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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Transformer-based tabular foundation models (TFMs) dominate small to medium tabular predictive benchmark tasks, yet their inference mechanisms remain largely unexplored. We present the first large-scale mechanistic study of layerwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Amir Rezaei Balef , Mykhailo Koshil , Katharina Eggensperger

Activation engineering is becoming increasingly popular as a means of online control of large language models (LLMs). In this work, we extend the idea of inference-time steering with vectors that represent a behavioral direction of interest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Christopher M. Ackerman

Large language models (LLMs) often exhibit undesirable behaviors, such as safety violations and hallucinations. Although inference-time steering offers a cost-effective way to adjust model behavior without updating its parameters, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Zixuan Weng , Jinghuai Zhang , Kunlin Cai , Ying Li , Peiran Wang , Yuan Tian

Time-series data exists in every corner of real-world systems and services, ranging from satellites in the sky to wearable devices on human bodies. Learning representations by extracting and inferring valuable information from these time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Patara Trirat , Yooju Shin , Junhyeok Kang , Youngeun Nam , Jihye Na , Minyoung Bae , Joeun Kim , Byunghyun Kim , Jae-Gil Lee

The reconstruction of phase spaces is an essential step to analyze time series according to Dynamical System concepts. A regression performed on such spaces unveils the relationships among system states from which we can derive their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Lucas Pagliosa , Alexandru Telea , Rodrigo Mello

Neural time-series analysis has traditionally focused on modeling data in the time domain, often with some approaches incorporating equivalent Fourier domain representations as auxiliary spectral features. In this work, we shift the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Minjung Kim , Yusuke Hioka , Michael Witbrock

Scaling laws offer valuable insights into the design of time series foundation models (TSFMs). However, previous research has largely focused on the scaling laws of TSFMs for in-distribution (ID) data, leaving their out-of-distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Qingren Yao , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Renhe Jiang , Yuxuan Liang , Ming Jin , Shirui Pan

Recent research on time series foundation models has primarily focused on forecasting, leaving it unclear how generalizable their learned representations are. In this study, we examine whether frozen pre-trained forecasting models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Andreas Auer , Daniel Klotz , Sebastinan Böck , Sepp Hochreiter

In contemporary data-driven environments, the generation and processing of multivariate time series data is an omnipresent challenge, often complicated by time delays between different time series. These delays, originating from a multitude…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Jiajie Wang , Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Wen Chen

Clinical time-series learning is routinely constrained by small, heterogeneous cohorts and protocol drift, while its downstream use spans both classification (e.g., pathology diagnosis) and regression (e.g., temporal forecasting). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Sharmita Dey , Diego Paez-Granados

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is key functionality in numerous fields, such as financial investment, weather services, and energy management. Although increasingly capable TSF methods occur, many of them require domain-specific data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Zhe Li , Xiangfei Qiu , Peng Chen , Yihang Wang , Hanyin Cheng , Yang Shu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Aoying Zhou , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

Test-time compute has emerged as a powerful paradigm for improving the performance of large language models (LLMs), where generating multiple outputs or refining individual chains can significantly boost answer accuracy. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Sheng Liu , Tianlang Chen , Pan Lu , Haotian Ye , Yizheng Chen , Lei Xing , James Zou

Training a general-purpose time series foundation models with robust generalization capabilities across diverse applications from scratch is still an open challenge. Efforts are primarily focused on fusing cross-domain time series datasets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Language models often struggle with temporal misalignment, performance degradation caused by shifts in the temporal distribution of data. Continuously updating models to avoid degradation is expensive. Can models be adapted without updating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Changho Shin , Xinya Yan , Suenggwan Jo , Sungjun Cho , Shourjo Aditya Chaudhuri , Frederic Sala

Time series analysis faces significant challenges in handling variable-length data and achieving robust generalization. While Transformer-based models have advanced time series tasks, they often struggle with feature redundancy and limited…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Kai Zhang , Siming Sun , Zhengyu Fan , Qinmin Yang , Xuejun Jiang

Transformer-based methods have achieved state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting (TSF) by capturing positional and semantic topological relationships among input tokens. However, it remains unclear whether existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Jianqi Zhang , Wenwen Qiang , Jingyao Wang , Jiahuan Zhou , Changwen Zheng , Hui Xiong

In traditional machine teaching, a teacher wants to teach a concept to a learner, by means of a finite set of examples, the witness set. But concepts can have many equivalent representations. This redundancy strongly affects the search…

We present Masked Frequency Modeling (MFM), a unified frequency-domain-based approach for self-supervised pre-training of visual models. Instead of randomly inserting mask tokens to the input embeddings in the spatial domain, in this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jiahao Xie , Wei Li , Xiaohang Zhan , Ziwei Liu , Yew Soon Ong , Chen Change Loy

Leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) as federated learning (FL)-based time series foundation models offers a promising way to transfer the generalization capabilities of LLMs to time series data while preserving access to private data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Liwei Deng , Qingxiang Liu , Xinhe Niu , Shengchao Chen , Sheng Sun , Yuankai Wu , Guodong Long , Yuxuan Liang
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