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Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

In this article, we study the smallest distances between the zeros of Gaussian analytic functions over compact Riemann surfaces. Our main result is that, after appropriate rescaling, the point process of the smallest distances converge to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Renjie Feng , Dong Yao

In this paper we introduce some recent progresses on the convergence rate in Wasserstein distance for empirical measures of Markov processes. For diffusion processes on compact manifolds possibly with reflecting or killing boundary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Feng-Yu Wang

In this paper, we prove a local limit theorem for the ratio of the Poisson distribution to the Gaussian distribution with the same mean and variance, using only elementary methods (Taylor expansions and Stirling's formula). We then apply…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Frédéric Ouimet

We establish presumably optimal rates of normal convergence with respect to the Kolmogorov distance for a large class of geometric functionals of marked Poisson and binomial point processes on general metric spaces. The rates are valid…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Raphaël Lachièze-Rey , Matthias Schulte , J. E. Yukich

We establish an unexpected phenomenon of strong regularization along normal convergence on Wiener chaoses. For every sequence of chaotic random variables, convergence in law to the Gaussian distribution is upgraded to superconvergence: the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Ronan Herry , Dominique Malicet , Guillaume Poly

We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

Consider the empirical measure, $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$, associated to $N$ i.i.d. samples of a given probability distribution $\mathbb{P}$ on the unit interval. For fixed $\mathbb{P}$ the Wasserstein distance between $\hat{\mathbb{P}}_N$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Samuel N. Cohen , Martin N. A. Tegnér , Johannes Wiesel

We study the convergence problem for mean field games with common noise and controlled volatility. We adopt the strategy recently put forth by Lauri\`ere and the second author, using the maximum principle to recast the convergence problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-20 Joe Jackson , Ludovic Tangpi

We investigate propagation of chaos for mean field Markov Decision Process with common noise (CMKV-MDP), and when the optimization is performed over randomized open-loop controls on infinite horizon. We first state a rate of convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Médéric Motte , Huyên Pham

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist

We study the normal approximation of functionals of Poisson measures having the form of a finite sum of multiple integrals. When the integrands are nonnegative, our results yield necessary and sufficient conditions for central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Raphael Lachieze-Rey , Giovanni Peccati

In this paper, we establish non-asymptotic bounds for accuracy of normal approximation for linear two-timescale stochastic approximation (TTSA) algorithms driven by martingale difference or Markov noise. Focusing on both the last iterate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Bogdan Butyrin , Artemy Rubtsov , Alexey Naumov , Vladimir Ulyanov , Sergey Samsonov

In this paper, we establish sharp upper and lower bounds on the convergence rate of the empirical measures of point processes under the Wasserstein distance. To this end, we first introduce a new metric on the space of counting measures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Dongzhou Huang , Tianyi Jiang , Haonan Wang

We study linear statistics of a class of determinantal processes which interpolate between Poisson and GUE/Ginibre statistics in dimension 1 or 2. These processes are obtained by performing an independent Bernoulli percolation on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Gaultier Lambert

The convergence rate in Wasserstein distance is estimated for empirical measures of ergodic Markov processes, and the estimate can be sharp in some specific situations. The main result is applied to subordinations of typical models excluded…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Feng-Yu Wang

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

In this paper, we establish general scaling limits for nearly unstable Hawkes processes in a mean-field regime by extending the method introduced by Jaisson and Rosenbaum. Under a mild asymptotic criticality condition on the self-exciting…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Grégoire Szymanski , Wei Xu

We provide upper bounds of the expected Wasserstein distance between a probability measure and its empirical version, generalizing recent results for finite dimensional Euclidean spaces and bounded functional spaces. Such a generalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Jing Lei

We prove the chain rule in the more general framework of the Wiener-Poisson space, allowing us to obtain the so-called Nourdin-Peccati bound. From this bound we obtain a second-order Poincare-type inequality that is useful in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Juan Jose Viquez R