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Ensuring transparency in machine learning decisions is critically important, especially in sensitive sectors such as healthcare, finance, and justice. Despite this, some popular explainable algorithms, such as Local Interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Shakiba Rahimiaghdam , Hande Alemdar

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved remarkable success in universal forecasting by leveraging large-scale pretraining on diverse time series data. Complementing this progress, incorporating frequency-domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunyu Wu , Jiawei Huang , Weibin Feng , Boxin Li , Xiao Zhang , Erli Meng , Dan Li , Jian Lou , See-Kiong Ng

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

In explainable AI, surrogate models are commonly evaluated by their fidelity to a neural network's predictions. Fidelity, however, measures alignment to a learned model rather than alignment to the data-generating signal underlying the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jackson Eshbaugh

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

Several explainable AI methods allow a Machine Learning user to get insights on the classification process of a black-box model in the form of local linear explanations. With such information, the user can judge which features are locally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Francesco Lomuscio , Paolo Bajardi , Alan Perotti , Elvio G. Amparore

Recent advances in vision and language (V+L) models have a promising impact in the healthcare field. However, such models struggle to explain how and why a particular decision was made. In addition, model transparency and involvement of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Petrus Werner , Anna Zapaishchykova , Ujjwal Ratan

Numerous algorithms have been proposed for detecting anomalies (outliers, novelties) in an unsupervised manner. Unfortunately, it is not trivial, in general, to understand why a given sample (record) is labelled as an anomaly and thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Nikolaos Myrtakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos , Vassilis Christophides

The proliferation of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has significantly advanced zero-shot forecasting, enabling predictions for unseen time series without task-specific fine-tuning. Extensive research has confirmed that no single TSFM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Hao-Nan Shi , Ting-Ji Huang , Lu Han , De-Chuan Zhan , Han-Jia Ye

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown remarkable ability in solving complex tasks, making them a promising tool for enhancing tabular learning. However, existing LLM-based methods suffer from high resource requirements, suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Ruxue Shi , Hengrui Gu , Xu Shen , Xin Wang

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Personalized mobile artificial intelligence applications are widely deployed, yet they are expected to infer user behavior from sparse and irregular histories under a continuously evolving spatio-temporal context. This setting induces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Shiyuan Zhang , Yilai Liu , Yuwei Du , Ruoxuan Yang , Dong In Kim , Hongyang Du

When it comes to complex machine learning models, commonly referred to as black boxes, understanding the underlying decision making process is crucial for domains such as healthcare and financial services, and also when it is used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Jürgen Dieber , Sabrina Kirrane

AI systems are notorious for their fragility; minor input changes can potentially cause major output swings. When such systems are deployed in critical areas like finance, the consequences of their uncertain behavior could be severe. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Kausik Lakkaraju , Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Parisa Zehtabi , Sunandita Patra , Biplav Srivastava , Marco Valtorta

Detecting and analyzing complex patterns in multivariate time-series data is crucial for decision-making in urban and environmental system operations. However, challenges arise from the high dimensionality, intricate complexity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Haowen Xu , Ali Boyaci , Jianming Lian , Aaron Wilson

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has sparked growing interest in their application to time series analysis tasks. However, their ability to perform complex reasoning over temporal data in real-world application domains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Wen Ye , Jinbo Liu , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Yan Liu

Research in human-centered AI has shown the benefits of systems that can explain their predictions. Methods that allow an AI to take advice from humans in response to explanations are similarly useful. While both capabilities are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Benjamin Charles Germain Lee , Doug Downey , Kyle Lo , Daniel S. Weld

Deep time series forecasting has emerged as a rapidly growing field in recent years. Despite the exponential growth of community interests, progress on standard benchmarks is often limited to marginal improvements. A common consensus of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yuxuan Wang , Haixu Wu , Yuezhou Ma , Yuchen Fang , Ziyi Zhang , Yong Liu , Shiyu Wang , Zhou Ye , Yang Xiang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

The proliferation of time series foundation models has created a landscape where no single method achieves consistent superiority, framing the central challenge not as finding the best model, but as orchestrating an optimal ensemble with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Defu Cao , Michael Gee , Jinbo Liu , Hengxuan Wang , Wei Yang , Rui Wang , Yan Liu

Surrogate models are used to predict the behavior of complex energy systems that are too expensive to simulate with traditional numerical methods. Our work introduces the use of language descriptions, which we call ``system captions'' or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Patrick Emami , Zhaonan Li , Saumya Sinha , Truc Nguyen
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