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Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a growing interest in studying epidemiological models. Traditional mechanistic models mathematically describe the transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases. However, they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Zewen Liu , Guancheng Wan , B. Aditya Prakash , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Infectious diseases remain among the top contributors to human illness and death worldwide, among which many diseases produce epidemic waves of infection. The unavailability of specific drugs and ready-to-use vaccines to prevent most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Madhurima Panja , Tanujit Chakraborty , Uttam Kumar , Nan Liu

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Advancing epidemic dynamics forecasting is vital for targeted interventions and safeguarding public health. Current approaches mainly fall into two categories: mechanism-based and data-driven models. Mechanism-based models are constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Rui Sun , Chenghua Gong , Tianjun Gu , Yuhao Zheng , Jie Ding , Juyuan Zhang , Liming Pan , Linyuan Lü

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

Forecasting influenza-like illness (ILI) is of prime importance to epidemiologists and health-care providers. Early prediction of epidemic outbreaks plays a pivotal role in disease intervention and control. Most existing work has either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Songgaojun Deng , Shusen Wang , Huzefa Rangwala , Lijing Wang , Yue Ning

With the wide application of electronic health records (EHR) in healthcare facilities, health event prediction with deep learning has gained more and more attention. A common feature of EHR data used for deep-learning-based predictions is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Chang Lu , Tian Han , Yue Ning

The long-term progression of neurodegenerative diseases is commonly conceptualized as a spatiotemporal diffusion process that consists of a graph diffusion process across the structural brain connectome and a localized reaction process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tiantian He , Keyue Jiang , An Zhao , Anna Schroder , Elinor Thompson , Sonja Soskic , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a formidable global health challenge, driven by complex spatiotemporal transmission dynamics and influenced by factors such as population mobility and behavioral changes. We propose an Epidemic-Guided Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Madhab Barman , Madhurima Panja , Nachiketa Mishra , Tanujit Chakraborty

Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Jianda Du , Senwei Liang , Chunmei Wang

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

The ongoing need for effective epidemic modeling has driven advancements in capturing the complex dynamics of infectious diseases. Traditional models, such as Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, and graph-based approaches often fail to account…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Songyuan Liu , Shengbo Gong , Tianning Feng , Zewen Liu , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Early diagnosis of disease can lead to improved health outcomes, including higher survival rates and lower treatment costs. With the massive amount of information available in electronic health records (EHRs), there is great potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Asem Alaa , Erik Mayer , Mauricio Barahona

The widespread application of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data in the medical field has led to early successes in disease risk prediction using deep learning methods. These methods typically require extensive data for training due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Shibo Li , Hengliang Cheng , Weihua Li

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

We study the temporal reconstruction of epidemics evolving over networks. Given partial or aggregated temporal information of the epidemic, our goal is to estimate the complete evolution of the spread leveraging the topology of the network…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-20 Gojko Cutura , Boning Li , Ananthram Swami , Santiago Segarra
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