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We investigate the effectiveness of time series foundation models (TSFMs) for crowd flow prediction, focusing on Moirai and TimesFM. Evaluated on three real-world mobility datasets-Bike NYC, Taxi Beijing, and Spanish national OD flows-these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Massimiliano Luca , Ciro Beneduce , Bruno Lepri

Interpreting time series models is uniquely challenging because it requires identifying both the location of time series signals that drive model predictions and their matching to an interpretable temporal pattern. While explainers from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Owen Queen , Thomas Hartvigsen , Teddy Koker , Huan He , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Time series reasoning is crucial to decision-making in diverse domains, including finance, energy usage, traffic, weather, and scientific discovery. While existing time series foundation models (TSFMs) can capture low-level dynamic patterns…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Fangxu Yu , Hongyu Zhao , Tianyi Zhou

Diffusion models have become the foundation of modern generative systems, with most research focusing primarily on improving generation efficiency and output quality. The timestep embedding component is a crucial part of the diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 An Huang , Junggab Son , Zuobin Xiong

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are rapidly transitioning from research prototypes to core components of critical decision-making systems, driven by their impressive zero-shot forecasting capabilities. However, as their deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Jiawen Zhang , Zhenwei Zhang , Shun Zheng , Xumeng Wen , Jia Li , Jiang Bian

Correlated time series analysis plays an important role in many real-world industries. Learning an efficient representation of this large-scale data for further downstream tasks is necessary but challenging. In this paper, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Luxuan Wang , Lei Bai , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao , Fugee Tsung

We consider the general class of time-homogeneous stochastic dynamical systems, both discrete and continuous, and study the problem of learning a representation of the state that faithfully captures its dynamics. This is instrumental to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Vladimir R. Kostic , Pietro Novelli , Riccardo Grazzi , Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil

Multivariate time series classification is of great importance in practical applications and is a challenging task. However, deep neural network models such as Transformers exhibit high accuracy in multivariate time series classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Mingsen Du , Yanxuan Wei , Yingxia Tang , Xiangwei Zheng , Shoushui Wei , Cun Ji

Time series foundation models have shown impressive performance on a variety of tasks, across a wide range of domains, even in zero-shot settings. However, most of these models are designed to handle short univariate time series as an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Nina Żukowska , Mononito Goswami , Michał Wiliński , Willa Potosnak , Artur Dubrawski

We introduce Sundial, a family of native, flexible, and scalable time series foundation models. To predict the next-patch's distribution, we propose a TimeFlow Loss based on flow-matching, which facilitates native pre-training of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yong Liu , Guo Qin , Zhiyuan Shi , Zhi Chen , Caiyin Yang , Xiangdong Huang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Aligned representations across languages is a desired property in multilingual large language models (mLLMs), as alignment can improve performance in cross-lingual tasks. Typically alignment requires fine-tuning a model, which is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Anirudh Sundar , Sinead Williamson , Katherine Metcalf , Barry-John Theobald , Skyler Seto , Masha Fedzechkina

The organization of latent knowledge within large-scale models poses unique challenges when addressing overlapping representations and optimizing contextual accuracy. Conceptual redundancies embedded across layers often result in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Joseph Sakau , Evander Kozlowski , Roderick Thistledown , Basil Steinberger

Representation learning plays a critical role in the analysis of time series data and has high practical value across a wide range of applications. including trend analysis, time series data retrieval and forecasting. In practice, data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Chengyang Ye , Qiang Ma

As large language models continue to scale, their growing computational and storage demands pose significant challenges for real-world deployment. In this work, we investigate redundancy within Transformer-based models and propose an…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Liangwei Yang , Yuhui Xu , Juntao Tan , Doyen Sahoo , Silvio Savarese , Caiming Xiong , Huan Wang , Shelby Heinecke

Recent years have seen significant advancements in foundation models through generative pre-training, yet algorithmic innovation in this space has largely stagnated around autoregressive models for discrete signals and diffusion models for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jiaming Song , Linqi Zhou

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Recent advancements in large reasoning models (LRMs) have significantly enhanced language models' capabilities in complex problem-solving by emulating human-like deliberative thinking. However, these models often exhibit overthinking (i.e.,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-19 Weixiang Zhao , Jiahe Guo , Yang Deng , Xingyu Sui , Yulin Hu , Yanyan Zhao , Wanxiang Che , Bing Qin , Tat-Seng Chua , Ting Liu

Biological foundation models (BioFMs), pretrained on large-scale biological sequences, have recently shown strong potential in providing meaningful representations for diverse downstream bioinformatics tasks. However, such models often rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yifan Wu , Jiyue Jiang , Xichen Ye , Yiqi Wang , Chang Zhou , Yitao Xu , Jiayang Chen , He Hu , Weizhong Zhang , Cheng Jin , Jiao Yuan , Yu Li
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