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We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Daniel B. Neill , William Herlands

Opioids are an effective analgesic for acute and chronic pain, but also carry a considerable risk of addiction leading to millions of opioid use disorder (OUD) cases and tens of thousands of premature deaths in the United States yearly.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-27 Sybille Légitime , Kaustubh Prabhu , Devin McConnell , Bing Wang , Dipak K. Dey , Derek Aguiar

COVID-19 has had a large scale negative impact on the health of opioid users exacerbating the health of an already vulnerable population. Critical information on the total impact of COVID-19 on opioid users is unknown due to a lack of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Cyen J. Peterkin , Lance A. Waller , Emily N. Peterson

In the last decade, the United States has lost more than 500,000 people from an overdose involving prescription and illicit opioids making it a national public health emergency (USDHHS, 2017). Medical practitioners require robust and timely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Chenghao Yang , Tuhin Chakrabarty , Karli R Hochstatter , Melissa N Slavin , Nabila El-Bassel , Smaranda Muresan

The opioid epidemic is a crisis that has plagued the United States (US) for decades. One central issue is inequitable access to treatment for opioid use disorder (OUD), which puts certain populations at a higher risk of opioid overdose. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Joyce Luo , Bartolomeo Stellato

In recent years, techniques from Topological Data Analysis (TDA) have proven effective at capturing spatial features of multidimensional data. However, applying TDA to spatiotemporal data remains relatively underexplored. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-30 Nicholas Bermingham , David White , Nathan Willey

Opioid and substance misuse is rampant in the United States today, with the phenomenon known as the "opioid crisis". The relationship between substance use and mental health has been extensively studied, with one possible relationship…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Usha Lokala , Orchid Chetia Phukan , Triyasha Ghosh Dastidar , Francois Lamy , Raminta Daniulaityte , Amit Sheth

Drug overdose is a pressing public health concern in the United States, resulting in a significant number of fatalities each year. In this study, we employ the Journey to Crime (JTC) framework borrowed from the field of environmental…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Murat Ozer , Ismail Onat , Halil Akbas , Nelly Elsayed , Zag ElSayed , Said Varlioglu

The synthetic control method is an empirical methodology forcausal inference using observational data. By observing thespread of COVID-19 throughout the world, we analyze the dataon the number of deaths and cases in different regions…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Niloofar Bayat , Cody Morrin , Yuheng Wang , Vishal Misra

Drug overdose deaths, including those due to prescription opioids, represent a critical public health issue in the United States and worldwide. Artificial intelligence (AI) approaches have been developed and deployed to help prescribers…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Venkatesh Sivaraman , Yejun Kwak , Courtney Kuza , Qingnan Yang , Kayleigh Adamson , Katie Suda , Lu Tang , Walid Gellad , Adam Perer

The United States (US) opioid crisis contributed to 81,806 fatalities in 2022. It has strained hospitals, treatment facilities, and law enforcement agencies due to the enormous resources and procedures needed to respond to the crisis. As a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Veronica M. White , Laura A. Albert

Substance Use Disorders (SUDs) involve the misuse of any or several of a wide array of substances, such as alcohol, opioids, marijuana, and methamphetamine. SUDs are characterized by an inability to decrease use despite severe social,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Lana Yarosh , Suzanne Bakken , Alan Borning , Munmun De Choudhury , Cliff Lampe , Elizabeth Mynatt , Stephen Schueller , Tiffany Veinot

Overdose related to prescription opioids have reached an epidemic level in the US, creating an unprecedented national crisis. This has been exacerbated partly due to the lack of tools for physicians to help predict the risk of whether a…

The complex unfolding of the US opioid epidemic in the last 20 years has been the subject of a large body of medical and pharmacological research, and it has sparked a multidisciplinary discussion on how to implement interventions and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Duilio Balsamo , Paolo Bajardi , Alberto Salomone , Rossano Schifanella

According to the features of drug addiction, this paper constructs an SEIR-based SUC model to describe and predict the spread of drug addiction. Predictions are that the number of drug addictions will continue to fluctuate with reduced…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-22 Boyue Fang , Yutong Feng

Opioid overdose rates have increased in the United States over the past decade and reflect a major public health crisis. Modeling and prediction of drug and opioid hotspots, where a high percentage of events fall in a small percentage of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Xueying Liu , Jeremy Carter , Brad Ray , George Mohler

Drug overdose deaths, including from opioids, remain a significant public health threat to the United States (US). To abate the harms of opioid misuse, understanding its prevalence at the local level is crucial for stakeholders in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-09 Zixuan Feng , Qiushi Chen , Paul Griffin , Le Bao

The use of illicit drugs has been on the rise in United States. It is very detrimental on society, as fatal overdose is the fourth leading cause of death in the United States, which is about the same as motor vehicle crashes. Of all illicit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-16 Nicholas A. Battista

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) have shown tremendous promise in addressing data-intensive challenges in recent years. In particular, some attempts have been made to improve predictions of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Petr Kisselev , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Drug overdose has become a public health crisis in the United States with devastating consequences. However, most of the drug overdose incidences are the consequence of recitative polysubstance usage over a defined period of time which can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Vaishali Mahipal , Mohammad Arif Ul Alam