen

The deactivation coefficient has been introduced for the source that cools down after the mainshock of the earthquake. The deactivation coefficient satisfies two conditions. First, it can be computed from observed aftershock frequency data…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 A. V. Guglielmi

Recently, simple differential models of aftershocks have attracted increased attention of researchers at the Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences for their remarkable properties. The shortened Bernoulli equation…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-06-22 A. V. Guglielmi
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