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Motion planning under sensing uncertainty is critical for robots in unstructured environments to guarantee safety for both the robot and any nearby humans. Most work on planning under uncertainty does not scale to high-dimensional robots…

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

The latest Industrial revolution has helped industries in achieving very high rates of productivity and efficiency. It has introduced data aggregation and cyber-physical systems to optimize planning and scheduling. Although, uncertainty in…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-01-15 Ashwin Misra , Ankit Mittal , Vihaan Misra , Deepanshu Pandey

Trajectory prediction is one of the key components of the autonomous driving software stack. Accurate prediction for the future movement of surrounding traffic participants is an important prerequisite for ensuring the driving efficiency…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Wenbo Shao , Jun Li , Hong Wang

Accurately predicting the trajectory of vehicles is critically important for ensuring safety and reliability in autonomous driving. Although considerable research efforts have been made recently, the inherent trajectory uncertainty caused…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Zichen Wang , Hao Miao , Senzhang Wang , Renzhi Wang , Jianxin Wang , Jian Zhang

This paper addresses the problem of planning a safe (i.e., collision-free) trajectory from an initial state to a goal region when the obstacle space is a-priori unknown and is incrementally revealed online, e.g., through line-of-sight…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Lucas Janson , Tommy Hu , Marco Pavone

The uncertainty quantification of sensor measurements coupled with deep learning networks is crucial for many robotics systems, especially for safety-critical applications such as self-driving cars. This paper develops an uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Qiyuan Wu , Mark Campbell

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

Road user trajectory prediction in dynamic environments is a challenging but crucial task for various applications, such as autonomous driving. One of the main challenges in this domain is the multimodal nature of future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Younwoo Choi , Ray Coden Mercurius , Soheil Mohamad Alizadeh Shabestary , Amir Rasouli

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Development of robust dynamical systems and networks such as autonomous aircraft systems capable of accomplishing complex missions faces challenges due to the dynamically evolving uncertainties coming from model uncertainties, necessity to…

Accurately predicting the future motion of surrounding vehicles requires reasoning about the inherent uncertainty in driving behavior. This uncertainty can be loosely decoupled into lateral (e.g., keeping lane, turning) and longitudinal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Nachiket Deo , Eric M. Wolff , Oscar Beijbom

The ability to anticipate pedestrian motion changes is a critical capability for autonomous vehicles. In urban environments, pedestrians may enter the road area and create a high risk for driving, and it is important to identify these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-26 Anthony Knittel , Morris Antonello , John Redford , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

While a lot of work has been carried on developing trajectory prediction methods, and various datasets have been proposed for benchmarking this task, little study has been done so far on the generalizability and the transferability of these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Thomas Gilles , Stefano Sabatini , Dzmitry Tsishkou , Bogdan Stanciulescu , Fabien Moutarde

Motion planning at urban intersections that accounts for the situation context, handles occlusions, and deals with measurement and prediction uncertainty is a major challenge on the way to urban automated driving. In this work, we address…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Johannes Müller , Jan Strohbeck , Martin Herrmann , Michael Buchholz

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora
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