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Transport maps have become a popular mechanic to express complicated probability densities using sample propagation through an optimized push-forward. Beside their broad applicability and well-known success, transport maps suffer from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Martin Eigel , Robert Gruhlke , Manuel Marschall

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Autonomous agents rely on sensor data to construct representations of their environments, essential for predicting future events and planning their actions. However, sensor measurements suffer from limited range, occlusions, and sensor…

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

The analytic inference, e.g. predictive distribution being in closed form, may be an appealing benefit for machine learning practitioners when they treat wide neural networks as Gaussian process in Bayesian setting. The realistic widths,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-08-01 Chi-Ken Lu

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart

Recognizing the successes of treed Gaussian process (TGP) models as an interpretable and thrifty model for nonparametric regression, we seek to extend the model to classification. Both treed models and Gaussian processes (GPs) have,…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-28 Tamara Broderick , Robert B. Gramacy

Traffic prediction is a spatiotemporal predictive task that plays an essential role in intelligent transportation systems. Today, graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have become the prevailing models in the traffic prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Ta Jiun Ting , Xiaocan Li , Scott Sanner , Baher Abdulhai

Nonstationary and non-Gaussian spatial data are common in various fields, including ecology (e.g., counts of animal species), epidemiology (e.g., disease incidence counts in susceptible regions), and environmental science (e.g.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee

In the setting of a recently developed cellular stochastic traffic flow model, it has shown that the joint per-cell vehicle densities, as a function of time, can be accurately approximated by a Gaussian process, which has the attractive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Michel Mandjes , Jaap Storm

Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) is a particular type of random neural network models modeling vector data based on the assumption of Bernoulli distribution. For multi-dimensional and non-binary data, it is necessary to vectorize and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Simeng Liu , Yanfeng Sun , Yongli Hu , Junbin Gao , Baocai Yin

In this paper, we address the problem of sampling-based motion planning under motion and measurement uncertainty with probabilistic guarantees. We generalize traditional sampling-based tree-based motion planning algorithms for deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Qi Heng Ho , Zachary N. Sunberg , Morteza Lahijanian

In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Ji Won Yoon

Data-driven optimization of sampling patterns in MRI has recently received a significant attention.Following recent observations on the combinatorial number of minimizers in off-the-grid optimization, we propose a framework to globally…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-21 Alban Gossard , Frédéric de Gournay , Pierre Weiss

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

Optimal transport has found widespread applications in signal processing and machine learning. Among its many equivalent formulations, optimal transport seeks to reconstruct a random variable/vector with a prescribed distribution at the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Jun Chen , Jia Wang , Ruibin Li , Han Zhou , Wei Dong , Huan Liu , Yuanhao Yu

We present a graph-regularized learning of Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) in distributed settings with heterogeneous and limited local data. The method exploits a provided similarity graph to guide parameter sharing among nodes, avoiding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Shamsiiat Abdurakhmanova , Alex Jung

Bayesian optimisation is an adaptive sampling strategy for constructing a Gaussian process surrogate to efficiently search for the global minimum of a black-box computational model. Gaussian processes have limited applicability in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-04 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

Gaussian variational approximation is a popular methodology to approximate posterior distributions in Bayesian inference especially in high dimensional and large data settings. To control the computational cost while being able to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Bingxin Zhou , Junbin Gao , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Richard Gerlach