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We study the community structure of the multi-network of commodity-specific trade relations among world countries over the 1992-2003 period. We compare structures across commodities and time by means of the normalized mutual information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo , Giuseppe Mangioni

The trade tension between the U.S. and China since 2018 has caused a steady decoupling of the world's two largest economies. The pandemic outbreak in 2020 complicated this process and had numerous unanticipated repercussions. This paper…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-06 Wei Luo , Siyuan Kang , Sheng Hu , Lixian Su , Rui Dai

The structure of complex networks has long been understood to play a role in transmission and spreading phenomena on a graph. This behavior is difficult to model analytically and is most often modeled numerically. Such networks form an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Robert Harper , Philip Tee

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen

At the beginning of 2020 the world has seen the initial outbreak of COVID-19, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus in China. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared this disease as a pandemic on March 11 2020. As the disease spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Pitoyo Hartono

Transportation networks play a crucial role in human mobility, the exchange of goods, and the spread of invasive species. With 90% of world trade carried by sea, the global network of merchant ships provides one of the most important modes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-12 Pablo Kaluza , Andrea Kölzsch , Michael T. Gastner , Bernd Blasius

Data-driven risk networks describe many complex system dynamics arising in fields such as epidemiology and ecology. They lack explicit dynamics and have multiple sources of cost, both of which are beyond the current scope of traditional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-16 Xiang Niu , Christopher Brissette , Chunheng Jiang , Jianxi Gao , Gyorgy Korniss , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

The \emph{World Trade Web} (WTW), the network defined by the international import/export trade relationships, has been recently shown to display some important topological properties which are tightly related to the Gross Domestic Product…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , M. I. Loffredo

This study uses hierarchical structure methods (minimal spanning tree, (MST) and hierarchical tree, (HT)) to examine the hierarchical structures of the United State (US) foreign trade by using the real prices of their commodity export and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-30 Ersin Kantar

In the first half of 2020, several countries have responded to the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic by restricting their export of medical supplies. Such measures are meant to increase the domestic availability of critical goods,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-28 Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni , Stefano Schiavo , Silvio Traverso

We develop a model in which country-specific tariffs shape trade flows, prices, and welfare in a global economy with one homogeneous good. Trade flows form a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), and tariffs influence not only market outcomes but…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Paolo Pin

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) which are a branch of artificial intelligence, have shown their high value in lots of applications and are used as a suitable forecasting method. Therefore, this study aims at forecasting imports in OECD…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Soheila Khajoui , Saeid Dehyadegari , Sayyed Abdolmajid Jalaee

The Covid-19 pandemic drastically emphasized the fragility of national and international supply networks (SNs),leading to significant supply shortages of essential goods for people, such as food and medical equipment. Severe disruptions…

Statistical analysis of social networks provides valuable insights into complex network interactions across various scientific disciplines. However, accurate modeling of networks remains challenging due to the heavy computational burden and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Helal El-Zaatari , Fei Yu , Michael R Kosorok

COVID-19 has impacted the economy of almost every country in the world. Of particular interest are the responses of the economic indicators of developing nations (such as BRICS) to the COVID-19 shock. As an extension to our earlier work on…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-11 Rupam Bhattacharyya , Sheo Rama , Atul Kumar , Indrajit Banerjee

We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama

In this work, we investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on sovereign bond yields. We consider the temporal changes from financial correlations using network filtering methods. These methods consider a subset of links within the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Raymond Ka-Kay Pang , Oscar Granados , Harsh Chhajer , Erika Fille Legara

This work validates a dynamic production network model, used to quantify the impact of economic shocks caused by COVID-19 in the UK, using data for Belgium. Because the model was published early during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, it relied…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-12 Tijs W. Alleman , Koen Schoors , Jan M. Baetens

The availability of multidimensional economic datasets has grown significantly in recent years. An example is bilateral trade values across goods among countries, comprising three dimensions -- importing countries, exporting countries, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-24 Yaling Qi