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Existing generative models for time series forecasting often transform simple priors (typically Gaussian) into complex data distributions. However, their sampling initialization, independent of historical data, hinders the capture of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Huibo Xu , Runlong Yu , Likang Wu , Xianquan Wang , Qi Liu

The quality of generalized linear models (GLMs), frequently used by insurance companies, depends on the choice of interacting variables. The search for interactions is time-consuming, especially for data sets with a large number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-21 Yevhen Havrylenko , Julia Heger

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

This paper introduces posterior mean matching (PMM), a new method for generative modeling that is grounded in Bayesian inference. PMM uses conjugate pairs of distributions to model complex data of various modalities like images and text,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Sebastian Salazar , Michal Kucer , Yixin Wang , Emily Casleton , David Blei

Accurate modeling of car-following behaviors is essential for various applications in traffic management and autonomous driving systems. However, current approaches often suffer from limitations like high sensitivity to data quality and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Xianda Chen , Mingxing Peng , PakHin Tiu , Yuanfei Wu , Junjie Chen , Meixin Zhu , Xinhu Zheng

Community detection is a critical tool for understanding the mesoscopic structure of large-scale networks. However, when applied to aggregated or coarse-grained social networks, disjoint community partitions cannot capture the diverse…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Gamal Adel , Eszter Bokányi , Eelke M. Heemskerk , Frank W. Takes

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

Mixture models are useful in a wide array of applications to identify subpopulations in noisy overlapping distributions. For example, in multiplexed immunofluorescence (mIF), cell image intensities represent expression levels and the cell…

This study presents a semi-nonparametric Latent Class Choice Model (LCCM) with a flexible class membership component. The proposed model formulates the latent classes using mixture models as an alternative approach to the traditional random…

We propose Pullback Flow Matching (PFM), a novel framework for generative modeling on data manifolds. Unlike existing methods that assume or learn restrictive closed-form manifold mappings for training Riemannian Flow Matching (RFM) models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Friso de Kruiff , Erik Bekkers , Ozan Öktem , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Willem Diepeveen

This paper proposes a novel method, Explicit Flow Matching (ExFM), for training and analyzing flow-based generative models. ExFM leverages a theoretically grounded loss function, ExFM loss (a tractable form of Flow Matching (FM) loss), to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Gleb Ryzhakov , Svetlana Pavlova , Egor Sevriugov , Ivan Oseledets

Generative models are increasingly central to scientific workflows, yet their systematic use and interpretation require a proper understanding of their limitations through rigorous validation. Classic approaches struggle with scalability,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Pietro Cappelli , Gaia Grosso , Marco Letizia , Humberto Reyes-González , Marco Zanetti

Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit potential artificial generic intelligence recently, however, their usage is costly with high response latency. Given mixed LLMs with their own strengths and weaknesses, LLM routing aims to identify the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Xinyuan Wang , Yanchi Liu , Wei Cheng , Xujiang Zhao , Zhengzhang Chen , Wenchao Yu , Yanjie Fu , Haifeng Chen

Parallelism is a ubiquitous method for accelerating machine learning algorithms. However, theoretical analysis of parallel learning is usually done in an algorithm- and protocol-specific setting, giving little insight about how changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yucheng Lu , Jack Nash , Christopher De Sa

Sequence-based deep learning recommendation models (DLRMs) are an emerging class of DLRMs showing great improvements over their prior sum-pooling based counterparts at capturing users' long term interests. These improvements come at immense…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Geet Sethi , Pallab Bhattacharya , Dhruv Choudhary , Carole-Jean Wu , Christos Kozyrakis

Although diffusion language models (DLMs) are evolving quickly, many recent models converge on a set of shared components. These components, however, are distributed across ad-hoc research codebases or lack transparent implementations,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Zhanhui Zhou , Lingjie Chen , Hanghang Tong , Dawn Song

This paper presents a new Graph Neural Network (GNN) type using feature-wise linear modulation (FiLM). Many standard GNN variants propagate information along the edges of a graph by computing "messages" based only on the representation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Marc Brockschmidt

Modern signal processing (SP) pipelines, whether model-based or data-driven, often constrained by complex and fragmented workflow, rely heavily on expert knowledge and manual engineering, and struggle with adaptability and generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Junlong Ke , Qiying Hu , Shenghai Yuan , Yuecong Xu , Jianfei Yang

Large Language Models (LLMs) are a powerful tool for statistical text analysis, with derived sequences of next-token probability distributions offering a wealth of information. Extracting this signal typically relies on metrics such as…

Replicated network data are increasingly available in many research fields. In connectomic applications, inter-connections among brain regions are collected for each patient under study, motivating statistical models which can flexibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , David B. Dunson , Joshua T. Vogelstein