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This paper studies what Bitcoin (BTC) premiums in peer-to-peer (P2P) markets measure. Using transaction-level data from LocalBitcoins, we construct BTC premiums for 80 currencies relative to the U.S. dollar and relate them to blockchain…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-25 Yanan Niu

Cryptocurrencies have gained tremendous popularity over the past few years. The purpose of this study is to try to understand the factors that are driving cryptocurrency-related trading activities. Focusing on the well-established…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Natalia Jerdack , Akmaral Dauletbek , Meredith Divine , Michael Hult , Arthur Carvalho

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Junjie Hu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Weiyu Kuo

This research aims to identify how Bitcoin-related news publications and online discourse are expressed in Bitcoin exchange movements of price and volume. Being inherently digital, all Bitcoin-related fundamental data (from exchanges, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-09 Marvin Aron Kennis

The aim of this paper is to analyse the Bitcoin in order to shed some light on its nature and behaviour. We select 9 cryptocurrencies that account for almost 75\% of total market capitalisation and compare their evolution with that of a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 Esther Cabezas-Rivas , Felipe Sánchez-Coll , Isaac Tormo-Xaixo

In this paper, we explore the partitioning attacks on the Bitcoin network, which is shown to exhibit spatial bias, and temporal and logical diversity. Through data-driven study we highlight: 1) the centralization of Bitcoin nodes across…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Muhammad Saad , Victor Cook , Lan Nguyen , My T. Thai , Aziz Mohaisen

In December 2017, two leading derivative exchanges, CBOE and CME, introduced the first regulated Bitcoin futures. Our aim is estimating their causal impact on Bitcoin volatility and trading volume. Employing a new causal approach, C-ARIMA,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-01 Fiammetta Menchetti , Fabrizio Cipollini , Fabrizia Mealli

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

We study to what extent the Bitcoin blockchain security permanently depends on the underlying distribution of cryptocurrency market outcomes. We use daily blockchain and Bitcoin data for 2014-2019 and employ the ARDL approach. We test three…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-18 Pavel Ciaian , d'Artis Kancs , Miroslava Rajcaniova

The study of order volumes in financial markets has shown that these display several non-trivial statistical properties. Most studies have been focused on the bulk properties of volume of incoming orders or of realized transactions rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-22 Roberto Mota Navarro , Francois Leyvraz , Hernán Larralde

This paper introduces a new event-based measure of bilateral geopolitical alignment and provides evidence that it shapes economic growth. The measure is built from 373,020 geopolitical events across 193 countries over 1960--2024, compiled…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-10 Tianyu Fan

We analyze the first and second moment risk premia in the Bitcoin market based on options and realized returns and contrast them to the premia embedded in the main US stock index market. First, Bitcoin is much more volatile and has a higher…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Caio Almeida , Maria Grith , Ratmir Miftachov , Zijin Wang

This study, to the best of our knowledge for the first time, delves into the spatiotemporal dynamics of Bitcoin transactions, shedding light on the scaling laws governing its geographic usage. Leveraging a dataset of IP addresses and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Lajos Kelemen , István András Seres , Ágnes Backhausz

This paper aims to analyze the effect of Bitcoin on portfolio optimization using mean-variance, conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), and Markov regime switching approaches. I assessed each approach and developed the next based on the prior…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

As the first decentralized digital currency introduced in 2009 together with the blockchain, Bitcoin offers new opportunities both for developed and developing countries. Bitcoin peer-to-peer transactions are independent of the banking…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-25 Francesco Parino , Mariano G. Beiro , Laetitia Gauvin

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

This study investigates the influence of monetary policy and monetary policy uncertainties on Bitcoin returns, utilizing monthly data of BTC, and MPU from July 2010 to August 2023, and employing the Markov Switching Means VAR (MSM-VAR)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

In this paper, we analyse the impacts of exogenous and endogenous factors on wealth distribution in the Bitcoin token economy, where wealth distribution refers to the distribution of BTC between economic participants or groups of economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-20 Rem Sadykhov , Geoff Goodell , Philip Treleaven

Cryptocurrencies have evolved into an important asset class, providing a variety of benefits. However, they also present significant risks, such as market volatility and the potential for misuse in illegal activities. These risks underline…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xihan Xiong , Junliang Luo

Cryptocurrencies have recently been in the spotlight of public debate due to their embrace by the new US President, with crypto fans expecting a 'bull run'. The global cryptocurrency market capitalisation is more than \$3.50 trillion, with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Marco Venturini , Daniel García-Costa , Elena Álvarez-García , Francisco Grimaldo , Flaminio Squazzoni
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