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We develop theory and applications of forward characteristic processes in discrete time following a seminal paper of Jan Kallsen and Paul Kr\"uhner. Particular emphasis is placed on the dynamics of volatility surfaces which can be easily…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-08 Anja Richter , Josef Teichmann

The correlated stochastic volatility models constitute a natural extension of the Black and Scholes-Merton framework: here the volatility is not a constant, but a stochastic process correlated with the price log-return one. At present,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Cisana , L. Fermi , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

We propose a model of fractal point process driven by the nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The model is adjusted to the empirical data of trading activity in financial markets. This reproduces the probability distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Gontis , B. Kaulakys

We derive the price of a spread option based on two assets which follow a bivariate volatility modulated Volterra process dynamics. Such a price dynamics is particularly relevant in energy markets, modelling for example the spot price of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-23 Fred Espen Benth , Hanna Zdanowicz

We address the problem of Lyapunov function construction for a class of continuous-time Markov chains with affine transition rates, typically encountered in stochastic chemical kinetics. Following an optimization approach, we take advantage…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Andreas Milias-Argeitis , Mustafa Khammash

The paper uses functional auto-regression to predict the dynamics of interest rate curve. It estimates the auto-regressive operator by extending methods of the reduced-rank auto-regression to the functional data. Such an estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Vladislav Kargin , Alexei Onatski

In this paper, we consider the portfolio optimization problem in a financial market under a general utility function. Empirical results suggest that if a significant market fluctuation occurs, invested wealth tends to have a notable change…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Minglian Lin , Indranil SenGupta

A general method to construct recombinant tree approximations for stochastic volatility models is developed and applied to the Heston model for stock price dynamics. In this application, the resulting approximation is a four tuple Markov…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-14 Erdinç Akyıldırım , Yan Dolinsky , H. Mete Soner

We present a family of models for the term structure of interest rates which describe the interest rate curve as a stochastic process in a Hilbert space. We start by decomposing the deformations of the term structure into the variations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-05-17 Rama Cont

The Black-Scholes implied volatility skew at the money of SPX options is known to obey a power law with respect to the time-to-maturity. We construct a model of the underlying asset price process which is dynamically consistent to the power…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-29 Masaaki Fukasawa

This papers develops a stochastic integration theory with respect to volatility modulated L\'{e}vy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes. It extends recent results in the literature to allow for stochastic volatility and pure jump processes in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Fred Espen Benth , Jan Pedersen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We provide a short-time large deviation principle (LDP) for stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is expressed as a function of a Volterra process. This LDP does not require strict self-similarity assumptions on the Volterra…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Giacomo Giorgio , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Paolo Pigato

Stochastic uncertainties in complex dynamical systems lead to variability of system states, which can in turn degrade the closed-loop performance. This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for a class of nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Edward A. Buehler , Joel A. Paulson , Ali Akhavan , Ali Mesbah

In this paper we prove an approximate formula expressed in terms of elementary functions for the implied volatility in the Heston model. The formula consists of the constant and first order terms in the large maturity expansion of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Martin Forde , Antoine Jacquier , Aleksandar Mijatovic

This study deals with continuous limits of interacting one-dimensional diffusive systems, arising from stochastic distortions of discrete curves with various kinds of coding representations. These systems are essentially of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

We introduce a multi-factor stochastic volatility model based on the CIR/Heston volatility process that incorporates seasonality and the Samuelson effect. First, we give conditions on the seasonal term under which the corresponding…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-22 Lorenz Schneider , Bertrand Tavin

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

We consider a novel use case for the Double Heston model (Christoffersen et al,, 2009), where the two Heston sub-variances have different spot/volatility correlations but the same volatility of volatility and mean reversion speed. This…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Mark Higgins

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

We characterize the Markovian and affine structure of the Volterra Heston model in terms of an infinite-dimensional adjusted forward process and specify its state space. More precisely, we show that it satisfies a stochastic partial…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-02 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Omar El Euch