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Despite outstanding contribution to the significant progress of Artificial Intelligence (AI), deep learning models remain mostly black boxes, which are extremely weak in explainability of the reasoning process and prediction results.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Sheng Shi , Xinfeng Zhang , Wei Fan

Time series data is fundamental to decision-making across many domains including healthcare, finance, power systems, and logistics. However, analyzing this data correctly often requires incorporating unstructured contextual information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Felix Parker , Nimeesha Chan , Chi Zhang , Kimia Ghobadi

Time series forecasting has important applications across diverse domains. EasyTime, the system we demonstrate, facilitates easy use of time-series forecasting methods by researchers and practitioners alike. First, EasyTime enables…

Given the pressing need for assuring algorithmic transparency, Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged as one of the key areas of AI research. In this paper, we develop a novel Bayesian extension to the LIME framework, one of the most widely used…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Xingyu Zhao , Wei Huang , Xiaowei Huang , Valentin Robu , David Flynn

As black-box machine learning models grow in complexity and find applications in high-stakes scenarios, it is imperative to provide explanations for their predictions. Although Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) [22] is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Zeren Tan , Yang Tian , Jian Li

Current approaches for time series forecasting, whether in the time or frequency domain, predominantly use deep learning models based on linear layers or transformers. They often encode time series data in a black-box manner and rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Cheng He , Xijie Liang , Zengrong Zheng , Patrick P. C. Lee , Xu Huang , Zhaoyi Li , Hong Xie , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

Most state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms induce black-box models, preventing their application in many sensitive domains. Hence, many methodologies for explaining machine learning models have been proposed to address this problem.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Tiago Botari , Frederik Hvilshøj , Rafael Izbicki , Andre C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

A time series forecasting model--which is typically built on a single time series--is known as a local time series model (tsLM). In contrast, a forecasting model trained on multiple time series is referred to as a global time series model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Junru Ren , Shaomin Wu

Complex black-box predictive models may have high performance, but lack of interpretability causes problems like lack of trust, lack of stability, sensitivity to concept drift. On the other hand, achieving satisfactory accuracy of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Alicja Gosiewska , Przemyslaw Biecek

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as general-purpose forecasting models and show considerable potential for applications in energy systems. However, applications in critical infrastructure like power grids require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Matthias Hertel , Alexandra Nikoltchovska , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Benjamin Schäfer , Veit Hagenmeyer

Many problems in computer vision have recently been tackled using models whose predictions cannot be easily interpreted, most commonly deep neural networks. Surrogate explainers are a popular post-hoc interpretability method to further…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ricardo Kleinlein , Alexander Hepburn , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez , Fernando Fernández-Martínez

An increasing number of machine learning models have been deployed in domains with high stakes such as finance and healthcare. Despite their superior performances, many models are black boxes in nature which are hard to explain. There are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Shivani Choudhary , Niladri Chatterjee , Subir Kumar Saha

Algorithmic approaches to interpreting machine learning models have proliferated in recent years. We carry out human subject tests that are the first of their kind to isolate the effect of algorithmic explanations on a key aspect of model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Peter Hase , Mohit Bansal

Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular method to perform interpretability of any kind of Machine Learning (ML) model. It explains one ML prediction at a time, by learning a simple linear model around the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Giorgio Visani , Enrico Bagli , Federico Chesani

With the increasing application of deep learning algorithms to time series classification, especially in high-stake scenarios, the relevance of interpreting those algorithms becomes key. Although research in time series interpretability has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Jacqueline Höllig , Cedric Kulbach , Steffen Thoma

Interpretability methods that utilise local surrogate models (e.g. LIME) are very good at describing the behaviour of the predictive model at a point of interest, but they are not guaranteed to extrapolate to the local region surrounding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Marton Havasi , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

This paper evaluates the user interface of an in vitro fertility (IVF) outcome prediction tool, focussing on its understandability for patients or potential patients. We analyse four years of anonymous patient feedback, followed by a user…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Adarsa Sivaprasad , Ehud Reiter , David McLernon , Nava Tintarev , Siladitya Bhattacharya , Nir Oren

An explanation method called SurvBeX is proposed to interpret predictions of the machine learning survival black-box models. The main idea behind the method is to use the modified Beran estimator as the surrogate explanation model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Lev V. Utkin , Danila Y. Eremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov

Explainability is motivated by the lack of transparency of black-box Machine Learning approaches, which do not foster trust and acceptance of Machine Learning algorithms. This also happens in the Predictive Process Monitoring field, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Williams Rizzi , Marco Comuzzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Suhwan Lee , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Alexander Nolte

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen