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Many areas of science rely on simulators that implicitly encode intractable likelihood functions of complex systems. Classical statistical methods are poorly suited for these so-called likelihood-free inference (LFI) settings, especially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-28 Niccolò Dalmasso , Luca Masserano , David Zhao , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam

Simulation-based inference methods have been shown to be inaccurate in the data-poor regime, when training simulations are limited or expensive. Under these circumstances, the inference network is particularly prone to overfitting, and…

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables Bayesian analysis when the likelihood is intractable but model simulations are available. Recent advances in statistics and machine learning, including Approximate Bayesian Computation and deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Haoyu Jiang , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

Stochastic planning can be reduced to probabilistic inference in large discrete graphical models, but hardness of inference requires approximation schemes to be used. In this paper we argue that such applications can be disentangled along…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Zhennan Wu , Roni Khardon

When a posterior peaks in unexpected regions of parameter space, new physics has either been discovered, or a bias has not been identified yet. To tell these two cases apart is of paramount importance. We therefore present a method to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-04 Elena Sellentin , Jean-Luc Starck

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), synthetic likelihood, and neural posterior estimation (NPE) rely on simulating statistics to infer parameters of intractable likelihood models.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Daolang Huang , Ayush Bharti , Amauri Souza , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

This paper presents a novel framework for full-waveform seismic source inversion using simulation-based inference (SBI). Traditional probabilistic approaches often rely on simplifying assumptions about data errors, which we show can lead to…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-05-15 A. A. Saoulis , D. Piras , A. Spurio Mancini , B. Joachimi , A. M. G. Ferreira

Simulators often provide the best description of real-world phenomena. However, they also lead to challenging inverse problems because the density they implicitly define is often intractable. We present a new suite of simulation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Johann Brehmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez , Kyle Cranmer

Likelihood-free methods are an essential tool for performing inference for implicit models which can be simulated from, but for which the corresponding likelihood is intractable. However, common likelihood-free methods do not scale well to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 Christopher Drovandi , David J Nott , David T Frazier

We introduce two synthetic likelihood methods for Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), to conduct either amortized or targeted inference from experimental observations when a high-fidelity simulator is available. Both methods learn a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Pierre Glaser , Michael Arbel , Samo Hromadka , Arnaud Doucet , Arthur Gretton

To date, galaxy image simulations for weak lensing surveys usually approximate the light profiles of all galaxies as a single or double S\'ersic profile, neglecting the influence of galaxy substructures and morphologies deviating from such…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-09 Euclid Collaboration , B. Csizi , T. Schrabback , S. Grandis , H. Hoekstra , H. Jansen , L. Linke , G. Congedo , A. N. Taylor , A. Amara , S. Andreon , C. Baccigalupi , M. Baldi , S. Bardelli , P. Battaglia , R. Bender , A. Biviano , C. Bodendorf , D. Bonino , E. Branchini , M. Brescia , J. Brinchmann , S. Camera , G. Cañas-Herrera , V. Capobianco , C. Carbone , J. Carretero , S. Casas , F. J. Castander , M. Castellano , G. Castignani , S. Cavuoti , K. C. Chambers , A. Cimatti , C. Colodro-Conde , C. J. Conselice , L. Conversi , Y. Copin , F. Courbin , H. M. Courtois , M. Cropper , A. Da Silva , H. Degaudenzi , G. De Lucia , J. Dinis , H. Dole , M. Douspis , F. Dubath , X. Dupac , S. Dusini , S. Escoffier , M. Farina , R. Farinelli , S. Farrens , F. Faustini , S. Ferriol , S. Fotopoulou , M. Frailis , E. Franceschi , S. Galeotta , B. Gillis , C. Giocoli , J. Gracia-Carpio , A. Grazian , F. Grupp , L. Guzzo , S. V. H. Haugan , W. Holmes , I. Hook , F. Hormuth , A. Hornstrup , P. Hudelot , S. Ilić , K. Jahnke , M. Jhabvala , B. Joachimi , E. Keihänen , S. Kermiche , A. Kiessling , M. Kilbinger , B. Kubik , K. Kuijken , M. Kümmel , M. Kunz , H. Kurki-Suonio , A. M. C. Le Brun , S. Ligori , P. B. Lilje , V. Lindholm , I. Lloro , D. Maino , E. Maiorano , O. Mansutti , S. Marcin , O. Marggraf , K. Markovic , M. Martinelli , N. Martinet , F. Marulli , R. Massey , E. Medinaceli , S. Mei , M. Melchior , Y. Mellier , M. Meneghetti , G. Meylan , A. Mora , M. Moresco , L. Moscardini , S. -M. Niemi , C. Padilla , S. Paltani , F. Pasian , K. Pedersen , V. Pettorino , S. Pires , G. Polenta , M. Poncet , L. A. Popa , F. Raison , A. Renzi , J. Rhodes , G. Riccio , E. Romelli , M. Roncarelli , E. Rossetti , R. Saglia , Z. Sakr , A. G. Sánchez , B. Sartoris , P. Schneider , A. Secroun , G. Seidel , S. Serrano , P. Simon , C. Sirignano , G. Sirri , A. Spurio Mancini , L. Stanco , J. Steinwagner , P. Tallada-Crespí , D. Tavagnacco , H. I. Teplitz , I. Tereno , N. Tessore , S. Toft , R. Toledo-Moreo , F. Torradeflot , I. Tutusaus , E. A. Valentijn , L. Valenziano , J. Valiviita , T. Vassallo , G. Verdoes Kleijn , A. Veropalumbo , Y. Wang , J. Weller , G. Zamorani , E. Zucca , M. Bolzonella , E. Bozzo , C. Burigana , M. Calabrese , D. Di Ferdinando , J. A. Escartin Vigo , S. Matthew , N. Mauri , A. Pezzotta , M. Pöntinen , V. Scottez , M. Tenti , M. Viel , M. Wiesmann , Y. Akrami , V. Allevato , S. Anselmi , M. Archidiacono , F. Atrio-Barandela , M. Ballardini , A. Blanchard , L. Blot , S. Borgani , S. Bruton , R. Cabanac , A. Calabro , A. Cappi , F. Caro , C. S. Carvalho , T. Castro , S. Contarini , A. R. Cooray , G. Desprez , A. Díaz-Sánchez , J. J. Diaz , S. Di Domizio , A. G. Ferrari , P. G. Ferreira , I. Ferrero , A. Finoguenov , A. Fontana , F. Fornari , L. Gabarra , K. Ganga , J. García-Bellido , T. Gasparetto , E. Gaztanaga , F. Giacomini , F. Gianotti , G. Gozaliasl , C. M. Gutierrez , A. Hall , H. Hildebrandt , J. Hjorth , A. Jimenez Muñoz , S. Joudaki , J. J. E. Kajava , V. Kansal , D. Karagiannis , C. C. Kirkpatrick , J. Le Graet , L. Legrand , J. Lesgourgues , T. I. Liaudat , A. Loureiro , J. Macias-Perez , G. Maggio , M. Magliocchetti , C. Mancini , F. Mannucci , R. Maoli , J. Martín-Fleitas , C. J. A. P. Martins , L. Maurin , R. B. Metcalf , M. Miluzio , P. Monaco , A. Montoro , C. Moretti , G. Morgante , Nicholas A. Walton , L. Pagano , L. Patrizii , V. Popa , D. Potter , I. Risso , P. -F. Rocci , M. Sahlén , E. Sarpa , A. Schneider , M. Sereno , J. Stadel , K. Tanidis , C. Tao , G. Testera , R. Teyssier , S. Tosi , A. Troja , M. Tucci , C. Valieri , D. Vergani , G. Verza , P. Vielzeuf

We present Flinch, a fully differentiable and high-performance framework for field-level inference on angular maps, developed to improve the flexibility and scalability of current methodologies. Flinch is integrated with differentiable…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-31 Andrea Crespi , Marco Bonici , Arthur Loureiro , Jaime Ruiz-Zapatero , Ivan Sladoljev , Zack Li , Adrian Bayer , Marius Millea , Uroš Seljak

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a statistical inference approach for estimating latent parameters of a physical system when the likelihood is intractable but simulations are available. In practice, SBI is often hindered by model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Ortal Senouf , Antoine Wehenkel , Cédric Vincent-Cuaz , Emmanuel Abbé , Pascal Frossard

Some of the issues that make sampling parameter spaces of various beyond the Standard Model (BSM) scenarios computationally expensive are the high dimensionality of the input parameter space, complex likelihoods, and stringent experimental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-02-16 Atrideb Chatterjee , Arghya Choudhury , Sourav Mitra , Arpita Mondal , Subhadeep Mondal

Forthcoming Stage-IV dark energy optical surveys, such as LSST, have the ambitious goal of measuring cosmological parameters at sub-percent precision. Realizing their full scientific potential requires very precise measurement of the cosmic…

Weak gravitational lensing is a powerful probe for constraining cosmological parameters, but its success relies on accurate shear measurements. In this paper, we use image simulations to investigate how a joint analysis of high-resolution…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-22 Shiyang Zhang , Shun-Sheng Li , Henk Hoekstra

Cosmological analyses are moving past the well understood 2-point statistics to extract more information from cosmological fields. A natural step in extending inference pipelines to other summary statistics is to include higher order…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-20 Kai Lehman , Zhengyangguang Gong , David Gebauer , Stella Seitz , Jochen Weller

We present here the cosmo-SLICS, a new suite of simulations specially designed for the analysis of current and upcoming weak lensing data beyond the standard two-point cosmic shear. We sample the $[\Omega_{\rm m}, \sigma_8, h, w_0]$…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-11-20 Joachim Harnois-Deraps , Benjamin Giblin , Benjamin Joachimi