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Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

Numerical evidence of non-diffusive transport in three-dimensional, resistive pressure-gradient-driven plasma turbulence is presented. It is shown that the probability density function (pdf) of test particles' radial displacements is…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. del-Castillo-Negrete , B. A. Carreras , V. E. Lynch

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

This work deals with uncertainty quantification for a generic input distribution to some resource-intensive simulation, e.g., requiring the solution of a partial differential equation. While efficient numerical methods exist to compute…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Oliver G. Ernst , Hanno Gottschalk , Toni Kowalewitz , Patrick Krüger

The fracture characterization using a geostatistical tool with conditioning data is a computationally efficient tool for subsurface flow and transport applications. The main objective of the paper is to propose a framework of geostatistical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Yerlan Amanbek , Timur Merembayev , Sanjay Srinivasan

Learning-based radio map estimation (RME) plays a critical role in UAV-assisted wireless sensing, enabling tasks such as coverage prediction and network optimization. Most current methods assume an independently and identically distributed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Feng Qiu , Zheng Fang , Shuhang Zhang , Kangjun Liu , Longkun Zou , Jing Liu , Ke Chen

We introduce a Bayesian model for estimating the distribution of ambulance travel times on each road segment in a city, using Global Positioning System (GPS) data. Due to sparseness and error in the GPS data, the exact ambulance paths and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Bradford S. Westgate , Dawn B. Woodard , David S. Matteson , Shane G. Henderson

A central question in multimodal neuroimaging analysis is to understand the association between two imaging modalities and to identify brain regions where such an association is statistically significant. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Moyan Li , Lexin Li , Jian Kang

Chance-constrained motion planning requires uncertainty in dynamics to be propagated into uncertainty in state. When nonlinear models are used, Gaussian assumptions on the state distribution do not necessarily apply since almost all random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-31 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models employed in numerous application domains. However, inferring the network's graphical structure from data remains challenging. Bayesian structure learners…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 William Zhao , Guy Van den Broeck , Benjie Wang

We introduce semiparametric Bayesian networks that combine parametric and nonparametric conditional probability distributions. Their aim is to incorporate the advantages of both components: the bounded complexity of parametric models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 David Atienza , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

We develop a class of nearest-neighbor mixture models that provide direct, computationally efficient, probabilistic modeling for non-Gaussian geospatial data. The class is defined over a directed acyclic graph, which implies conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

This paper proposes an online learning method of Gaussian process state-space model (GP-SSM). GP-SSM is a probabilistic representation learning scheme that represents unknown state transition and/or measurement models as Gaussian processes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Soon-Seo Park , Young-Jin Park , Youngjae Min , Han-Lim Choi

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

Bayesian neural network posterior distributions have a great number of modes that correspond to the same network function. The abundance of such modes can make it difficult for approximate inference methods to do their job. Recent work has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-03 Tommy Rochussen

Building artificially intelligent geospatial systems requires rapid delivery of spatial data analysis on massive scales with minimal human intervention. Depending upon their intended use, data analysis can also involve model assessment and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Luca Presicce , Sudipto Banerjee

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Distance metric learning is an important component for many tasks, such as statistical classification and content-based image retrieval. Existing approaches for learning distance metrics from pairwise constraints typically suffer from two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Liu Yang , Rong Jin , Rahul Sukthankar

A fundamental task in AI is providing performance guarantees for predictions made in unseen domains. In practice, there can be substantial uncertainty about the distribution of new data, and corresponding variability in the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Kasra Jalaldoust , Alexis Bellot , Elias Bareinboim
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