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This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a non-parametric link prediction algorithm for a sequence of graph snapshots over time. The model predicts links based on the features of its endpoints, as well as those of the local neighborhood around the endpoints. This allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Purnamrita Sarkar , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Michael Jordan

We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

Dynamic transportation networks have been analyzed for years by means of static graph-based indicators in order to study the temporal evolution of relevant network components, and to reveal complex dependencies that would not be easily…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani , Augusto Voltes-Dorta

Dynamic systems of graph signals are encountered in various applications, including social networks, power grids, and transportation. While such systems can often be described as state space (SS) models, tracking graph signals via…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-29 Itay Buchnik , Guy Sagi , Nimrod Leinwand , Yuval Loya , Nir Shlezinger , Tirza Routtenberg

Although neural networks are capable of reaching astonishing performances on a wide variety of contexts, properly training networks on complicated tasks requires expertise and can be expensive from a computational perspective. In industrial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Théo Lacombe , Yuichi Ike , Mathieu Carriere , Frédéric Chazal , Marc Glisse , Yuhei Umeda

Network-topology inference from (vertex) signal observations is a prominent problem across data-science and engineering disciplines. Most existing schemes assume that observations from all nodes are available, but in many practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Andrei Buciulea , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques

Scientists often want to make predictions beyond the observed time horizon of "snapshot" data following latent stochastic dynamics. For example, in time course single-cell mRNA profiling, scientists have access to cellular transcriptional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-23 Renato Berlinghieri , Yunyi Shen , Jialong Jiang , Tamara Broderick

We study the problem of non-Bayesian social learning with uncertain models, in which a network of agents seek to cooperatively identify the state of the world based on a sequence of observed signals. In contrast with the existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-11 César A. Uribe , James Z. Hare , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

We develop a probabilistic framework for global modeling of the traffic over a computer network. This model integrates existing single-link (-flow) traffic models with the routing over the network to capture the global traffic behavior. It…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2010-05-25 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Joel Vaughan

Network topology inference is a prominent problem in Network Science. Most graph signal processing (GSP) efforts to date assume that the underlying network is known, and then analyze how the graph's algebraic and spectral characteristics…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-22 Gonzalo Mateos , Santiago Segarra , Antonio G. Marques , Alejandro Ribeiro

In this paper, we introduce two deterministic models aimed at capturing the dynamics of congested Internet connections. The first model is a continuous-time model that combines a system of differential equations with a sudden change in one…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ian Frommer , Eric Harder , Brian Hunt , Ryan Lance , Edward Ott , James Yorke

The recent success of State-Space Models (SSMs) in sequence modeling has motivated their adaptation to graph learning, giving rise to Graph State-Space Models (GSSMs). However, existing GSSMs operate by applying SSM modules to sequences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Andrea Ceni , Alessio Gravina , Claudio Gallicchio , Davide Bacciu , Carola-Bibiane Schonlieb , Moshe Eliasof

Dynamical models underpin our ability to understand and predict the behavior of natural systems. Whether dynamical models are developed from first-principles derivations or from observational data, they are predicated on our choice of state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Daniel Floryan , Michael D. Graham

The goal of system identification is to learn about underlying physics dynamics behind the time-series data. To model the probabilistic and nonparametric dynamics model, Gaussian process (GP) have been widely used; GP can estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Young-Jin Park , Han-Lim Choi

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

This work explores the in-context learning capabilities of State Space Models (SSMs) and presents, to the best of our knowledge, the first theoretical explanation of a possible underlying mechanism. We introduce a novel weight construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Federico Arangath Joseph , Kilian Konstantin Haefeli , Noah Liniger , Caglar Gulcehre

Learning the network structure of a large graph is computationally demanding, and dynamically monitoring the network over time for any changes in structure threatens to be more challenging still. This paper presents a two-stage method for…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-09 Nicholas A. Heard , David J. Weston , Kiriaki Platanioti , David J. Hand

Neural networks for structured data like graphs have been studied extensively in recent years. To date, the bulk of research activity has focused mainly on static graphs. However, most real-world networks are dynamic since their topology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Changmin Wu , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis
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