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Likelihood-free inference provides a framework for performing rigorous Bayesian inference using only forward simulations, properly accounting for all physical and observational effects that can be successfully included in the simulations.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-24 Justin Alsing , Tom Charnock , Stephen Feeney , Benjamin Wandelt

We investigate the merits of a massive forward modeling of ground-based optical imaging as a diagnostic for the strong lensing nature of Early-Type Galaxies, in the light of which blurred and faint Einstein rings can hide. We simulate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Florence Brault , Raphael Gavazzi

A major challenge in extracting information from current and upcoming surveys of cosmological Large-Scale Structure (LSS) is the limited availability of computationally expensive high-fidelity simulations. We introduce calibrated Neural…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-24 He Jia

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is a promising approach to leverage high fidelity cosmological simulations and extract information from the non-Gaussian, non-linear scales that cannot be modeled analytically. However, scaling SBI to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-27 Chirag Modi , Shivam Pandey , Matthew Ho , ChangHoon Hahn , Bruno R'egaldo-Saint Blancard , Benjamin Wandelt

With the availability of thousands of type Ia supernovae in the near future the magnitude scatter induced by lensing will become a major issue as it affects parameter estimation. Current N-body simulations are too time consuming to be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-10 Valerio Marra , Miguel Quartin , Luca Amendola

Data-driven approaches using deep learning are emerging as powerful techniques to extract non-Gaussian information from cosmological large-scale structure. This work presents the first simulation-based inference (SBI) pipeline that combines…

The statistical power of weak lensing measurements is principally driven by the number of high redshift galaxies whose shapes are resolved. Conventional wisdom and physical intuition suggest this is optimised by deep imaging at long (red or…

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a common name for an emerging family of approaches that infer the model parameters when the likelihood is intractable. Existing SBI methods either approximate the likelihood, such as Approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Theo Gruner , Boris Belousov , Fabio Muratore , Daniel Palenicek , Jan Peters

The growing availability of large and complex datasets has increased interest in temporal stochastic processes that can capture stylized facts such as marginal skewness, non-Gaussian tails, long memory, and even non-Markovian dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Dan Leonte , Raphaël Huser , Almut E. D. Veraart

We present $\texttt{SBi3PCF}$, a simulation-based inference (SBI) framework for analysing a higher-order weak lensing statistic, the integrated 3-point correlation function (i3PCF). Our approach forward-models the cosmic shear field using…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-27 David Gebauer , Anik Halder , Stella Seitz , Dhayaa Anbajagane

We extend field-level inference to jointly constrain the cosmological parameters $\{A,\omega_{\rm cdm},H_0\}$, in both real and redshift space. Our analyses are based on mock data generated using a perturbative forward model, with noise…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-25 Kazuyuki Akitsu , Marko Simonović , Shi-Fan Chen , Giovanni Cabass , Matias Zaldarriaga

We present a tomographic cosmological weak lensing analysis of the HST COSMOS Survey. Applying our lensing-optimized data reduction, principal component interpolation for the ACS PSF, and improved modelling of charge-transfer inefficiency,…

Gravitational lensing by massive galaxy clusters distorts the observed cosmic microwave background (CMB) on arcminute scales, and these distortions carry information about cluster masses. Standard approaches to extracting cluster mass…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-18 Eric J. Baxter , Shivam Pandey

The Lyman-alpha forest provides strong constraints on both cosmological parameters and intergalactic medium astrophysics, which are forecast to improve further with the next generation of surveys including eBOSS and DESI. As is generic in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-19 Keir K. Rogers , Hiranya V. Peiris , Andrew Pontzen , Simeon Bird , Licia Verde , Andreu Font-Ribera

We present high-fidelity cosmology results from a blinded joint analysis of galaxy-galaxy weak lensing ($\Delta\!\Sigma$) and projected galaxy clustering ($w_{\rm p}$) measured from the Hyper Suprime-Cam Year-1 (HSC-Y1) data and…

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

Cosmic microwave background (CMB) lensing is an integrated effect whose kernel is greater than half the peak value in the range $1<z<5$. Measuring this effect offers a powerful tool to probe the large-scale structure of the Universe at high…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-27 Toshiya Namikawa , Benjamin Bose , François R. Bouchet , Ryuichi Takahashi , Atsushi Taruya

Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

Obtaining accurately calibrated redshift distributions of photometric samples is one of the great challenges in photometric surveys like LSST, Euclid, HSC, KiDS, and DES. We present an inference methodology that combines the redshift…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-09 M. M. Rau , C. B. Morrison , S. J. Schmidt , S. Wilson , R. Mandelbaum , Y. Y. Mao

Context. Existing samples of strong lenses have been assembled by giving priority to sample size, at the cost of having a complex selection function. With the advent of the next generation of wide-field photometric surveys, however, it…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-04-15 Alessandro Sonnenfeld