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Understanding how human mobility and information propagation influence the course of an epidemic remains a key challenge in digital epidemiology. In this work, we develop a new awareness-based, event-triggered epidemic model embedded within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-06 Yusheng Li , Minyu Feng , Liang-jian Deng , Matjaž Perc , Jürgen Kurths

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

Graph neural networks (GNNs) learn the representation of graph-structured data, and their expressiveness can be further enhanced by inferring node relations for propagation. Attention-based GNNs infer neighbor importance to manipulate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Soo Yong Lee , Fanchen Bu , Jaemin Yoo , Kijung Shin

Epidemiological early warning systems for dengue fever rely on up-to-date epidemiological data to forecast future incidence. However, epidemiological data typically requires time to be available, due to the application of time-consuming…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Julio Albinati , Wagner Meira , Gisele L. Pappa , Mauro Teixeira , Cecilia Marques-Toledo

Continual learning, the ability of a model to learn over time without forgetting previous knowledge and, therefore, be adaptive to new data, is paramount in dynamic fields such as disease outbreak prediction. Deep neural networks, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Saba Aslam , Abdur Rasool , Hongyan Wu , Xiaoli Li

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Most machine learning (ML) systems assume stationary and matching data distributions during training and deployment. This is often a false assumption. When ML models are deployed on real devices, data distributions often shift over time due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Zachary A. Daniels , Jun Hu , Michael Lomnitz , Phil Miller , Aswin Raghavan , Joe Zhang , Michael Piacentino , David Zhang

Real-world multi-agent systems are often dynamic and continuous, where the agents co-evolve and undergo changes in their trajectories and interactions over time. For example, the COVID-19 transmission in the U.S. can be viewed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Zijie Huang , Jeehyun Hwang , Junkai Zhang , Jinwoo Baik , Weitong Zhang , Dominik Wodarz , Yizhou Sun , Quanquan Gu , Wei Wang

Due to the characteristics of COVID-19, the epidemic develops rapidly and overwhelms health service systems worldwide. Many patients suffer from systemic life-threatening problems and need to be carefully monitored in ICUs. Thus the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Liantao Ma , Xinyu Ma , Junyi Gao , Chaohe Zhang , Zhihao Yu , Xianfeng Jiao , Wenjie Ruan , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang

This study addresses a critical gap in the healthcare system by developing a clinically meaningful, practical, and explainable disease surveillance system for multiple chronic diseases, utilizing routine EHR data from multiple U.S.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Ahmad Abdullah , Ibrahim Hashmat , Muddassar Farooq

This paper presents an innovative and generic deep learning approach to monitor heart conditions from ECG signals.We focus our attention on both the detection and classification of abnormal heartbeats, known as arrhythmia. We strongly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Meryll Dindin , Yuhei Umeda , Frederic Chazal

When surveillance data of infectious disease incidence (e.g. weekly case counts) are disaggregated by demographic indicators, disparities in long-run health outcomes between these groups become apparent. Accurate identification of high-risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Miles Moran , Rob Trangucci , Lisa Madsen

Drug resistance and strong contacts actually play crucial roles in epidemic spread in complex systems. Nevertheless, neither theoretical model or methodology is proposed to address this. We thus consider an edge-based epidemic spread model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Peng-Bi Cui , Lei Gao , Wei Wang

Edge-based percolation methods can be used to analyze disease transmission on complex social networks. This allows us to include complex social heterogeneity in our models while maintaining tractability. Here we review the seminal works on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-17 S. Zhao , F. M. G. Magpantay

Forecasting electricity demand is increasingly challenging as energy systems become more decentralized and intertwined with renewable sources. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently emerged as a powerful paradigm to model spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Eloi Campagne , Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Yannig Goude , Itai Zehavi , Argyris Kalogeratos

Parkinson's disease (PD) shows heterogeneous, evolving brain-morphometry patterns. Modeling these longitudinal trajectories enables mechanistic insight, treatment development, and individualized 'digital-twin' forecasting. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Xiaoda Wang , Yuji Zhao , Kaiqiao Han , Xiao Luo , Sanne van Rooij , Jennifer Stevens , Lifang He , Liang Zhan , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Carl Yang

Modeling neural population dynamics is crucial for foundational neuroscientific research and various clinical applications. Conventional latent variable methods typically model continuous brain dynamics through discretizing time with…

Electronic health record (EHR) data are increasingly used to support real-world evidence (RWE) studies. Yet its ability to generate reliable RWE is limited by the lack of readily available precise information on the timing of clinical…

In this work, we present an approach called Disease Informed Neural Networks (DINNs) that can be employed to effectively predict the spread of infectious diseases. This approach builds on a successful physics informed neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Sagi Shaier , Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer