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Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

Topology inference for network systems (NSs) plays a crucial role in many areas. This paper advocates a causality-based method based on noisy observations from a single trajectory of a NS, which is represented by the state-space model with…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-26 Yushan Li , Jianping He , Cailian Chen , Xinping Guan

We introduce a neural network framework, utilizing adversarial learning to partition an image into two cuts, with one cut falling into a reference distribution provided by the user. This concept tackles the task of unsupervised anomaly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Raunak Dey , Yi Hong

Performance of trained neural network (NN) models, in terms of testing accuracy, has improved remarkably over the past several years, especially with the advent of deep learning. However, even the most accurate NNs can be biased toward a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Mahum Naseer , Bharath Srinivas Prabakaran , Osman Hasan , Muhammad Shafique

This paper introduces new techniques for sampling attributed networks to support standard Data Mining tasks. The problem is important for two reasons. First, it is commonplace to perform data mining tasks such as clustering and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-24 Suhansanu Kumar , Hari Sundaram

Supervised machine learning often encounters concept drift, where the data distribution changes over time, degrading model performance. Existing drift detection methods focus on identifying these shifts but often overlook the challenge of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Christofer Fellicious , Lorenz Wendlinger , Mario Gancarski , Jelena Mitrovic , Michael Granitzer

Despite of its importance for safe machine learning, uncertainty quantification for neural networks is far from being solved. State-of-the-art approaches to estimate neural uncertainties are often hybrid, combining parametric models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

Atomistic modelling of phase transitions, chemical reactions, or other rare events that involve overcoming high free energy barriers usually entails prohibitively long simulation times. Introducing a bias potential as a function of an…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-06 Federico Giberti , Bingqing Cheng , Gareth Aneurin Tribello , Michele Ceriotti

Sampling random graphs with given properties is a key step in the analysis of networks, as random ensembles represent basic null models required to identify patterns such as communities and motifs. An important requirement is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-23 Tiziano Squartini , Rossana Mastrandrea , Diego Garlaschelli

An essential problem in statistics and machine learning is the estimation of expectations involving PDFs with intractable normalizing constants. The self-normalized importance sampling (SNIS) estimator, which normalizes the IS weights, has…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-01 Nicola Branchini , Víctor Elvira

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

The paper studies average consensus with random topologies (intermittent links) \emph{and} noisy channels. Consensus with noise in the network links leads to the bias-variance dilemma--running consensus for long reduces the bias of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-09-08 Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura

Aquatic non-indigenous species (NIS) pose significant threats to biodiversity, disrupting ecosystems and inflicting substantial economic damages across agriculture, forestry, and fisheries. Due to the fast growth of global trade and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Ruixin Song , Gabriel Spadon , Ronald Pelot , Stan Matwin , Amilcar Soares

We introduce a novel framework for the estimation of the posterior distribution over the weights of a neural network, based on a new probabilistic interpretation of adaptive optimisation algorithms such as AdaGrad and Adam. We demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 Samuel Kessler , Arnold Salas , Vincent W. C. Tan , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Networks are powerful instruments to study complex phenomena, but they become hard to analyze in data that contain noise. Network backbones provide a tool to extract the latent structure from noisy networks by pruning non-salient edges. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-26 Michele Coscia , Frank Neffke

Unsupervised anomaly detection from high dimensional data like mobility networks is a challenging task. Study of different approaches of feature engineering from such high dimensional data have been a focus of research in this field. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Urwa Muaz , Stanislav Sobolevsky

A simple model of charge transport is provided by a classical particle in a smooth random potential and a dissipative coupling to the environment in the form of Markovian noise and friction. The corresponding Non-Equilibrium Steady State…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-16 Anton Kapustin

In the statistical problem of denoising, Bayes and empirical Bayes methods can "overshrink" their output relative to the latent variables of interest. This work is focused on constrained denoising problems which mitigate such phenomena. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Adam Quinn Jaffe , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Bodhisattva Sen

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

A novel framework for density estimation under expectation constraints is proposed. The framework minimizes the Wasserstein distance between the estimated density and a prior, subject to the constraints that the expected value of a set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yinan Hu , Esteban G. Tabak