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Granger causality, a popular method for determining causal influence between stochastic processes, is most commonly estimated via linear autoregressive modeling. However, this approach has a serious drawback: if the process being modeled…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Granger causality is a widely-used criterion for analyzing interactions in large-scale networks. As most physical interactions are inherently nonlinear, we consider the problem of inferring the existence of pairwise Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Saurabh Khanna , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Most of the metrics used for detecting a causal relationship among multiple time series ignore the effects of practical measurement impairments, such as finite sample effects, undersampling and measurement noise. It has been shown that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Rahul Devendra , Ribhu Chopra , Kumar Appaiah

Measuring interdependence between probabilities of default (PDs) in different industry sectors of an economy plays a crucial role in financial stress testing. Thereby, regression approaches may be employed to model the impact of stressed…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-13 Matthias Fischer , Daniel Kraus , Marius Pfeuffer , Claudia Czado

In this letter we discuss use of Granger causality to the analyze systems of coupled circular variables, by modifying a recently proposed method for multivariate analysis of causality. We show the application of the proposed approach on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 Leonardo Angelini , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

We propose a method of analysis of dynamical networks based on a recent measure of Granger causality between time series, based on kernel methods. The generalization of kernel Granger causality to the multivariate case, here presented,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

In many studies multivariate event time data are generated from clusters having a possibly complex association pattern. Flexible models are needed to capture this dependence. Vine copulas serve this purpose. Inference methods for vine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-25 Nicole Barthel , Candida Geerdens , Matthias Killiches , Paul Janssen , Claudia Czado

Granger causality analysis is a popular method for inference on directed interactions in complex systems of many variables. A shortcoming of the standard framework for Granger causality is that it only allows for examination of interactions…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-14 Adam B. Barrett , Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

This paper is motivated by studies in neuroscience experiments to understand interactions between nodes in a brain network using different types of data modalities that capture different distinct facets of brain activity. To assess…

Important information on the structure of complex systems, consisting of more than one component, can be obtained by measuring to which extent the individual components exchange information among each other. Such knowledge is needed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Identifying causal relations among simultaneously acquired signals is an important problem in multivariate time series analysis. For linear stochastic systems Granger proposed a simple procedure called the Granger causality to detect such…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Yonghong Chen , Govindan Rangarajan , Jianfeng Feng , Mingzhou Ding

We study causality between bivariate curve time series using the Granger causality generalized measures of correlation. With this measure, we can investigate which curve time series Granger-causes the other; in turn, it helps determine the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-21 Han Lin Shang , Kaiying Ji , Ufuk Beyaztas

Use copula to model dependency of variable extends multivariate gaussian assumption. In this paper we first empirically studied copula regression model with continous response. Both simulation study and real data study are given. Secondly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Weijian Luo , Mai Wo

Granger causality and variants of this concept allow the study of complex dynamical systems as networks constructed from multivariate time series. In this work, a large number of Granger causality measures used to form causality networks…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-08 Elsa Siggiridou , Christos Koutlis , Alkiviadis Tsimpiris , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Granger causality is a statistical notion of causal influence based on prediction via vector autoregression. For Gaussian variables it is equivalent to transfer entropy, an information-theoretic measure of time-directed information transfer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-17 Sebastiano Stramaglia , Tomas Scagliarini , Yuri Antonacci , Luca Faes

We discuss the use of multivariate Granger causality in presence of redundant variables: the application of the standard analysis, in this case, leads to under-estimation of causalities. Using the un-normalized version of the causality…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 L. Angelini , M. de Tommaso , D. Marinazzo , L. Nitti , M. Pellicoro , S. Stramaglia

We propose a generalisation of the logistic regression model, that aims to account for non-linear main effects and complex interactions, while keeping the model inherently explainable. This is obtained by starting with log-odds that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Ingrid Hobæk Haff , Simon Boge Brant , Haakon Bakka

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

This research focuses on the identification and causality analysis of coherent structures that arise in turbulent flows in square and rectangular ducts. Coherent structures are first identified from direct numerical simulation data via…

Granger causality (GC) is undoubtedly the most widely used method to infer cause-effect relations from observational time series. Several nonlinear alternatives to GC have been proposed based on kernel methods. We generalize kernel Granger…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-10 Diego Bueso , Maria Piles , Gustau Camps-Valls