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Spatio-temporal epidemic forecasting is critical for public health management, yet existing methods often struggle with insensitivity to weak epidemic signals, over-simplified spatial relations, and unstable parameter estimation. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Sijie Ruan , Jinyu Li , Jia Wei , Zenghao Xu , Jie Bao , Junshi Xu , Junyang Qiu , Shuliang Wang , Xiaoxiao Wang , Hanning Yuan

The timely detection of disease outbreaks through reliable early warning signals (EWSs) is indispensable for effective public health mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, the intricate dynamics of real-world disease spread, often influenced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Amit K. Chakraborty , Shan Gao , Reza Miry , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner , Mark A. Lewis , Hao Wang

Incorporating decision-making dynamics during an outbreak poses a challenge for epidemiology, faced by several modeling approaches siloed by different disciplines. We propose an epi-economic model where high-frequency choices of individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Lorenzo Amir Nemati Fard , Alberto Bisin , Michele Starnini , Michele Tizzoni

The epidemic spreading of a disease can be described by a contact network whose nodes are persons or centers of contagion and links heterogeneous relations among them. We provide a procedure to identify multiple sources of an outbreak or…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2012-11-13 Vincenzo Fioriti , Marta Chinnici

Precise outbreak forecasting of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health responses and epidemic control. The increased availability of machine learning (ML) methods for time-series forecasting presents an enticing avenue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Jinpyo Hong , Rachel E. Baker

Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting has been a popular research topic in recent years. Recently, data-driven approaches for air quality forecasting have garnered significant attention, owing to the availability of well-established data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Jingwei Zuo , Wenbin Li , Michele Baldo , Hakim Hacid

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

There is a recent surge in the development of spatio-temporal forecasting models in the transportation domain. Long-range traffic forecasting, however, remains a challenging task due to the intricate and extensive spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Zibo Liu , Parshin Shojaee , Chandan K Reddy

Effectively capturing long-range interactions remains a fundamental yet unresolved challenge in graph neural network (GNN) research, critical for applications across diverse fields of science. To systematically address this, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Luca Miglior , Matteo Tolloso , Alessio Gravina , Davide Bacciu

Ontology-based approaches for predicting gene-disease associations include the more classical semantic similarity methods and more recently knowledge graph embeddings. While semantic similarity is typically restricted to hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Susana Nunes , Rita T. Sousa , Catia Pesquita

Deep learning-based models have recently outperformed state-of-the-art seasonal forecasting models, such as for predicting El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, current deep learning models are based on convolutional neural…

Health sensing for chronic disease management creates immense benefits for social welfare. Existing health sensing studies primarily focus on the prediction of physical chronic diseases. Depression, a widespread complication of chronic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Jiaheng Xie , Xiaohang Zhao , Xiang Liu , Xiao Fang

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

We propose the deep demixing (DDmix) model, a graph autoencoder that can reconstruct epidemics evolving over networks from partial or aggregated temporal information. Assuming knowledge of the network topology but not of the epidemic model,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Boning Li , Gojko Čutura , Ananthram Swami , Santiago Segarra

The increased adoption of Electronic Health Records(EHRs) has brought changes to the way the patient care is carried out. The rich heterogeneous and temporal data space stored in EHRs can be leveraged by machine learning models to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Maria Bampa

Temporal knowledge graph (TKG) forecasting requires predicting future facts by jointly modeling structural dependencies within each snapshot and temporal evolution across snapshots. However, most existing methods are stateless: they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Siyuan Li , Yunjia Wu , Yiyong Xiao , Pingyang Huang , Peize Li , Ruitong Liu , Yan Wen , Te Sun

Deep learning-based predictive models, leveraging Electronic Health Records (EHR), are receiving increasing attention in healthcare. An effective representation of a patient's EHR should hierarchically encompass both the temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Jiayuan Chen , Changchang Yin , Yuanlong Wang , Ping Zhang

Epidemic prediction is of practical significance in public health, enabling early intervention, resource allocation, and strategic planning. However, privacy concerns often hinder the sharing of health data among institutions, limiting the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Chengpeng Fu , Tong Li , Hao Chen , Wen Du , Zhidong He

Understanding the latent processes from Electronic Medical Records could be a game changer in modern healthcare. However, the processes are complex due to the interaction between at least three dynamic components: the illness, the care and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Phuoc Nguyen , Truyen Tran , Svetha Venkatesh

Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) is the most common neonatal anomaly, highlighting the urgent need for early detection to improve outcomes. Yet, fetal ECG (fECG) signals in abdominal ECG (aECG) are often masked by maternal ECG and noise,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-25 Chang Wang , Ming Zhu , Shahram Latifi , Buddhadeb Dawn , Shengjie Zhai