English
Related papers

Related papers: Tracking Network Dynamics using Probabilistic Stat…

200 papers

Multistate dynamical processes on networks, where nodes can occupy one of a multitude of discrete states, are gaining widespread use because of their ability to recreate realistic, complex behaviour that cannot be adequately captured by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-29 Peter G. Fennell , James P. Gleeson

Spreading processes are often modelled as a stochastic dynamics occurring on top of a given network with edge weights corresponding to the transmission probabilities. Knowledge of veracious transmission probabilities is essential for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-01 Andrey Y. Lokhov

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

We propose a framework to model the distribution of sequential data coming from a set of entities connected in a graph with a known topology. The method is based on a mixture of shared hidden Markov models (HMMs), which are jointly trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Diogo Pernes , Jaime S. Cardoso

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

In this paper we propose a distributed algorithm for the estimation and control of the connectivity of ad-hoc networks in the presence of a random topology. First, given a generic random graph, we introduce a novel stochastic power…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Paolo Di Lorenzo , Sergio Barbarossa

A broad range of applications involve signals with irregular structures that can be represented as a graph. As the underlying structures can change over time, the tracking dynamic graph topologies from observed signals is a fundamental…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-15 Lital Dabush , Nir Shlezinger , Tirza Routtenberg

Many real-world systems studied are governed by complex, nonlinear dynamics. By modeling these dynamics, we can gain insight into how these systems work, make predictions about how they will behave, and develop strategies for controlling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Josue Nassar , Scott W. Linderman , Monica Bugallo , Il Memming Park

Random networks are increasingly used to analyse complex transportation networks, such as airline routes, roads and rail networks. So far, this research has been focused on describing the properties of the networks with the help of random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-19 Jürgen Hackl , Bryan T. Adey

This paper is a short summary of the main results in the thesis [1]. Based on the P2P paradigm we construct a stochastic model for a live media streaming content delivery network. Starting from the behavior of the out degree process of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Andrea Monsellato

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

We consider the problem of estimating the topology of multiple networks from nodal observations, where these networks are assumed to be drawn from the same (unknown) random graph model. We adopt a graphon as our random graph model, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-21 Madeline Navarro , Santiago Segarra

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

Scale-free (SF) networks and small world networks have been found to occur in very diverse contexts. It is this striking universality which makes one look for widely applicable mechanisms which lead to the formation of such networks. In…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Markus Brede , John Finnigan

We propose a novel data-driven stochastic model predictive control framework for uncertain linear systems with noisy output measurements. Our approach leverages multi-step predictors to efficiently propagate uncertainty, ensuring chance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Haldun Balim , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Johannes Köhler

We construct a data-driven model of flows in graphs that captures the essential elements of the movement of workers between jobs in the companies (firms) of entire economic systems such as countries. The model is based on the observation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-22 Eduardo López , Omar Guerrero , Robert L. Axtell

Traditional optimization-based techniques for time-synchronized state estimation (SE) often suffer from high online computational burden, limited phasor measurement unit (PMU) coverage, and presence of non-Gaussian measurement noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Shiva Moshtagh , Behrouz Azimian , Mohammad Golgol , Anamitra Pal

A nonparametric approach to the modeling of social networks using degree-corrected stochastic blockmodels is proposed. The model for static network consists of a stochastic blockmodel using a probit regression formulation and popularity…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-27 Linda S. L. Tan , Maria De Iorio

Statistical shape modeling (SSM) has recently taken advantage of advances in deep learning to alleviate the need for a time-consuming and expert-driven workflow of anatomy segmentation, shape registration, and the optimization of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Jadie Adams , Riddhish Bhalodia , Shireen Elhabian

Probability models on graphs are becoming increasingly important in many applications, but statistical tools for fitting such models are not yet well developed. Here we propose a general method of moments approach that can be used to fit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter J. Bickel , Aiyou Chen , Elizaveta Levina