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In the framework of Embedded Value new standards, namely the MCEV norms, the latest principles published in June 2008 address the issue of market and underwriting risks measurement by using stochastic models of projection and valorization.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Jean-Paul Félix , Frédéric Planchet

We introduce the concept of partial law invariance, generalizing the concepts of law invariance and probabilistic sophistication widely used in decision theory, as well as statistical and financial applications. This new concept is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Yi Shen , Zachary Van Oosten , Ruodu Wang

This paper explores hypothesis testing for the parametric forms of the mean and variance functions in regression models under diverging-dimension settings. To mitigate the curse of dimensionality, we introduce weighted residual empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Falong Tan , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Economic models may exhibit incompleteness depending on whether or not they admit certain policy-relevant features such as strategic interaction, self-selection, or state dependence. We develop a novel test of model incompleteness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-08 Shuowen Chen , Hiroaki Kaido

The paper investigates the robust distortion risk measure with linear penalty function under distribution uncertainty. The distribution uncertainties are characterized by predetermined moment conditions or constraints on the Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Yuxin Du , Dejian Tian , Hui Zhang

We propose forecast encompassing tests for the Expected Shortfall (ES) jointly with the Value at Risk (VaR) based on flexible link (or combination) functions. Our setup allows testing encompassing for convex forecast combinations and for…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-17 Timo Dimitriadis , Xiaochun Liu , Julie Schnaitmann

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou

Risk measures such as Expected Shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) have been prominent in banking regulation and financial risk management. Motivated by practical considerations in the assessment and management of risks, including…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Ruodu Wang , Johanna F. Ziegel

In order to find a way of measuring the degree of incompleteness of an incomplete financial market, the rank of the vector price process of the traded assets and the dimension of the associated acceptance set are introduced. We show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-20 Abdelkarem Berkaoui

Economic theory implies strong limitations on what types of consumption behavior are considered rational. Rationality implies that the Slutsky matrix, which captures the substitution effects of compensated price changes on demand for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-11 Florian Gunsilius , Lonjezo Sithole

De Finetti's optimal reinsurance is a set of contracts, one for each risk in a portfolio, that caps the retained aggregate variance to a pre-specified level while minimizing total expected loss. The premiums are determined using the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-03 N. D. Shyamalkumar , Tianrun Wang

Prepayment risk embedded in fixed-rate mortgages forms a significant fraction of a financial institution's exposure, and it receives particular attention because of the magnitude of the underlying market. The embedded prepayment option…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Let $\| \cdot \|$ be the euclidean norm on ${\bf R}^n$ and $\gamma_n$ the (standard) Gaussian measure on ${\bf R}^n$ with density $(2 \pi )^{-n/2} e^{- \| x\|^2 /2}$. Let $\vartheta$ ($ \simeq 1.3489795$) be defined by $\gamma_1 ([ -…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2016-09-06 W. Banaszczyk , Stanislaw J. Szarek

In decision making under uncertainty and risk, worst-case risk assessments are often conducted using maxitive monetary risk measures. In this article, we study maxitive monetary risk measures on the space $L^0$ of all random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 José Miguel Zapata

In this paper, we explore several Fatou-type properties of risk measures. The paper continues to reveal that the strong Fatou property, which was introduced in [17], seems to be most suitable to ensure nice dual representations of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-15 Shengzhong Chen , Niushan Gao , Foivos Xanthos

This paper deals with applications of coherent risk measures to pricing in incomplete markets. Namely, we study the No Good Deals pricing technique based on coherent risk. Two forms of this technique are presented: one defines a good deal…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alexander S. Cherny

Parametric statistical methods play a central role in analyzing risk through its underlying frequency and severity components. Given the wide availability of numerical algorithms and high-speed computers, researchers and practitioners often…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-17 Michael R. Powers , Jiaxin Xu

Robust models in mathematical finance replace the classical single probability measure by a sufficiently rich set of probability measures on the future states of the world to capture (Knightian) uncertainty about the "right" probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-09 Felix-Benedikt Liebrich , Marco Maggis , Gregor Svindland

Given a probability measure $\mu$ on a set $\mathcal{X}$ and a vector-valued function $\varphi$, a common problem is to construct a discrete probability measure on $\mathcal{X}$ such that the push-forward of these two probability measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Satoshi Hayakawa , Harald Oberhauser , Terry Lyons

In practical optimization problems, we typically model uncertainty as a random variable though its true probability distribution is unobservable to the decision maker. Historical data provides some information of this distribution that we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Arjun Ramachandra , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Melvyn Sim