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We describe a simple method that can be used to sample the rare fluctuations of discrete-time Markov chains. We focus on the case of Markov chains with well-defined steady-state measures, and derive expressions for the large-deviation rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-28 Stephen Whitelam

Random matrices are used in fields as different as the study of multi-orthogonal polynomials or the enumeration of discrete surfaces. Both of them are based on the study of a matrix integral. However, this term can be confusing since the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-30 Nicolas Orantin

This paper introduces the concept of random context representations for the transition probabilities of a finite-alphabet stochastic process. Processes with these representations generalize context tree processes (a.k.a. variable length…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

A sequence of real numbers (x_n) is Benford if the significands, i.e. the fraction parts in the floating-point representation of (x_n) are distributed logarithmically. Similarly, a discrete-time irreducible and aperiodic finite-state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-05 Bahar Kaynar , Arno Berger , Theodore P. Hill , Ad Ridder

The sets of primitive, quasiprimitive, and innately transitive permutation groups may each be regarded as the building blocks of finite transitive permutation groups, and are analogues of composition factors for abstract finite groups. This…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Anton A. Baykalov , Alice Devillers , Cheryl E. Praeger

These lectures present a survey of recent developments in the area of random matrices (finite and infinite) and random permutations. These probabilistic problems suggest matrix integrals (or Fredholm determinants), which arise very…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre van Moerbeke

We prove a large deviation principle on path space for a class of discrete time Markov processes whose state space is the intersection of a regular domain $\L\subset \R^d$ with some lattice of spacing $\e$. Transitions from $x$ to $y$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anton Bovier , Veronique Gayrard

Consider an ergodic Markov chain on a countable state space for which the return times have exponential tails. We show that the stationary version of any such chain is a finitary factor of an i.i.d. process. A key step is to show that any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Omer Angel , Yinon Spinka

We consider dynamical systems on a finite measure space fulfilling a spectral gap property and Birkhoff sums of a non-negative, non-integrable observable. For such systems we generalize strong laws of large numbers for intermediately…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

In this paper, we introduce a class of processes that contains many natural examples. The interesting feature of such type processes lays on its infinite memory that allows it to record a quite ancient history. Then, using the martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

We consider multitype branching processes arising in the study of random laminations of the disk. We classify these processes according to their subcritical or supercritical behavior and provide Kolmogorov-type estimates in the critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-29 Nicolas Curien , Yuval Peres

We present limit theorems for a sequence of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) taking values in a separable Hilbert space. This class of processes provides a rigorous framework for stochastic spatial models in which discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Martin G. Riedler , Michèle Thieullen , Gilles Wainrib

General Markov chains in an arbitrary phase space are considered in the framework of the operator treatment. Markov operators continue from the space of countably additive measures to the space of finitely additive measures. Cycles of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Alexander I. Zhdanok

The number of ``carries'' when $n$ random integers are added forms a Markov chain [23]. We show that this Markov chain has the same transition matrix as the descent process when a deck of $n$ cards is repeatedly riffle shuffled. This gives…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Persi Diaconis , Jason Fulman

We introduce an algorithm for generating a random sequence of fragmentation trees, which we call the ancestral branching algorithm. This algorithm builds on the recursive partitioning structure of a tree and gives rise to an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-02 Harry Crane

We consider matrices on infinite trees which are universal covers of Jacobi matrices on finite graphs. We are interested in the question of the existence of sequences of finite covers whose normalized eigenvalue counting measures converge…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-12 Nir Avni , Jonathan Breuer , Gil Kalai , Barry Simon

Many practical techniques for probabilistic inference require a sequence of distributions that interpolate between a tractable distribution and an intractable distribution of interest. Usually, the sequences used are simple, e.g., based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-09-11 Andreas Stuhlmüller , Robert X. D. Hawkins , N. Siddharth , Noah D. Goodman

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

Conditional particle filters (CPFs) are powerful smoothing algorithms for general nonlinear/non-Gaussian hidden Markov models. However, CPFs can be inefficient or difficult to apply with diffuse initial distributions, which are common in…

Computation · Statistics 2020-11-23 Santeri Karppinen , Matti Vihola

We describe efficient differentiation methods for computing Jacobians and gradients of a large class of matrix functions including the matrix logarithm $\log(A)$ and $p$-th roots $A^{\frac{1}{p}}$. We exploit contour integrals and conformal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-06 Tina Torabi , Timon S Gutleb , Christoph Ortner
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